NCAA FBS MAC

Buffalo State football predictions & picks

Mid-American

2026 record: 6-3
MAC: 4th
PPG: 23.9
Streak: W4
Last 5: Lost 17–20 vs Western Michigan · Sat, Oct 3 Won 23–8 at Toledo · Sat, Oct 10 Won 25–18 OT vs UMass · Sat, Oct 17 Won 31–24 vs Bowling Green · Sat, Oct 24 Won 34–31 OT at Miami (OH) · Tue, Nov 3

Buffalo State next game

Wk 11

Buffalo @7:30 PM ET Wednesday, November 11 Ball State

Best pick BUFF ML−122 71% confidence See the prediction: Buffalo at Ball State

Buffalo State 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Thu, Sep 3Sep 3 vs UAlbany UAlbany W21–17 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 @Florida International FIU L20–33 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 @Penn State Penn State L13–55 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 vs Robert Morris Robert Morris W31–28 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 vs Western Michigan W Michigan L17–20 —

Wk 6Sat, Oct 10Oct 10 @Toledo Toledo W23–8 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 vs UMass UMass W25–18 OT BUFF ML−270✓ UMass at Buffalo prediction

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs Bowling Green Bowling Green W31–24 BGSU +11.5−345✓ Bowling Green at Buffalo prediction

Wk 10Tue, Nov 3Nov 3 @Miami (OH) Miami OH W34–31 OT M-OH ML−286✗ Buffalo at Miami OH prediction

Wk 11Wed, Nov 11Nov 11 @Ball State Ball State 7:30 PM ET BUFF ML−122 Buffalo at Ball State prediction

Wk 12Wed, Nov 18Nov 18 vs Central Michigan C Michigan 6:30 PM ET Pick coming soon

Buffalo State team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 23.9/ game 97th

Total yards 345.2/ game 105th

Passing yards 177.2/ game 121st

Rushing yards 168.0/ game 51st

Third-down conversions 39.0% 82nd

Giveaways 1.6/ game 109th

Time of possession 30:00 68th

Defense

Points allowed 26.0/ game 80th

Yards allowed 374.0/ game 88th

Passing yards allowed 219.6/ game 77th

Rushing yards allowed 154.4/ game 89th

Takeaways 1.0/ game 92nd

Penalties 5.1/ game 29th

Buffalo State leaders

2026 regular season

Passing Jason Wright 1,345yds 9 TD · 6 INT · 49.4% comp. · 8 games

Rushing Messiah Burch 901yds 5 TD · 5.5 per carry · 9 games

Receiving Chance Morrow 679yds 53 catches · 8 TD · 9 games

Tackles SaVeon Brown 75 9 games

Sacks Will Clark 3.5 8 games

Interceptions SaVeon Brown 1 2 passes defended · 9 games

Buffalo State picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

66.7% 2 won · 1 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

MAC standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 Toledo Toledo 720 7-2 .778 319220 +99 W3

2 Western Michigan W Michigan 730 7-3 .700 278187 +91 W1

3 Ohio Ohio 730 7-3 .700 282229 +53 W6

4 Buffalo State Buffalo 630 6-3 .667 215234 −19 W4

5 Miami (OH) Miami OH 640 6-4 .600 281257 +24 L1

6 UMass UMass 540 5-4 .556 243199 +44 W1

7 Central Michigan C Michigan 450 4-5 .444 178214 −36 W1

8 Eastern Michigan E Michigan 460 4-6 .400 199266 −67 L3

9 Ball State Ball State 360 3-6 .333 206313 −107 L1

10 Bowling Green Bowling Green 370 3-7 .300 193289 −96 L3

11 Kent State Kent State 370 3-7 .300 157308 −151 L1

12 Sacramento State Sacramento St 280 2-8 .200 170293 −123 L1

13 Akron Akron 190 1-9 .100 186332 −146 L7

Buffalo State FAQ

Who does Buffalo State play next?

Next up for Buffalo State: on the road at Ball State, Wednesday, November 11, 7:30 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is Buffalo State’s record this season?

Buffalo State is 6-3, 4th in the MAC.

Who leads Buffalo State in passing yards?

Jason Wright, with 1,345 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (9 TD · 6 INT · 49.4% comp. · 8 games).

What is the model’s record picking Buffalo State games?

Its best pick is 2-1 in Buffalo State games this season (66.7%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

MAC rivals

All teams

Akron Ball State Bowling Green Central Michigan Eastern Michigan Kent State Miami (OH) Ohio Sacramento State Toledo UMass Western Michigan

Buffalo State this week

Buffalo State is 6-3, 4-1 in MAC play. Its last game was a 34–31 overtime win over Miami (OH) on November 3, its fourth in a row. Its offense averages 23.9 points a game (tied for 97th in FBS), and its defense allows 26.0 (tied for 80th).

Next up, Buffalo State visits Ball State on Wednesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, Buffalo State is a 1.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 51.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the Buffalo State vs Ball State prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.