Moneyline
LAR MLodds up −286
Won 88%
The Rams win the game.
Confidence88%
Model69.9%
SportsbooksOdds72.8%
Edge−2.9
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 1, 7:02 PM ET
Chargers vs Rams picks
3 picks · Rams by 3 · 43 points · 1 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
LAC +13.5odds down −278
Lost 78%
The Chargers win, or lose by 13 points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model67.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.3%
Edge−1.9
Total
Over 37.5odds down −323
Lost 76%
The two teams score 38 or more points between them.
Confidence76%
Model68.4%
SportsbooksOdds68.4%
Edge0.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Chargers371001020
Rams0130101323
Most likely final scoresLAC 20–23 LAR 0.7%LAC 24–27 LAR 0.7%LAC 17–24 LAR 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
ChargersRams
Offense
301▼ 295
Total yards
▼ 281367
187▲ 231
Passing yards
▼ 152239
114▼ 64
Rushing yards
▲ 129128
18▼ 14
First downs
▼ 1622
Scoring
2▼ 0
Touchdowns
= 33
1▼ 0
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
1▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 21
2▲ 3
Field goals made
= 11
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
= 11
1▲ 2
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2= 2
Sacks allowed
▼ 12
54▼ 20
Penalty yards
▼ 4057
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 254.5
Proj. 301
72%
Won · 295
Passing yards
Over 145.5
Proj. 187
72%
Won · 231
Rushing yards
Over 85.5
Proj. 114
72%
Lost · 64
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 18
71%
Lost · 14
Total yards
Over 320.5
Proj. 367
72%
Lost · 281
Passing yards
Over 197.5
Proj. 239
72%
Lost · 152
Rushing yards
Over 99.5
Proj. 128
72%
Won · 129
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 22
71%
Lost · 16
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Chargers
QB
Justin Herbert19/32 · 187 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
187pass yds
RB
Omarion Hampton13 carries · 46 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec
46rush yds
WR/TE
Oronde Gadsden II2 rec · 19 yds · 0.2 TD
19rec yds
WR/TE
Keaton Mitchell3 rec · 12 yds · 0.3 TD
12rec yds
Rams
QB
Matthew Stafford23/34 · 239 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT
239pass yds
RB
Kyren Williams15 carries · 77 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 4 rec
77rush yds
WR/TE
Puka Nacua8 rec · 92 yds · 0.5 TD
92rec yds
WR/TE
Tyler Higbee4 rec · 41 yds · 0.2 TD
41rec yds
Road form. The Chargers are 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 10.3 points a game.
Home form. The Rams are 1-3 at home, scoring 21.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at LAR −7.5 and is now LAR −6.5, a 1-point move toward the Chargers.
Rest. The Chargers come in on 14 days’ rest, the Rams on 7.
Streak. The Chargers have lost 6 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Rams
0-6Record3-4
0-3 roadRoad / home1-3 home
L6StreakW1
14 daysRest7 days
15.0Points per game24.3
25.2Points allowed22.7
−61
Point differentialseason to date
+11
4.6Yards per play5.8
168Passing yards / game274
119Rushing yards / game125
34%3rd-down conversion45%
50%Red-zone touchdowns69%
10Takeaways6
11Sacks10
15Turnovers11
4.7Yards per play6.0
186Passing yards / game264
117Rushing yards / game114
35%3rd-down conversion43%
30%Red-zone touchdowns73%
8Takeaways5
7Sacks3
7Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Chargers’ road games with the Rams’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Chargers
0-6
LLLLL
Wk 6Oct 18@ KC
Chargers6Chiefs22
Chargers moneyline +330Chiefs moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs DEN
Broncos23Chargers17
Broncos moneyline −189Chargers moneyline +151
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ SEA
Chargers23Seahawks30
Chargers moneyline +265Seahawks moneyline −357
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ BUF
Chargers16Bills24
Chargers moneyline +270Bills moneyline −345
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20vs LV
Raiders26Chargers14
Raiders moneyline +245Chargers moneyline −313
LFINAL
Rams
3-4
LWLLW
Wk 7Oct 25@ LV
Rams35Raiders21
Rams moneyline −175Raiders moneyline +147
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs ARI
Cardinals18Rams16
Cardinals moneyline +550Rams moneyline −833
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 12vs BUF
Bills37Rams34
Bills moneyline +142Rams moneyline −175
LF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4@ PHI
Rams24Eagles20
Rams moneyline −200Eagles moneyline +162
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ DEN
Rams26Broncos30
Rams moneyline −118Broncos moneyline −106
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC West
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
CHARGERS
1
Wins
Avg. points31.0 – 10.0
Avg. total41.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
0
RAMS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2022 · Wk 17SoFi Stadium
Rams10Chargers31
Rams moneyline +225Chargers moneyline −263
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LAC)+235+235
Moneyline (LAR)−303−303
Spread (LAR)−7.5up −6.5
Total43.5up 46
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Los Angeles Rams beat the Los Angeles Chargers 24–9 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 1 at 4:05 PM ET, at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. The moneyline had the Chargers at +235 and the Rams at −303.
Our model predicted a final score of Chargers 20, Rams 23. Its picks: the Rams to win (−286), won; the Chargers +13.5 (−278), lost; over 37.5 points (−323), lost. The best pick was the Chargers +13.5, at 78% confidence.