3 picks · C Michigan by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won
Moneyline
CMU ML▾odds down −145Won61%
C Michigan wins the game.
Confidence61%
Model53.5%SportsbooksOdds47.8%Edge+5.7
SpreadBest pick
CMU +1.5▾odds down −154Won74%
C Michigan wins, or loses by one point or fewer.
Confidence74%
Model55.6%SportsbooksOdds50.0%Edge+5.6
Total
Over 45.5▴odds up −103Lost74%
The two teams score 46 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model53.0%SportsbooksOdds50.0%Edge+3.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
CMUC Michigan014771428
EMUE Michigan77071421
Most likely final scoresCMU 28–21 EMU 0.6%CMU 27–24 EMU 0.5%CMU 31–24 EMU 0.4%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CMUC MichiganE MichiganEMU
Offense
353▲ 418Total yards▼ 177342
194▼ 183Passing yards▼ 103202
159▲ 235Rushing yards▼ 74140
18▲ 26First downs▼ 921
Scoring
3▲ 5Touchdowns▼ 13
1= 1Passing touchdowns▼ 12
2▲ 4Rushing touchdowns▼ 01
2▼ 0Field goals made= 00
Ball security
1▼ 0Turnovers= 11
1▼ 0Interceptions thrown= 11
1▼ 0Fumbles lost▼ 01
0Sacks allowed0
61▼ 20Penalty yards▼ 3750
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
CMUTotal yardsOver 279.5Proj. 35372%Won · 418
CMUPassing yardsOver 137.5Proj. 19472%Won · 183
CMURushing yardsOver 106.5Proj. 15972%Won · 235
CMUFirst downsOver 14.5Proj. 1870%Won · 26
EMUTotal yardsOver 269.5Proj. 34272%Lost · 177
EMUPassing yardsOver 144.5Proj. 20272%Lost · 103
EMURushing yardsOver 88.5Proj. 14172%Lost · 74
EMUFirst downsOver 17.5Proj. 2171%Lost · 9
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.C Michigan is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 32.3 points a game.
Home form.E Michigan is 2-2 at home, scoring 23.0 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at EMU −1.5 and is now EMU +2.5, a 4-point move toward C Michigan.
Rest.Both teams come in on 11 days’ rest.
Streak.C Michigan has lost 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
CMUCentral MichiganEMUEastern Michigan
CMUCentral MichiganEMUEastern Michigan
3-5Record4-5
0-3 roadRoad / home2-2 home
L3StreakL2
11 daysRest11 days
17.9Points per game21.3
25.9Points allowed25.7
−64Point differentialseason to date−39
122Passing yards / game213
169Rushing yards / game106
36%3rd-down conversion39%
14Takeaways11
0Sacks0
11Turnovers11
107Passing yards / game238
87Rushing yards / game87
36%3rd-down conversion35%
2Takeaways5
0Sacks0
6Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares C Michigan’s road games with E Michigan’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
CMUC Michigan3-5LWLLL
Wk 8Oct 24vs M-OH
M-OHMiami OH28CMUC Michigan27
Miami OH moneyline −192C Michigan moneyline +143
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs WMU
WMUW Michigan21CMUC Michigan14
W Michigan moneyline −278C Michigan moneyline +220
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ OHIO
CMUC Michigan14OHIOOhio31
C Michigan moneyline +107Ohio moneyline −145
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs AKR
AKRAkron17CMUC Michigan41
Akron moneyline +215C Michigan moneyline −303
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ MIA
CMUC Michigan3MIAMiami52
–C Michigan: no odds on record–Miami: no odds on record
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 5Kelly/Shorts Stadium
CMUC Michigan24EMUE Michigan13
C Michigan moneyline +123E Michigan moneyline −167
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CMU)−141−141
Moneyline (EMU)+114+114
Spread (EMU)−1.5▴up +2.5
Total45.5▾down 44.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Central Michigan beat Eastern Michigan 35–7 in college football Week 10, on Wednesday, November 4 at 7:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Central Michigan at −141 and Eastern Michigan at +114.
Our model predicted a final score of C Michigan 28, E Michigan 21. Its picks: Central Michigan to win (−145), won; Central Michigan +1.5 (−154), won; over 45.5 points (−103), lost. The best pick was Central Michigan +1.5, at 74% confidence.