NCAA FBS SEC

Mississippi State football predictions & picks

Southeastern Conference

2026 record: 4-5
SEC: 14th
PPG: 26.2
Streak: L5
Last 5: Lost 23–56 vs Alabama · Sat, Oct 3 Lost 0–31 at LSU · Sat, Oct 17 Lost 15–23 vs Oklahoma · Sat, Oct 24 Lost 3–31 at Texas · Sat, Oct 31 Lost 23–25 vs Vanderbilt · Sat, Nov 7

Mississippi State next game

Wk 11

Mississippi St vs12:00 PM ET Saturday, November 14 Auburn

Best pick MSST +7.5−250 77% confidence See the prediction: Auburn at Mississippi St

Mississippi State 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 vs UL Monroe UL Monroe W62–13 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 @Minnesota Minnesota W38–13 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 @South Carolina South Carolina W41–34 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 vs Missouri Missouri W31–24 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 vs Alabama Alabama L23–56 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @LSU LSU L0–31 O 50.5−204✗ Mississippi St at LSU prediction

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs Oklahoma Oklahoma L15–23 OU +3.5−192✓ Oklahoma at Mississippi St prediction

Wk 9Sat, Oct 31Oct 31 @Texas Texas L3–31 MSST +28.5−303✓ Mississippi St at Texas prediction

Wk 10Sat, Nov 7Nov 7 vs Vanderbilt Vanderbilt L23–25 VAN +8.5−256✓ Vanderbilt at Mississippi St prediction

Wk 11Sat, Nov 14Nov 14 vs Auburn Auburn 12:00 PM ET MSST +7.5−250 Auburn at Mississippi St prediction

Wk 12Sat, Nov 21Nov 21 vs Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 12:00 PM ET Pick coming soon

Mississippi State team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 26.2/ game 85th

Total yards 395.8/ game 53rd

Passing yards 247.3/ game 38th

Rushing yards 148.4/ game 76th

Third-down conversions 39.7% 76th

Giveaways 1.3/ game 78th

Time of possession 27:29 121st

Defense

Points allowed 27.8/ game 100th

Yards allowed 372.7/ game 86th

Passing yards allowed 251.1/ game 124th

Rushing yards allowed 121.6/ game 36th

Takeaways 0.9/ game 111th

Penalties 7.2/ game 100th

Mississippi State leaders

2026 regular season

Passing Kamario Taylor 1,460yds 17 TD · 4 INT · 65.4% comp. · 6 games

Rushing Fluff Bothwell 613yds 3 TD · 5.0 per carry · 8 games

Receiving Anthony Evans III 711yds 61 catches · 5 TD · 9 games

Tackles Jardin Gilbert 55 8 games

Sacks Jaray Bledsoe 3.5 9 games

Interceptions Jalen Smith 1 4 games

Mississippi State picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

75.0% 3 won · 1 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

SEC standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 Georgia Georgia 810 8-1 .889 370126 +244 W2

2 Tennessee Tennessee 720 7-2 .778 292136 +156 W1

3 Alabama Alabama 720 7-2 .778 337183 +154 W2

4 Texas Texas 720 7-2 .778 280157 +123 W3

5 Kentucky Kentucky 720 7-2 .778 269232 +37 L1

6 LSU LSU 630 6-3 .667 334159 +175 L1

7 South Carolina South Carolina 630 6-3 .667 312211 +101 W4

8 Missouri Missouri 630 6-3 .667 272181 +91 L1

9 Ole Miss Ole Miss 630 6-3 .667 304234 +70 L1

10 Florida Florida 540 5-4 .556 292248 +44 L2

11 Oklahoma Oklahoma 540 5-4 .556 199173 +26 W1

12 Auburn Auburn 540 5-4 .556 219237 −18 W1

13 Texas A&M Texas A&M 450 4-5 .444 235168 +67 L2

14 Mississippi State Mississippi St 450 4-5 .444 236250 −14 L5

15 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 450 4-5 .444 207265 −58 W1

16 Arkansas Arkansas 360 3-6 .333 180247 −67 L2

Mississippi State FAQ

Who does Mississippi State play next?

Next up for Mississippi State: home against Auburn, Saturday, November 14, 12:00 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is Mississippi State’s record this season?

Mississippi State is 4-5, 14th in the SEC.

Who leads Mississippi State in passing yards?

Kamario Taylor, with 1,460 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (17 TD · 4 INT · 65.4% comp. · 6 games).

What is the model’s record picking Mississippi State games?

Its best pick is 3-1 in Mississippi State games this season (75.0%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

SEC rivals

All teams

Alabama Arkansas Auburn Florida Georgia Kentucky LSU Missouri Oklahoma Ole Miss South Carolina Tennessee Texas Texas A&M Vanderbilt

Mississippi State this week

Mississippi State is 4-5, 2-5 in SEC play. Its last game was a 25–23 loss to Vanderbilt at home on November 7, its fifth in a row. Its offense averages 26.2 points a game (85th in FBS), and its defense allows 27.8 (100th).

Next up, Mississippi State hosts Auburn on Saturday, November 14 at 12:00 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, Mississippi State is a 2.5-point underdog, and the over/under is 50.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the Auburn vs Mississippi State prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.