NCAA FBS MAC

Ball State football predictions & picks

Mid-American

2026 record: 3-6
MAC: 9th
PPG: 22.9
Streak: L1
Last 5: Lost 24–39 vs Toledo · Sat, Oct 3 Lost 14–45 at Northwestern · Sat, Oct 10 Won 32–31 OT at Bowling Green · Sat, Oct 17 Won 34–17 vs Sacramento State · Sat, Oct 24 Lost 30–31 OT at UMass · Wed, Nov 4

Ball State next game

Wk 11

Ball State vs7:30 PM ET Wednesday, November 11 Buffalo

Best pick BUFF ML−122 71% confidence See the prediction: Buffalo at Ball State

Ball State 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 @Ohio State Ohio State L3–56 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vs Stony Brook Stony Brook W41–17 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 @Liberty Liberty L15–51 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 @Kent State Kent State L13–26 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 vs Toledo Toledo L24–39 —

Wk 6Sat, Oct 10Oct 10 @Northwestern Northwestern L14–45 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @Bowling Green Bowling Green W32–31 OT BGSU ML−263✗ Ball State at Bowling Green prediction

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs Sacramento State Sacramento St W34–17 BALL ML−769✓ Sacramento St at Ball State prediction

Wk 10Wed, Nov 4Nov 4 @UMass UMass L30–31 OT MASS ML−149✓ Ball State at UMass prediction

Wk 11Wed, Nov 11Nov 11 vs Buffalo State Buffalo 7:30 PM ET BUFF ML−122 Buffalo at Ball State prediction

Wk 12Tue, Nov 17Nov 17 @Ohio Ohio 6:00 PM ET Pick coming soon

Ball State team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 22.9/ game 104th

Total yards 338.9/ game 110th

Passing yards 194.7/ game 102nd

Rushing yards 144.2/ game 85th

Third-down conversions 35.7% 103rd

Giveaways 1.0/ game 36th

Time of possession 29:24 87th

Defense

Points allowed 34.8/ game 132nd

Yards allowed 426.4/ game 128th

Passing yards allowed 246.7/ game 120th

Rushing yards allowed 179.8/ game 116th

Takeaways 0.9/ game 111th

Penalties 8.2/ game 126th

Ball State leaders

2026 regular season

Passing Keldric Luster 1,482yds 10 TD · 6 INT · 63.0% comp. · 8 games

Rushing TJ Horton 436yds 9 TD · 6.1 per carry · 9 games

Receiving Donovan Hamilton 354yds 28 catches · 1 TD · 8 games

Tackles Stu Smith 45 7 games

Sacks Ben Marsh 3 8 games

Interceptions Kamron Chamble 2 6 games

Ball State picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

66.7% 2 won · 1 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

MAC standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 Toledo Toledo 720 7-2 .778 319220 +99 W3

2 Western Michigan W Michigan 730 7-3 .700 278187 +91 W1

3 Ohio Ohio 730 7-3 .700 282229 +53 W6

4 Buffalo State Buffalo 630 6-3 .667 215234 −19 W4

5 Miami (OH) Miami OH 640 6-4 .600 281257 +24 L1

6 UMass UMass 540 5-4 .556 243199 +44 W1

7 Central Michigan C Michigan 450 4-5 .444 178214 −36 W1

8 Eastern Michigan E Michigan 460 4-6 .400 199266 −67 L3

9 Ball State Ball State 360 3-6 .333 206313 −107 L1

10 Bowling Green Bowling Green 370 3-7 .300 193289 −96 L3

11 Kent State Kent State 370 3-7 .300 157308 −151 L1

12 Sacramento State Sacramento St 280 2-8 .200 170293 −123 L1

13 Akron Akron 190 1-9 .100 186332 −146 L7

Ball State FAQ

Who does Ball State play next?

Next up for Ball State: home against Buffalo State, Wednesday, November 11, 7:30 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is Ball State’s record this season?

Ball State is 3-6, 9th in the MAC.

Who leads Ball State in passing yards?

Keldric Luster, with 1,482 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (10 TD · 6 INT · 63.0% comp. · 8 games).

What is the model’s record picking Ball State games?

Its best pick is 2-1 in Ball State games this season (66.7%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

MAC rivals

All teams

Akron Bowling Green Buffalo State Central Michigan Eastern Michigan Kent State Miami (OH) Ohio Sacramento State Toledo UMass Western Michigan

Ball State this week

Ball State is 3-6, 2-3 in MAC play. Its last game was a 31–30 overtime loss to UMass on November 4. Its offense averages 22.9 points a game (104th in FBS), and its defense allows 34.8 (tied for 132nd).

Next up, Ball State hosts Buffalo State on Wednesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, Ball State is a 1.5-point underdog, and the over/under is 51.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the Buffalo State vs Ball State prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.