MoneylineBest pick
OHIO MLodds down −526
Won 91%
Ohio wins the game.
Confidence91%
Model74.5%
SportsbooksOdds81.0%
Edge−6.5
Eastern Michigan vs Ohio prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 0 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 20 |
| OHIO | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
E MICHIGAN 26%
Pre-game win chance
74% OHIO
OHIO by 7 · 49 points
Updated Oct 24, 9:05 PM ET
E Michigan vs Ohio picks
3 picks · Ohio by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 wonSpread
EMU +19.5odds up −256
Won 80%
E Michigan wins, or loses by 19 points or fewer.
Confidence80%
Model70.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.8%
Edge+0.6
Total
Over 42.5odds up −227
Won 74%
The two teams score 43 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model70.3%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge+1.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
E Michigan7077721
Ohio014771428
Most likely final scoresEMU 21–28 OHIO 0.6%EMU 21–24 OHIO 0.5%EMU 28–31 OHIO 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
E MichiganOhio
Offense
330▼ 307
Total yards
▼ 356400
209▼ 197
Passing yards
▲ 266195
121▼ 110
Rushing yards
▼ 90205
19▼ 18
First downs
▼ 1721
Scoring
3▼ 1
Touchdowns
▼ 24
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
2▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 12
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▲ 21
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▲ 21
0
Sacks allowed
0
53▼ 35
Penalty yards
▼ 2558
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 257.5
Proj. 330
72%
Won · 307
Passing yards
Over 152.5
Proj. 210
72%
Won · 197
Rushing yards
Over 68.5
Proj. 121
72%
Won · 110
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
71%
Won · 18
Total yards
Over 326.5
Proj. 400
72%
Won · 356
Passing yards
Over 138.5
Proj. 195
72%
Won · 266
Rushing yards
Over 152.5
Proj. 205
72%
Lost · 90
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Lost · 17
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
E Michigan
QB
Noah Kim18/30 · 203 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT
203pass yds
RB
Joey Mattord9 carries · 41 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec
41rush yds
WR/TE
Joshua Long4 rec · 48 yds · 0.3 TD
48rec yds
WR/TE
Harold Mack4 rec · 47 yds · 0.4 TD
47rec yds
Ohio
QB
Nick Poulos10/15 · 144 pass yds · 1.6 TD · 0.0 INT
144pass yds
RB
Duncan Brune14 carries · 71 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec
71rush yds
WR/TE
Riley Neer5 rec · 66 yds · 0.8 TD
66rec yds
WR/TE
Jake Furtney3 rec · 28 yds · 0.0 TD
28rec yds
Road form. E Michigan is 2-2 on the road this season, losing by 11.5 points a game.
Home form. Ohio is 3-0 at home, scoring 31.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at OHIO −9.5 and is now OHIO −11.5, a 2-point move toward Ohio.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. Ohio has won 4 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Eastern MichiganOhio
Eastern MichiganOhio
4-4Record5-2
2-2 roadRoad / home3-0 home
L1StreakW4
7 daysRest7 days
21.5Points per game30.4
25.9Points allowed22.1
−35
Point differentialseason to date
+58
215Passing yards / game164
105Rushing yards / game207
42%3rd-down conversion52%
9Takeaways5
0Sacks0
10Turnovers8
192Passing yards / game159
123Rushing yards / game237
49%3rd-down conversion56%
4Takeaways2
0Sacks0
6Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares E Michigan’s road games with Ohio’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
E Michigan
4-4
LWWWL
Wk 7Oct 17vs TOL
Toledo34E Michigan14
Toledo moneyline −294E Michigan moneyline +230
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ AKR
E Michigan25Akron23
E Michigan moneyline −227Akron moneyline +156
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ MASS
E Michigan38UMass14
E Michigan moneyline +180UMass moneyline −244
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs LIND
Lindenwood3E Michigan29
Lindenwood moneyline +900E Michigan moneyline −3333
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ WIS
E Michigan10Wisconsin54
E Michigan moneyline +1000Wisconsin moneyline −3333
LFINAL
Ohio
5-2
LWWWW
Wk 7Oct 17@ SAC
Ohio48Sacramento St7
Ohio moneyline −1250Sacramento St moneyline +700
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs CMU
C Michigan14Ohio31
C Michigan moneyline +107Ohio moneyline −145
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ KENT
Ohio13Kent State10
Ohio moneyline −182Kent State moneyline +140
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs STON
Stonehill7Ohio35
Stonehill moneyline +1500Ohio moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ USA
Ohio36South Alabama41
Ohio moneyline +200South Alabama moneyline −286
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameMAC
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
E MICHIGAN
0
Wins
Avg. points21.0 – 28.0
Avg. total49.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
OHIO
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 9Rynearson Stadium
E Michigan21Ohio28
E Michigan moneyline −476Ohio moneyline +320
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (EMU)+320up +370
Moneyline (OHIO)−455down −588
Spread (OHIO)−9.5down −11.5
Total49.5down 48.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Ohio beat Eastern Michigan 24–20 in college football Week 8, on Saturday, October 24 at 4:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Eastern Michigan at +370 and Ohio at −588.
Our model predicted a final score of E Michigan 21, Ohio 28. Its picks: Ohio to win (−526), won; Eastern Michigan +19.5 (−256), won; over 42.5 points (−227), won. The best pick was Ohio to win, at 91% confidence.