Akron vs Kent State Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
AKR	7	0	10	3	20
KENT	0	7	14	14	35

Akron vs Kent State picks

3 picks · Kent State by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 won

Moneyline

KENT ML−159 Won 73%

Kent State wins the game.

Confidence73%

Model58.3% SportsbooksOdds58.4% Edge−0.1

Spread

KENT +4.5−263 Won 80%

Kent State wins, or loses by four points or fewer.

Confidence80%

Model70.8% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge+1.5

TotalBest pick

Over 38.5odds down −294 Won 81%

The two teams score 39 or more points between them.

Confidence81%

Model74.2% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge+4.9

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Akron77071421

Kent State770141428

Most likely final scoresAKR 21–28 KENT 0.6%AKR 21–24 KENT 0.6%AKR 24–27 KENT 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

AkronKent State

Offense

344▲ 422 Total yards ▲ 376370

211▲ 275 Passing yards ▲ 294208

133▲ 147 Rushing yards ▼ 82162

19▲ 26 First downs ▲ 2119

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▲ 53

2▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▲ 42

1▲ 2 Rushing touchdowns = 11

0▲ 2 Field goals made ▼ 02

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers = 11

1= 1 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1= 1 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

54▲ 165 Penalty yards ▼ 3561

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 271.5 Proj. 344 72% Won · 422

Passing yards Over 153.5 Proj. 211 72% Won · 275

Rushing yards Over 81.5 Proj. 133 72% Won · 147

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 73% Won · 26

Total yards Over 297.5 Proj. 370 72% Won · 376

Passing yards Over 151.5 Proj. 208 72% Won · 294

Rushing yards Over 109.5 Proj. 162 72% Lost · 82

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 69% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Akron

QB Brayden Roggow14/23 · 167 pass yds · 1.1 TD · 0.7 INT 167pass yds

RB Jordan Gant16 carries · 75 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec 75rush yds

WR/TE Marcel Williams4 rec · 48 yds · 0.7 TD 48rec yds

WR/TE Miles Burris3 rec · 26 yds · 0.2 TD 26rec yds

Kent State

QB Dru Deshields16/26 · 202 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 202pass yds

RB Brandon White8 carries · 46 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 46rush yds

WR/TE Wayne Harris4 rec · 69 yds · 0.5 TD 69rec yds

WR/TE Da'Realyst Clark3 rec · 51 yds · 0.5 TD 51rec yds

Road form. Akron is 0-4 on the road this season, losing by 25.0 points a game.

Home form. Kent State is 2-1 at home, scoring 24.0 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at KENT −3.5 and is now KENT −2.5, a 1-point move toward Akron.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Akron has lost 5 in a row.

Tale of the tape

AkronKent State

1-6Record2-5

0-4 roadRoad / home2-1 home

L5StreakL3

7 daysRest7 days

18.9Points per game12.0

32.4Points allowed32.0

−95 Point differentialseason to date −140

207Passing yards / game170

133Rushing yards / game103

39%3rd-down conversion37%

7Takeaways6

0Sacks0

14Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Akron’s road games with Kent State’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.