NCAA FBS Sun Belt

Troy football predictions & picks

Sun Belt

2026 record: 4-5
Sun Belt: 10th
PPG: 22.3
Streak: L1
Last 5: Won 55–34 vs Southern Miss · Tue, Oct 6 Lost 6–33 at Louisiana · Sat, Oct 17 Lost 14–21 vs UL Monroe · Sat, Oct 24 Won 24–21 OT at James Madison · Thu, Oct 29 Lost 17–41 vs Louisiana Tech · Sat, Nov 7

Troy next game

Wk 11

Troy @7:00 PM ET Saturday, November 14 South Alabama

Best pick USA +6.5−323 78% confidence See the prediction: Troy at South Alabama

Troy 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 vs Sam Houston Sam Houston W24–21 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vs Alabama State Alabama St W34–17 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 @Missouri Missouri L17–27 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 @Utah State Utah State L10–21 —

Wk 6Tue, Oct 6Oct 6 vs Southern Miss Southern Miss W55–34 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @Louisiana Louisiana L6–33 TROY +11.5−323✗ Troy at Louisiana prediction

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs UL Monroe UL Monroe L14–21 O 43.5−250✗ UL Monroe at Troy prediction

Wk 9Thu, Oct 29Oct 29 @James Madison James Madison W24–21 OT JMU −12.5−200✗ Troy at James Madison prediction

Wk 10Sat, Nov 7Nov 7 vs Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech L17–41 LT +2.5−294✓ Louisiana Tech at Troy prediction

Wk 11Sat, Nov 14Nov 14 @South Alabama South Alabama 7:00 PM ET USA +6.5−323 Troy at South Alabama prediction

Wk 12Fri, Nov 20Nov 20 vs Georgia Southern GA Southern TBA Pick coming soon

Troy team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 22.3/ game 106th

Total yards 358.6/ game 90th

Passing yards 181.0/ game 119th

Rushing yards 177.6/ game 40th

Third-down conversions 31.3% 129th

Giveaways 1.7/ game 119th

Time of possession 31:58 24th

Defense

Points allowed 26.2/ game 83rd

Yards allowed 344.7/ game 58th

Passing yards allowed 212.6/ game 66th

Rushing yards allowed 132.1/ game 58th

Takeaways 1.7/ game 18th

Penalties 7.1/ game 92nd

Troy leaders

2026 regular season

Passing Will Crowder 1,162yds 9 TD · 5 INT · 55.7% comp. · 7 games

Rushing Gavin Griffin 465yds 4 TD · 4.3 per carry · 9 games

Receiving TK Keyes 319yds 14 catches · 3 TD · 6 games

Tackles Keno Jones 71 9 games

Sacks Donnie Smith 7 9 games

Interceptions Justin Powe 3 3 passes defended · 9 games

Troy picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

25.0% 1 won · 3 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

Sun Belt West standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

2 Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 720 7-2 .778 302184 +118 W6

3 Louisiana Louisiana 630 6-3 .667 269196 +73 W1

8 Arkansas State Arkansas St 450 4-5 .444 247237 +10 L1

9 South Alabama South Alabama 450 4-5 .444 292290 +2 L3

10 Troy Troy 450 4-5 .444 201236 −35 L1

12 Southern Miss Southern Miss 360 3-6 .333 238302 −64 L1

14 UL Monroe UL Monroe 270 2-7 .222 181313 −132 W1

Troy FAQ

Who does Troy play next?

Next up for Troy: on the road at South Alabama, Saturday, November 14, 7:00 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is Troy’s record this season?

Troy is 4-5, 10th in the Sun Belt.

Who leads Troy in passing yards?

Will Crowder, with 1,162 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (9 TD · 5 INT · 55.7% comp. · 7 games).

What is the model’s record picking Troy games?

Its best pick is 1-3 in Troy games this season (25.0%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

Sun Belt rivals

All teams

Appalachian State Arkansas State Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern Georgia State James Madison Louisiana Louisiana Tech Marshall Old Dominion South Alabama Southern Miss UL Monroe

Troy this week

Troy is 4-5, 2-3 in Sun Belt play. Its last game was a 41–17 loss to Louisiana Tech at home on November 7. Its offense averages 22.3 points a game (tied for 106th in FBS), and its defense allows 26.2 (tied for 83rd).

Next up, Troy visits South Alabama on Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, Troy is a 2.5-point underdog, and the over/under is 55.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the Troy vs South Alabama prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.