NCAA FBS MAC

UMass football predictions & picks

Mid-American

2026 record: 5-4
MAC: 6th
PPG: 27.0
Streak: W1
Last 5: Lost 14–38 vs Eastern Michigan · Sat, Oct 3 Lost 19–20 vs Miami (OH) · Sat, Oct 10 Lost 18–25 OT at Buffalo State · Sat, Oct 17 Lost 16–35 at UConn · Fri, Oct 23 Won 31–30 OT vs Ball State · Wed, Nov 4

UMass next game

Wk 11

UMass @7:30 PM ET Wednesday, November 11 Toledo

Best pick TOL −14.5−118 75% confidence See the prediction: UMass at Toledo

UMass 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Thu, Sep 3Sep 3 @Rutgers Rutgers W37–21 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vs Sacred Heart Sacred Heart W37–10 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 vs Stonehill Stonehill W36–14 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 @Sacramento State Sacramento St W35–6 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 vs Eastern Michigan E Michigan L14–38 —

Wk 6Sat, Oct 10Oct 10 vs Miami (OH) Miami OH L19–20 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @Buffalo State Buffalo L18–25 OT BUFF ML−270✓ UMass at Buffalo prediction

Wk 8Fri, Oct 23Oct 23 @UConn UConn L16–35 O 41.5−357✓ UMass at UConn prediction

Wk 10Wed, Nov 4Nov 4 vs Ball State Ball State W31–30 OT MASS ML−149✓ Ball State at UMass prediction

Wk 11Wed, Nov 11Nov 11 @Toledo Toledo 7:30 PM ET TOL −14.5−118 UMass at Toledo prediction

Wk 12Wed, Nov 18Nov 18 vs Akron Akron TBA Pick coming soon

UMass team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 27.0/ game 77th

Total yards 348.0/ game 103rd

Passing yards 200.6/ game 96th

Rushing yards 147.4/ game 79th

Third-down conversions 33.0% 122nd

Giveaways 0.9/ game 27th

Time of possession 29:35 80th

Defense

Points allowed 22.1/ game 48th

Yards allowed 327.3/ game 39th

Passing yards allowed 181.9/ game 22nd

Rushing yards allowed 145.4/ game 76th

Takeaways 1.4/ game 35th

Penalties 7.6/ game 112th

UMass leaders

2026 regular season

Passing William Watson III 1,327yds 9 TD · 2 INT · 69.3% comp. · 7 games

Rushing Elijah Faulkner 400yds 2 TD · 4.0 per carry · 9 games

Receiving T.Y. Harding 397yds 34 catches · 2 TD · 7 games

Tackles Timmy Hinspeter 58 9 games

Sacks Joshua Iseah 3.5 9 games

Interceptions Jahmad Harmon 3 3 passes defended · 8 games

UMass picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

100.0% 3 won · 0 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

MAC standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 Toledo Toledo 720 7-2 .778 319220 +99 W3

2 Western Michigan W Michigan 730 7-3 .700 278187 +91 W1

3 Ohio Ohio 730 7-3 .700 282229 +53 W6

4 Buffalo State Buffalo 630 6-3 .667 215234 −19 W4

5 Miami (OH) Miami OH 640 6-4 .600 281257 +24 L1

6 UMass UMass 540 5-4 .556 243199 +44 W1

7 Central Michigan C Michigan 450 4-5 .444 178214 −36 W1

8 Eastern Michigan E Michigan 460 4-6 .400 199266 −67 L3

9 Ball State Ball State 360 3-6 .333 206313 −107 L1

10 Bowling Green Bowling Green 370 3-7 .300 193289 −96 L3

11 Kent State Kent State 370 3-7 .300 157308 −151 L1

12 Sacramento State Sacramento St 280 2-8 .200 170293 −123 L1

13 Akron Akron 190 1-9 .100 186332 −146 L7

UMass FAQ

Who does UMass play next?

Next up for UMass: on the road at Toledo, Wednesday, November 11, 7:30 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is UMass’s record this season?

UMass is 5-4, 6th in the MAC.

Who leads UMass in passing yards?

William Watson III, with 1,327 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (9 TD · 2 INT · 69.3% comp. · 7 games).

What is the model’s record picking UMass games?

Its best pick is 3-0 in UMass games this season (100.0%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

MAC rivals

All teams

Akron Ball State Bowling Green Buffalo State Central Michigan Eastern Michigan Kent State Miami (OH) Ohio Sacramento State Toledo Western Michigan

UMass this week

UMass is 5-4, 2-3 in MAC play. Its last game was a 31–30 overtime win over Ball State at home on November 4, snapping a four-game losing streak. Its offense averages 27.0 points a game (77th in FBS), and its defense allows 22.1 (tied for 48th).

Next up, UMass visits Toledo on Wednesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, UMass is a 14.5-point underdog, and the over/under is 51.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the UMass vs Toledo prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.