Moneyline
CMU MLodds down −1250
95%
C Michigan wins the game.
Confidence95%
Model86.8%
SportsbooksOdds84.6%
Edge+2.2
Sacramento State vs Central Michigan prediction, picks and odds
SpreadCMU −17.5
Total43.5 points
Kickoff in4h 11m
Updated 3:18 PM ET
Sacramento St vs C Michigan picks
3 picks · C Michigan by 28 · 56 pointsSpreadBest pick
CMU −14.5odds down −149
74%
C Michigan wins by 15 points or more.
Confidence74%
Model58.1%
SportsbooksOdds50.0%
Edge+8.1
Total
Over 43.5odds up −114
74%
The two teams score 44 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model58.6%
SportsbooksOdds50.0%
Edge+8.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Sacramento St0707714
C Michigan1414772842
Most likely final scoresSAC 14–42 CMU 0.7%SAC 7–42 CMU 0.6%SAC 14–38 CMU 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Sacramento StC Michigan
Offense
275
Total yards
373
161
Passing yards
178
114
Rushing yards
195
16
First downs
20
Scoring
2
Touchdowns
5
1
Passing touchdowns
2
1
Rushing touchdowns
3
0
Field goals made
2
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
0
Sacks allowed
0
59
Penalty yards
52
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 202.5
Proj. 275
72%
Passing yards
Over 103.5
Proj. 161
72%
Rushing yards
Over 62.5
Proj. 114
72%
First downs
Over 12.5
Proj. 16
73%
Total yards
Over 299.5
Proj. 373
72%
Passing yards
Over 120.5
Proj. 178
72%
Rushing yards
Over 142.5
Proj. 195
72%
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
73%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Sacramento St
QB
Brian Salazar5/8 · 56 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.0 INT
56pass yds
RB
Isaiah Ene11 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
64rush yds
WR/TE
Raiden Brown3 rec · 42 yds · 0.0 TD
42rec yds
WR/TE
Matthew Coleman4 rec · 32 yds · 0.6 TD
32rec yds
C Michigan
QB
Jadyn Glasser8/12 · 107 pass yds · 1.2 TD · 0.7 INT
107pass yds
RB
Angel H Flores19 carries · 94 rush yds · 0.4 TD
94rush yds
WR/TE
Langston Lewis4 rec · 76 yds · 1.0 TD
76rec yds
WR/TE
Justin Ruffin Jr.3 rec · 24 yds · 0.0 TD
24rec yds
Line move. The spread opened at CMU −14.5 and is now CMU −17.5, a 3-point move toward C Michigan.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
Sacramento StateCentral Michigan
Sacramento StateCentral Michigan
2-8Record4-5
L1StreakW1
7 daysRest7 days
17.0Points per game19.8
29.3Points allowed23.8
12th MACConference7th MAC
−123
Point differentialseason to date
−36
191Passing yards / game129
98Rushing yards / game177
32%3rd-down conversion37%
11Takeaways15
0Sacks0
16Turnovers11
182Passing yards / game131
71Rushing yards / game219
23%3rd-down conversion36%
4Takeaways12
0Sacks0
5Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Sacramento St’s road games with C Michigan’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Sacramento St
2-8
LLLWL
Wk 10Nov 4vs TOL
Toledo20Sacramento St17
Toledo moneyline −5000Sacramento St moneyline +1400
LFINAL
Wk 9Oct 30vs KENT
Kent State10Sacramento St31
Kent State moneyline −303Sacramento St moneyline +225
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24@ BALL
Sacramento St17Ball State34
Sacramento St moneyline +475Ball State moneyline −833
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs OHIO
Ohio48Sacramento St7
Ohio moneyline −1250Sacramento St moneyline +700
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ BGSU
Sacramento St10Bowling Green38
Sacramento St moneyline +270Bowling Green moneyline −357
LFINAL
C Michigan
4-5
WLLLW
Wk 10Nov 4@ EMU
C Michigan35E Michigan7
C Michigan moneyline −141E Michigan moneyline +114
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs M-OH
Miami OH28C Michigan27
Miami OH moneyline −192C Michigan moneyline +143
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs WMU
W Michigan21C Michigan14
W Michigan moneyline −278C Michigan moneyline +220
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ OHIO
C Michigan14Ohio31
C Michigan moneyline +107Ohio moneyline −145
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs AKR
Akron17C Michigan41
Akron moneyline +215C Michigan moneyline −303
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standingsTeams in this gameMAC
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (SAC)+700+700
Moneyline (CMU)−1250−1250
Spread (CMU)−14.5down −17.5
Total43.543.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Sacramento State visits Central Michigan in college football Week 11, on Wednesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET. Sacramento State comes in at 2-8 and Central Michigan at 4-5. The moneyline has Sacramento State at +700 and Central Michigan at −1250.
Our model predicts a final score of Sacramento St 14, C Michigan 42. Its picks: Central Michigan to win (−1250); Central Michigan −14.5 (−149); over 43.5 points (−114). The best pick is Central Michigan −14.5, at 74% confidence.