Moneyline
WMU MLodds down −323
Won 94%
W Michigan wins the game.
Confidence94%
Model69.0%
SportsbooksOdds71.7%
Edge−2.7
Western Michigan vs Central Michigan prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| CMU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 |
W MICHIGAN 69%
Pre-game win chance
31% C MICHIGAN
WMU by 28 · 42 points
Updated Oct 17, 4:54 PM ET
W Michigan vs C Michigan picks
3 picks · W Michigan by 28 · 42 points · 2 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
WMU +1.5−286
Won 77%
W Michigan wins, or loses by one point or fewer.
Confidence77%
Model71.0%
SportsbooksOdds71.0%
Edge0.0
Total
Over 35.5odds down −270
Lost 74%
The two teams score 36 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model69.3%
SportsbooksOdds69.3%
Edge0.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
W Michigan771471435
C Michigan070077
Most likely final scoresWMU 35–7 CMU 0.7%WMU 28–21 CMU 0.6%WMU 28–14 CMU 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
W MichiganC Michigan
Offense
361▼ 272
Total yards
▲ 337322
183▼ 48
Passing yards
▲ 179163
178▲ 224
Rushing yards
▼ 158159
21▼ 15
First downs
▲ 2018
Scoring
4▼ 3
Touchdowns
▲ 21
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 10
2= 2
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
2▼ 0
Field goals made
= 00
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
51▼ 31
Penalty yards
▲ 6256
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 287.5
Proj. 361
72%
Lost · 272
Passing yards
Over 126.5
Proj. 183
72%
Lost · 48
Rushing yards
Over 125.5
Proj. 178
72%
Won · 224
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 21
74%
Lost · 15
Total yards
Over 248.5
Proj. 322
72%
Won · 337
Passing yards
Over 105.5
Proj. 163
72%
Won · 179
Rushing yards
Over 106.5
Proj. 159
72%
Won · 158
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 18
74%
Won · 20
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
W Michigan
QB
Broc Lowry15/24 · 173 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.7 INT
173pass yds
RB
Jalen Buckley14 carries · 75 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 2 rec
75rush yds
WR/TE
Aveion Chenault4 rec · 57 yds · 0.3 TD
57rec yds
WR/TE
Nathan Levicki2 rec · 26 yds · 0.0 TD
26rec yds
C Michigan
QB
Angel H Flores8/14 · 88 pass yds · 0.0 TD · 0.3 INT
88pass yds
RB
Jayden Clerveaux7 carries · 34 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 1 rec
34rush yds
WR/TE
Langston Lewis2 rec · 42 yds · 0.0 TD
42rec yds
WR/TE
Nicholas Woodford2 rec · 11 yds · 0.0 TD
11rec yds
Road form. W Michigan is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 3.0 points a game.
Home form. C Michigan is 3-0 at home, scoring 26.0 points a game there.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
Western MichiganCentral Michigan
Western MichiganCentral Michigan
4-2Record3-3
2-1 roadRoad / home3-0 home
W2StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
25.7Points per game17.0
17.3Points allowed26.3
+50
Point differentialseason to date
−56
176Passing yards / game96
155Rushing yards / game189
43%3rd-down conversion36%
6Takeaways11
0Sacks0
2Turnovers10
139Passing yards / game86
155Rushing yards / game290
47%3rd-down conversion37%
3Takeaways9
0Sacks0
1Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares W Michigan’s road games with C Michigan’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
W Michigan
4-2
WWLWW
Wk 6Oct 10vs KENT
Kent State7W Michigan38
Kent State moneyline +380W Michigan moneyline −667
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ BUFF
W Michigan20Buffalo17
W Michigan moneyline −667Buffalo moneyline +400
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs BSU
Boise St32W Michigan7
Boise St moneyline −370W Michigan moneyline +250
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ RICE
W Michigan28Rice21
W Michigan moneyline −400Rice moneyline +280
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs MONM
Monmouth14W Michigan49
Monmouth moneyline +1300W Michigan moneyline −10000
WFINAL
C Michigan
3-3
WWLWL
Wk 6Oct 10@ OHIO
C Michigan14Ohio31
C Michigan moneyline +107Ohio moneyline −145
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs AKR
Akron17C Michigan41
Akron moneyline +215C Michigan moneyline −303
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ MIA
C Michigan3Miami52
C Michigan: no odds on recordMiami: no odds on record
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs WYO
Wyoming10C Michigan24
Wyoming moneyline −127C Michigan moneyline −105
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs COLG
Colgate10C Michigan13
Colgate moneyline +820C Michigan moneyline −2000
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameMAC
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
W MICHIGAN
1
Wins
Avg. points24.0 – 21.0
Avg. total45.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
0
C MICHIGAN
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 10W Michigan home
C Michigan21W Michigan24
C Michigan moneyline +165W Michigan moneyline −217
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (WMU)−263down −278
Moneyline (CMU)+205up +220
Spread (CMU)+7.5+7.5
Total43.543.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Western Michigan beat Central Michigan 21–14 in college football Week 7, on Saturday, October 17 at 1:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Western Michigan at −278 and Central Michigan at +220.
Our model predicted a final score of W Michigan 35, C Michigan 7. Its picks: Western Michigan to win (−323), won; Western Michigan +1.5 (−286), won; over 35.5 points (−270), lost. The best pick was Western Michigan +1.5, at 77% confidence.