NCAA FBS Pac-12

Texas State football predictions & picks

Pacific-12

2026 record: 5-4
Pac-12: 3rd
PPG: 38.6
Streak: W1
Last 5: Lost 29–31 at San Diego State · Sat, Oct 3 Won 66–27 vs Colorado State · Thu, Oct 15 Won 20–17 vs Utah State · Sat, Oct 24 Lost 45–46 at Boise State · Fri, Oct 30 Won 42–21 at Oregon State · Sat, Nov 7

Texas State next game

Wk 11

Texas St vs4:00 PM ET Saturday, November 14 Fresno St

Best pick TXST ML−385 91% confidence See the prediction: Fresno St at Texas St

Texas State 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 @Texas Texas L7–59 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vs UTSA UTSA L26–31 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 vs North Texas North Texas W49–35 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 vs Incarnate Word Incarnate Word W63–10 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 @San Diego State San Diego St L29–31 —

Wk 7Thu, Oct 15Oct 15 vs Colorado State Colorado St W66–27 TXST ML−833✓ Colorado St at Texas St prediction

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs Utah State Utah State W20–17 TXST ML−667✓ Utah State at Texas St prediction

Wk 9Fri, Oct 30Oct 30 @Boise State Boise St L45–46 —

Wk 10Sat, Nov 7Nov 7 @Oregon State Oregon St W42–21 TXST +13.5−294✓ Texas St at Oregon St prediction

Wk 11Sat, Nov 14Nov 14 vs Fresno State Fresno St 4:00 PM ET TXST ML−385 Fresno St at Texas St prediction

Wk 12Sat, Nov 21Nov 21 vs Washington State Washington St 5:00 PM ET Pick coming soon

Texas State team stats

2026 regular season · 9 games · rank among 138 FBS teams

Offense

Points 38.6/ game 11th

Total yards 469.0/ game 10th

Passing yards 214.9/ game 82nd

Rushing yards 254.1/ game 6th

Third-down conversions 56.5% 2nd

Giveaways 1.3/ game 78th

Time of possession 27:12 128th

Defense

Points allowed 30.8/ game 114th

Yards allowed 348.7/ game 63rd

Passing yards allowed 250.4/ game 123rd

Rushing yards allowed 98.2/ game 15th

Takeaways 0.8/ game 120th

Penalties 5.1/ game 29th

Texas State leaders

2026 regular season

Passing Brad Jackson 1,820yds 15 TD · 6 INT · 69.6% comp. · 8 games

Rushing Torrance Burgess Jr. 1,079yds 6 TD · 7.4 per carry · 8 games

Receiving Chris Dawn Jr. 444yds 43 catches · 4 TD · 8 games

Tackles Jayden Bradley 53 8 games

Sacks Tymere Jackson 2.5 8 games

Interceptions Trez Moore 1 8 passes defended · 7 games

Texas State picks record

Our best picks on their games, 2026 · pushes not counted

100.0% 3 won · 0 lostSmall sample so far. Picks never change once posted and are graded from the final score. Full track record

Pac-12 standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 Boise State Boise St 810 8-1 .889 351227 +124 W8

2 Oregon State Oregon St 540 5-4 .556 342242 +100 L2

3 Texas State Texas St 540 5-4 .556 347277 +70 W1

4 Fresno State Fresno St 540 5-4 .556 241185 +56 L1

5 Utah State Utah State 450 4-5 .444 152185 −33 W2

6 San Diego State San Diego St 450 4-5 .444 238309 −71 W1

7 Colorado State Colorado St 360 3-6 .333 322403 −81 L2

8 Washington State Washington St 180 1-8 .111 171247 −76 L6

Texas State FAQ

Who does Texas State play next?

Next up for Texas State: home against Fresno State, Saturday, November 14, 4:00 PM ET. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for that game are on its prediction page.

What is Texas State’s record this season?

Texas State is 5-4, 3rd in the Pac-12.

Who leads Texas State in passing yards?

Brad Jackson, with 1,820 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (15 TD · 6 INT · 69.6% comp. · 8 games).

What is the model’s record picking Texas State games?

Its best pick is 3-0 in Texas State games this season (100.0%, small sample). Picks never change once posted, and each one is graded from the final score.

Pac-12 rivals

All teams

Boise State Colorado State Fresno State Oregon State San Diego State Utah State Washington State

Texas State this week

Texas State is 5-4, 3-2 in Pac-12 play. Its last game was a 42–21 win over Oregon State on November 7. Its offense averages 38.6 points a game (11th in FBS), and its defense allows 30.8 (114th).

Next up, Texas State hosts Fresno State on Saturday, November 14 at 4:00 PM ET. At the sportsbooks, Texas State is a 9.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 60.5 points. Our moneyline, spread and over/under picks for the game are on the Fresno State vs Texas State prediction page. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.