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NCAA FBS Mountain West

North Dakota State football predictions & picks

Mountain West

2026 record
7-2
.778 · 9 games
Mountain West
2nd
Conference 4-2
PPG
28.1
Opp. 11.9 · net +16.2
Streak
W1
+146 point differential
Last 5
Won 28–0 vs Wyoming · Sat, Oct 3 Lost 7–13 at UNLV · Sat, Oct 10 Won 31–17 vs Nevada · Sat, Oct 17 Lost 16–21 at New Mexico · Sat, Oct 24 Won 31–7 vs UTEP · Sat, Oct 31
3-2 in the last 5

North Dakota State next game

Wk 11
N Dakota St @10:00 PM ET Saturday, November 14 Hawai'i
Picks

The model publishes its moneyline, spread and over/under picks in the days before kickoff. They will be here, and on the game’s own page.

North Dakota State 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends
WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page
Wk 1Sat, Aug 29Aug 29 vsJacksonville State Jax State W33–7 —
Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 vsFordham Fordham W38–0 —
Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 @Air Force Air Force W38–32 —
Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 @Sacramento State Sacramento St W31–10 —
Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 vsWyoming Wyoming W28–0 —
Wk 6Sat, Oct 10Oct 10 @UNLV UNLV L7–13 —
Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 vsNevada Nevada W31–17 NDSU ML−769✓ Nevada at N Dakota St prediction
Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 @New Mexico New Mexico L16–21 UNM +3.5−303✓ N Dakota St at New Mexico prediction
Wk 9Sat, Oct 31Oct 31 vsUTEP UTEP W31–7 NDSU −18.5−192✓ UTEP at N Dakota St prediction
Wk 11Sat, Nov 14Nov 14 @Hawai'i Hawai'i 10:00 PM ET Pick coming soonOur model publishes its moneyline, spread and over/under picks up to four days before kickoff, once the odds have settled.
Wk 12Sat, Nov 21Nov 21 vsNorthern Illinois N Illinois 3:00 PM ET Pick coming soonOur model publishes its moneyline, spread and over/under picks up to four days before kickoff, once the odds have settled.

North Dakota State team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 28.1/ game 70th
Total yards 351.8/ game 97th
Passing yards 194.3/ game 103rd
Rushing yards 157.4/ game 61st
Third-down conversions 39.7% 76th
Giveaways 1.0/ game 36th
Time of possession 32:34 15th

Defense

Points allowed 11.9/ game 2nd
Yards allowed 248.8/ game 2nd
Passing yards allowed 124.4/ game 2nd
Rushing yards allowed 124.3/ game 39th
Takeaways 2.0/ game 5th
Penalties 6.4/ game 67th

North Dakota State leaders

2026 regular season
Passing Nathan Hayes 1,710yds 13 TD · 8 INT · 63.6% comp. · 9 games
Rushing Myles Mitchell 398yds 3 TD · 4.2 per carry · 8 games
Receiving Jackson Williams 614yds 42 catches · 1 TD · 9 games
Tackles Donovan Woolen 66 9 games
Sacks Kelton McCaslin 6 8 games
Interceptions Marion Moore 5 2 passes defended · 9 games

North Dakota State picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted
100.0% 3 won · 0 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

Mountain West standings

All college standings
#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK
1 New Mexico New Mexico 810 8-1 .889 31198 +213 W6
2 North Dakota State N Dakota St 720 7-2 .778 253107 +146 W1
3 Air Force Air Force 720 7-2 .778 258193 +65 W2
4 Wyoming Wyoming 630 6-3 .667 197195 +2 W4
5 UNLV UNLV 540 5-4 .556 235231 +4 L1
6 San José State San Jose St 550 5-5 .500 209220 −11 W1
7 Nevada Nevada 360 3-6 .333 187212 −25 L2
8 Hawaii Hawai'i 360 3-6 .333 183210 −27 W2
9 UTEP UTEP 180 1-8 .111 127309 −182 L7
10 Northern Illinois N Illinois 090 0-9 .000 149331 −182 L9

North Dakota State FAQ

Who does North Dakota State play next?

Next up for North Dakota State: on the road at Hawai'i, Saturday, November 14, 10:00 PM ET. Our picks for it go up in the days before kickoff.

What is North Dakota State’s record this season?

North Dakota State is 7-2, 2nd in the Mountain West.

Who leads North Dakota State in passing yards?

Nathan Hayes, with 1,710 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (13 TD · 8 INT · 63.6% comp. · 9 games).

What is the model’s record picking North Dakota State games?

Its best pick is 3-0 in North Dakota State games this season (100.0%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

Mountain West rivals

All teams

North Dakota State this week

North Dakota State is 7-2, 4-2 in Mountain West play. Its last game was a 31–7 win over UTEP at home on October 31. Its offense averages 28.1 points a game (70th in FBS), and its defense allows 11.9 (2nd).

Next up, North Dakota State visits Hawai'i on Saturday, November 14 at 10:00 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, North Dakota State is a 6.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 38.5 points. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.