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No games live 2026 season · Week 10 of 18
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Public scorecard

NFL picks track record

Every pick the model has posted, with its result. Wins and losses stay up for good, pushes and canceled games don’t count, and every win rate shows how many picks it rests on.

Since October 10, 2026Latest result Tue, Nov 10

65.9%Best picks · 199–103
82.2%Best bets (90+) · 37–8
65.9%All picks · 597–309
906Picks graded · 303 games
Download every pickXLSX · 47 KB Spreadsheet of the graded games · updated Nov 11

Best picks: the model’s top pick in each game. Best bets: best picks rated 90% or higher, the same games the best bets page showed before kickoff.

Small sample alert: 6 weeks and 906 picks so far. Any model can run hot or cold over a stretch this short, so treat these numbers as early returns.

By market

A game with three picks counts three times
MarketWon–lostWin rate
Moneyline205–9767.9%
Spread198–10465.6%
Over / under194–10864.2%

By league

Every market together
LeagueWon–lostWin rate
NFL146–6270.2%
College football451–24764.6%

By confidence

Do higher-rated picks win more often?
ConfidenceWon–lostWin rate
90 and overthe best-bet bar, any market 98–31 76%
80 to 89 130–59 68.8%
70 to 79 321–176 64.6%
60 to 69 29–25 53.7%
Under 60 19–18 51.4%

If the model’s confidence is worth anything, the top rows should beat the bottom rows over time. It is too early to tell, so check the won–lost count beside each rate before you read anything into it.

Week by week

Most recent first · the color is the week’s win rate on every pick
WeekDatesBest picksBest betsAll picks
NFL NFL Week 10 picks · 2026 Nov 12 – Nov 16 pending — —
College Week 11 · 2026 Nov 10 – Nov 14 2–1 1–0 5–455.6%
NFL Week 9 · 2026 Nov 5 – Nov 9 12–3 1–0 34–1175.6%
College Week 10 · 2026 Nov 3 – Nov 7 41–20 11–1 115–6862.8%
NFL Week 8 · 2026 Oct 29 – Nov 2 9–4 1–0 31–1075.6%
College Week 9 · 2026 Oct 27 – Oct 31 37–17 8–0 110–5267.9%
NFL Week 7 · 2026 Oct 22 – Oct 26 9–5 — 30–1271.4%
College Week 8 · 2026 Oct 20 – Oct 24 36–19 8–3 103–6262.4%
NFL Week 6 · 2026 Oct 15 – Oct 19 9–5 2–2 25–1759.5%
College Week 7 · 2026 Oct 13 – Oct 17 34–24 5–2 112–6164.7%
NFL Week 5 · 2026 Oct 11 – Oct 12 8–5 — 26–1268.4%
College Week 6 · 2026 Oct 10 2–0 — 6–0100%

How we keep score

Every game can produce three picks: the moneyline, the spread and the total. Each one goes up before kickoff with the odds it was made against and a confidence number, then gets graded from the final score. Pushes and canceled games go in neither the win column nor the loss column.

You can check it against the board. This week’s NFL picks are posted before kickoff, and the same picks land here once the games are final, from the same data. Nothing is edited or pulled after kickoff.

You won’t find units or profit here. A couple of plus-money winners can make those numbers look great or awful. The win rate and the number of picks behind it tell you more, so that is what we show.

Track record FAQ

Do pushes count against the record?

No. When the final margin lands exactly on the spread, or the combined score lands exactly on the total, the bet is a push: nobody wins and nobody loses. Pushes and canceled games stay out of every win rate here. Each market is graded on its own, so one game can add up to three results.

Can a pick change after it is posted?

No. A pick goes up before kickoff, stays as posted and is graded from the final score. Losing picks stay on this page right next to the winners; nothing is edited or pulled.

Are 906 picks enough to judge the model?

Not yet. That is 906 graded picks across 303 games since October 10, 2026, a small sample. Give it more weeks before you judge the model either way.

Why are college games tracked separately?

Because the NFL and college football bet very differently, with different teams, schedules and spreads. The By league table splits them, so you can judge the model on the games you follow.

How do best bets do compared with all picks?

Compare the Best bets figure at the top of the page with All picks. Best bets are the games whose top pick cleared the 90% confidence bar, the same games the best bets page showed before kickoff, so the gap between the two shows whether the most confident picks really win more often.

Can I download every pick?

Yes. The Download button at the top gives you an Excel file of the graded games behind this page, with every pick and how it was graded, refreshed as results come in, so you can sort and filter it yourself.

A strong record doesn’t guarantee the next pick. Every pick here is a model’s forecast, and forecasts miss. Set a budget before you bet. How the model works