Akron vs Miami (OH) Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
AKR	7	0	7	0	14
M-OH	7	10	10	7	34

Akron vs Miami OH picks

3 picks · Miami OH by 14 · 42 points · 3 of 3 won

Moneyline

M-OH MLodds up −417 Won 94%

Miami OH wins the game.

Confidence94%

Model76.8% SportsbooksOdds79.5% Edge−2.7

Spread

M-OH −3.5odds down −256 Won 79%

Miami OH wins by four points or more.

Confidence79%

Model68.0% SportsbooksOdds68.0% Edge0.0

TotalBest pick

Over 38.5odds down −278 Won 81%

The two teams score 39 or more points between them.

Confidence81%

Model74.3% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+4.4

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Akron7070714

Miami OH770141428

Most likely final scoresAKR 14–28 M-OH 0.6%AKR 21–28 M-OH 0.6%AKR 7–35 M-OH 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

AkronMiami OH

Offense

339▼ 315 Total yards ▲ 389387

225▲ 234 Passing yards ▼ 65230

114▼ 81 Rushing yards ▲ 324157

19▼ 14 First downs ▼ 1620

Scoring

2= 2 Touchdowns ▲ 43

1= 1 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

1= 1 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 21

0= 0 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1▲ 4 Turnovers = 11

1▲ 4 Interceptions thrown = 11

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

53▼ 51 Penalty yards ▼ 4059

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 265.5 Proj. 339 72% Won · 315

Passing yards Over 167.5 Proj. 225 72% Won · 234

Rushing yards Over 61.5 Proj. 114 72% Won · 81

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 72% Lost · 14

Total yards Over 314.5 Proj. 387 72% Won · 389

Passing yards Over 173.5 Proj. 231 72% Lost · 65

Rushing yards Over 104.5 Proj. 157 72% Won · 324

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 69% Lost · 16

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Akron

QB Brayden Roggow11/21 · 154 pass yds · 0.6 TD · 0.6 INT 154pass yds

RB Jordan Gant13 carries · 55 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec 55rush yds

WR/TE Marcel Williams4 rec · 54 yds · 0.3 TD 54rec yds

WR/TE Kyan Mason3 rec · 30 yds · 0.0 TD 30rec yds

Miami OH

QB Caleb Heavner6/12 · 68 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.6 INT 68pass yds

RB Rodney Nelson10 carries · 48 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec 48rush yds

WR/TE Lynel BillupsWilliams3 rec · 45 yds · 0.5 TD 45rec yds

WR/TE Scoop Smith3 rec · 26 yds · 0.3 TD 26rec yds

Road form. Akron is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 26.7 points a game.

Home form. Miami OH is 2-1 at home, scoring 29.7 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 46.5 and is now 47.5.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Akron has lost 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

AkronMiami (OH)

1-5Record3-3

0-3 roadRoad / home2-1 home

L4StreakW1

7 daysRest7 days

19.7Points per game25.7

32.2Points allowed27.5

−75 Point differentialseason to date −11

202Passing yards / game242

141Rushing yards / game111

39%3rd-down conversion36%

6Takeaways4

0Sacks0

10Turnovers4

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Akron’s road games with Miami OH’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.