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NCAA FBS Mountain West

New Mexico football predictions & picks

Mountain West

2026 record
8-1
.889 · 9 games
Mountain West
1st
Conference 5-0
PPG
34.6
Opp. 10.9 · net +23.7
Streak
W6
+213 point differential
Last 5
Won 61–7 vs UTEP · Sat, Oct 3 Won 21–10 at Hawai'i · Sat, Oct 17 Won 21–16 vs North Dakota State · Sat, Oct 24 Won 21–16 at San José State · Sat, Oct 31 Won 31–3 at Nevada · Fri, Nov 6
5-0 in the last 5

New Mexico next game

Wk 11
New Mexico vs7:30 PM ET Saturday, November 14 UNLV
Best pick UNM ML−769 92% confidence See the prediction: UNLV at New Mexico

New Mexico 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends
WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page
Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 vsCentral Michigan C Michigan W38–7 —
Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vsMercyhurst Mercyhurst W70–7 —
Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 @Oklahoma Oklahoma L6–14 —
Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 @New Mexico State New Mexico St W42–18 —
Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 vsUTEP UTEP W61–7 —
Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @Hawai'i Hawai'i W21–10 —
Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vsNorth Dakota State N Dakota St W21–16 UNM +3.5−303✓ N Dakota St at New Mexico prediction
Wk 9Sat, Oct 31Oct 31 @San José State San Jose St W21–16 UNM −7.5−227✗ New Mexico at San Jose St prediction
Wk 10Fri, Nov 6Nov 6 @Nevada Nevada W31–3 O 33.5−208✓ New Mexico at Nevada prediction
Wk 11Sat, Nov 14Nov 14 vsUNLV UNLV 7:30 PM ET UNM ML−769 UNLV at New Mexico prediction
Wk 12Fri, Nov 20Nov 20 @Wyoming Wyoming 8:00 PM ET Pick coming soonOur model publishes its moneyline, spread and over/under picks up to four days before kickoff, once the odds have settled.

New Mexico team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 34.6/ game 25th
Total yards 362.2/ game 85th
Passing yards 149.1/ game 131st
Rushing yards 213.1/ game 14th
Third-down conversions 40.5% 64th
Giveaways 0.9/ game 27th
Time of possession 33:41 5th

Defense

Points allowed 10.9/ game 1st
Yards allowed 239.7/ game 1st
Passing yards allowed 168.1/ game 10th
Rushing yards allowed 71.6/ game 3rd
Takeaways 2.9/ game 2nd
Penalties 6.4/ game 67th

New Mexico leaders

2026 regular season
Passing Toa Faavae 1,038yds 6 TD · 7 INT · 59.5% comp. · 9 games
Rushing Scottre Humphrey 647yds 13 TD · 5.1 per carry · 9 games
Receiving Cade Keith 358yds 26 catches · 4 TD · 8 games
Tackles Mercury Swaim 55 9 games
Sacks Brett Karhu 7 9 games
Interceptions Austin Brawley 4 2 passes defended · 9 games

New Mexico picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted
66.7% 2 won · 1 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

Mountain West standings

All college standings
#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK
1 New Mexico New Mexico 810 8-1 .889 31198 +213 W6
2 North Dakota State N Dakota St 720 7-2 .778 253107 +146 W1
3 Air Force Air Force 720 7-2 .778 258193 +65 W2
4 Wyoming Wyoming 630 6-3 .667 197195 +2 W4
5 UNLV UNLV 540 5-4 .556 235231 +4 L1
6 San José State San Jose St 550 5-5 .500 209220 −11 W1
7 Nevada Nevada 360 3-6 .333 187212 −25 L2
8 Hawaii Hawai'i 360 3-6 .333 183210 −27 W2
9 UTEP UTEP 180 1-8 .111 127309 −182 L7
10 Northern Illinois N Illinois 090 0-9 .000 149331 −182 L9

New Mexico FAQ

Who does New Mexico play next?

Next up for New Mexico: home against UNLV, Saturday, November 14, 7:30 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is New Mexico’s record this season?

New Mexico is 8-1, 1st in the Mountain West.

Who leads New Mexico in passing yards?

Toa Faavae, with 1,038 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (6 TD · 7 INT · 59.5% comp. · 9 games).

What is the model’s record picking New Mexico games?

Its best pick is 2-1 in New Mexico games this season (66.7%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

Mountain West rivals

All teams

New Mexico this week

New Mexico is 8-1, 5-0 in Mountain West play. Its last game was a 31–3 win over Nevada on November 6, its sixth in a row. Its offense averages 34.6 points a game (25th in FBS), and its defense allows 10.9 (1st).

Next up, New Mexico hosts UNLV on Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, New Mexico is a 14.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 46.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the UNLV vs New Mexico prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.