NCAA FBS MAC

Toledo football predictions & picks

Mid-American

2026 record: 7-2
MAC: 1st
PPG: 35.4
Streak: W3
Last 5: Won 39–24 at Ball State · Sat, Oct 3 Lost 8–23 vs Buffalo State · Sat, Oct 10 Won 34–14 at Eastern Michigan · Sat, Oct 17 Won 45–38 vs Western Michigan · Sat, Oct 24 Won 20–17 at Sacramento State · Wed, Nov 4

Toledo next game

Wk 11

Toledo vs7:30 PM ET Wednesday, November 11 UMass

Best pick TOL −14.5−118 75% confidence See the prediction: UMass at Toledo

Toledo 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Fri, Sep 4Sep 4 @Michigan State Michigan St L20–30 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vs Central Connecticut C Connecticut W63–10 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 vs Temple Temple W49–48 OT —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 vs San Diego State San Diego St W41–16 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 @Ball State Ball State W39–24 —

Wk 6Sat, Oct 10Oct 10 vs Buffalo State Buffalo L8–23 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @Eastern Michigan E Michigan W34–14 TOL +1.5−270✓ Toledo at E Michigan prediction

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs Western Michigan W Michigan W45–38 O 37.5−357✓ W Michigan at Toledo prediction

Wk 10Wed, Nov 4Nov 4 @Sacramento State Sacramento St W20–17 O 50.5−152✗ Toledo at Sacramento St prediction

Wk 11Wed, Nov 11Nov 11 vs UMass UMass 7:30 PM ET TOL −14.5−118 UMass at Toledo prediction

Wk 12Fri, Nov 20Nov 20 vs Bowling Green Bowling Green 6:30 PM ET Pick coming soon

Toledo team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 35.4/ game 22nd

Total yards 454.9/ game 14th

Passing yards 262.8/ game 27th

Rushing yards 192.1/ game 28th

Third-down conversions 42.9% 41st

Giveaways 1.2/ game 60th

Time of possession 29:33 81st

Defense

Points allowed 24.4/ game 67th

Yards allowed 314.3/ game 27th

Passing yards allowed 199.9/ game 57th

Rushing yards allowed 114.4/ game 31st

Takeaways 1.3/ game 44th

Penalties 8.1/ game 124th

Toledo leaders

2026 regular season

Passing John Alan Richter 2,304yds 18 TD · 3 INT · 65.9% comp. · 9 games

Rushing CJ Miller 744yds 7 TD · 5.5 per carry · 9 games

Receiving Adjatay Dabbs 592yds 40 catches · 7 TD · 8 games

Tackles Isaac Zay 71 9 games

Sacks Andrew Zock 9 9 games

Interceptions Isaac Zay 2 4 passes defended · 9 games

Toledo picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

66.7% 2 won · 1 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

MAC standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 Toledo Toledo 720 7-2 .778 319220 +99 W3

2 Western Michigan W Michigan 730 7-3 .700 278187 +91 W1

3 Ohio Ohio 730 7-3 .700 282229 +53 W6

4 Buffalo State Buffalo 630 6-3 .667 215234 −19 W4

5 Miami (OH) Miami OH 640 6-4 .600 281257 +24 L1

6 UMass UMass 540 5-4 .556 243199 +44 W1

7 Central Michigan C Michigan 450 4-5 .444 178214 −36 W1

8 Eastern Michigan E Michigan 460 4-6 .400 199266 −67 L3

9 Ball State Ball State 360 3-6 .333 206313 −107 L1

10 Bowling Green Bowling Green 370 3-7 .300 193289 −96 L3

11 Kent State Kent State 370 3-7 .300 157308 −151 L1

12 Sacramento State Sacramento St 280 2-8 .200 170293 −123 L1

13 Akron Akron 190 1-9 .100 186332 −146 L7

Toledo FAQ

Who does Toledo play next?

Next up for Toledo: home against UMass, Wednesday, November 11, 7:30 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is Toledo’s record this season?

Toledo is 7-2, 1st in the MAC.

Who leads Toledo in passing yards?

John Alan Richter, with 2,304 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (18 TD · 3 INT · 65.9% comp. · 9 games).

What is the model’s record picking Toledo games?

Its best pick is 2-1 in Toledo games this season (66.7%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

MAC rivals

All teams

Akron Ball State Bowling Green Buffalo State Central Michigan Eastern Michigan Kent State Miami (OH) Ohio Sacramento State UMass Western Michigan

Toledo this week

Toledo is 7-2, 4-1 in MAC play. Its last game was a 20–17 win over Sacramento State on November 4, its third in a row. Its offense averages 35.4 points a game (tied for 22nd in FBS), and its defense allows 24.4 (tied for 67th).

Next up, Toledo hosts UMass on Wednesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, Toledo is a 14.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 51.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the UMass vs Toledo prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.