Moneyline
LV MLodds up +108
Won 54%
The Raiders win the game.
Confidence54%
Model52.3%
SportsbooksOdds49.3%
Edge+3.0
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 1, 4:17 PM ET
Raiders vs Jets picks
3 picks · Raiders by 3 · 43 points · 3 of 3 wonSpread
LV +5.5odds up −217
Won 76%
The Raiders win, or lose by five points or fewer.
Confidence76%
Model70.4%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+2.3
TotalBest pick
Over 38.5odds down −303
Won 77%
The two teams score 39 or more points between them.
Confidence77%
Model68.7%
SportsbooksOdds69.6%
Edge−0.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Raiders73761023
Jets06311620
Most likely final scoresLV 23–20 NYJ 1.1%LV 27–24 NYJ 0.6%LV 27–20 NYJ 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
RaidersJets
Offense
331▲ 333
Total yards
▲ 439324
229▲ 238
Passing yards
▲ 273205
102▼ 95
Rushing yards
▲ 166119
21▲ 22
First downs
▲ 2619
Scoring
3▲ 5
Touchdowns
▲ 32
2▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
▲ 21
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1= 1
Field goals made
▲ 42
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▼ 1
Sacks allowed
▼ 23
51▼ 37
Penalty yards
▼ 3256
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 284.5
Proj. 331
72%
Won · 333
Passing yards
Over 187.5
Proj. 229
72%
Won · 238
Rushing yards
Over 73.5
Proj. 102
72%
Won · 95
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
74%
Won · 22
Total yards
Over 277.5
Proj. 324
72%
Won · 439
Passing yards
Over 163.5
Proj. 205
72%
Won · 273
Rushing yards
Over 90.5
Proj. 119
72%
Won · 166
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
72%
Won · 26
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Raiders
QB
Kirk Cousins20/32 · 228 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT
228pass yds
RB
Ashton Jeanty17 carries · 59 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 4 rec
59rush yds
WR/TE
Brock Bowers6 rec · 71 yds · 0.6 TD
71rec yds
WR/TE
Tre Tucker4 rec · 59 yds · 0.6 TD
59rec yds
Jets
QB
Geno Smith20/31 · 205 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT
205pass yds
RB
Braelon Allen16 carries · 86 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
86rush yds
WR/TE
Garrett Wilson5 rec · 61 yds · 0.3 TD
61rec yds
WR/TE
Mason Taylor4 rec · 38 yds · 0.4 TD
38rec yds
Road form. The Raiders are 2-1 on the road this season, losing by 2.7 points a game.
Home form. The Jets are 1-2 at home, scoring 19.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at NYJ −1.5 and is now NYJ −2.5, a 1-point move toward the Jets.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. The Raiders have lost 4 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Las Vegas RaidersNew York Jets
Las Vegas RaidersNew York Jets
3-4Record2-5
2-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L4StreakL2
7 daysRest7 days
26.1Points per game19.6
28.1Points allowed21.4
−14
Point differentialseason to date
−13
5.3Yards per play5.2
269Passing yards / game207
75Rushing yards / game96
39%3rd-down conversion38%
46%Red-zone touchdowns45%
12Takeaways8
16Sacks19
8Turnovers5
5.3Yards per play4.9
248Passing yards / game210
69Rushing yards / game103
41%3rd-down conversion47%
58%Red-zone touchdowns56%
8Takeaways3
6Sacks13
3Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Raiders’ road games with the Jets’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Raiders
3-4
WLLLL
Wk 7Oct 25vs LAR
Rams35Raiders21
Rams moneyline −175Raiders moneyline +147
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs BUF
Bills33Raiders30
Bills moneyline −238Raiders moneyline +195
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ NE
Raiders17Patriots45
Raiders moneyline +148Patriots moneyline −185
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs KC
Chiefs30Raiders27
Chiefs moneyline −227Raiders moneyline +185
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ NO
Raiders35Saints27
Raiders moneyline +150Saints moneyline −200
WFINAL
Jets
2-5
LLWLL
Wk 7Oct 25vs MIA
Dolphins28Jets25
Dolphins moneyline +175Jets moneyline −208
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ NE
Jets19Patriots26
Jets moneyline +280Patriots moneyline −357
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs CLE
Browns12Jets17
Browns moneyline +121Jets moneyline −149
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ CHI
Jets12Bears23
Jets moneyline +155Bears moneyline −192
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ DET
Jets24Lions31
Jets moneyline +240Lions moneyline −323
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC West
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
RAIDERS
1
Wins
Avg. points16.0 – 12.0
Avg. total28.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
0
JETS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2023 · Wk 10Allegiant Stadium
Jets12Raiders16
Jets moneyline −115Raiders moneyline −105
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LV)+104up +111
Moneyline (NYJ)−123down −132
Spread (NYJ)−1.5down −2.5
Total44.5up 46
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Las Vegas Raiders beat the New York Jets 38–33 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. The moneyline had the Raiders at +111 and the Jets at −132.
Our model predicted a final score of Raiders 23, Jets 20. Its picks: the Raiders to win (+108), won; the Raiders +5.5 (−217), won; over 38.5 points (−303), won. The best pick was over 38.5 points, at 77% confidence.