MoneylineBest pick
DAL MLodds down −370
Lost 82%
The Cowboys win the game.
Confidence82%
Model67.8%
SportsbooksOdds75.0%
Edge−7.2
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 1, 5:02 PM ET
Cardinals vs Cowboys picks
3 picks · Cowboys by 3 · 51 points · 1 of 3 wonSpread
ARI +12.5odds up −196
Won 75%
The Cardinals win, or lose by 12 points or fewer.
Confidence75%
Model68.1%
SportsbooksOdds68.0%
Edge+0.1
Total
Under 61.5odds up −244
Lost 77%
The two teams score 61 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model76.1%
SportsbooksOdds69.3%
Edge+6.8
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Cardinals314071724
Cowboys0105121027
Most likely final scoresARI 24–27 DAL 0.9%ARI 20–23 DAL 0.7%ARI 27–30 DAL 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CardinalsCowboys
Offense
341▲ 467
Total yards
▼ 261366
228▲ 265
Passing yards
▼ 168246
113▲ 202
Rushing yards
▼ 93120
21▲ 24
First downs
▼ 1922
Scoring
3▲ 4
Touchdowns
= 33
2= 2
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1▲ 2
Field goals made
▲ 32
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▼ 01
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▲ 5
Sacks allowed
▲ 42
56▲ 77
Penalty yards
▼ 4554
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 294.5
Proj. 341
72%
Won · 467
Passing yards
Over 186.5
Proj. 228
72%
Won · 265
Rushing yards
Over 84.5
Proj. 113
72%
Won · 202
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 21
72%
Won · 24
Total yards
Over 319.5
Proj. 366
72%
Lost · 261
Passing yards
Over 204.5
Proj. 246
72%
Lost · 168
Rushing yards
Over 91.5
Proj. 120
72%
Won · 93
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 22
71%
Lost · 19
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Cardinals
QB
Jacoby Brissett24/36 · 228 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
228pass yds
RB
Tyler Allgeier8 carries · 23 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
23rush yds
WR/TE
Trey McBride8 rec · 69 yds · 0.7 TD
69rec yds
WR/TE
Kendrick Bourne3 rec · 33 yds · 0.0 TD
33rec yds
Cowboys
QB
Dak Prescott22/34 · 246 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
246pass yds
RB
Javonte Williams18 carries · 88 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
88rush yds
WR/TE
CeeDee Lamb7 rec · 91 yds · 0.9 TD
91rec yds
WR/TE
George Pickens5 rec · 68 yds · 0.4 TD
68rec yds
Road form. The Cardinals are 2-2 on the road this season, losing by 1.0 points a game.
Home form. The Cowboys are 1-2 at home, scoring 28.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at DAL −6.5 and is now DAL −7.5, a 1-point move toward the Cowboys.
Rest. The Cardinals come in on 7 days’ rest, the Cowboys on 6.
Tale of the tape
Arizona CardinalsDallas Cowboys
Arizona CardinalsDallas Cowboys
2-5Record3-4
2-2 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L1StreakW1
7 daysRest6 days
20.3Points per game27.0
29.7Points allowed25.7
−66
Point differentialseason to date
+9
4.6Yards per play5.6
218Passing yards / game259
96Rushing yards / game94
38%3rd-down conversion49%
43%Red-zone touchdowns74%
8Takeaways4
15Sacks10
6Turnovers7
4.8Yards per play6.2
229Passing yards / game283
113Rushing yards / game88
41%3rd-down conversion47%
39%Red-zone touchdowns73%
7Takeaways1
10Sacks1
4Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Cardinals’ road games with the Cowboys’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Cardinals
2-5
LLLWL
Wk 7Oct 25vs DEN
Broncos30Cardinals16
Broncos moneyline −233Cardinals moneyline +190
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ LAR
Cardinals18Rams16
Cardinals moneyline +550Rams moneyline −833
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs DET
Lions45Cardinals21
Lions moneyline −250Cardinals moneyline +191
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ NYG
Cardinals24Giants36
Cardinals moneyline −139Giants moneyline +110
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ SF
Cardinals3049ers36
Cardinals moneyline +30049ers moneyline −417
LFINAL
Cowboys
3-4
LWLLW
Wk 7Oct 26@ PHI
Cowboys38Eagles21
Cowboys moneyline −222Eagles moneyline +180
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ GB
Cowboys13Packers23
Cowboys moneyline −115Packers moneyline −105
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 8vs TB
Buccaneers24Cowboys16
Buccaneers moneyline +370Cowboys moneyline −526
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ HOU
Cowboys34Texans30
Cowboys moneyline +123Texans moneyline −152
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs BAL
Ravens34Cowboys31
Ravens moneyline −182Cowboys moneyline +150
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC West
NFC East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
CARDINALS
2
Wins
Avg. points27.5 – 16.5
Avg. total44.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 2
0
COWBOYS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 9AT&T Stadium
Cardinals27Cowboys17
Cardinals moneyline +145Cowboys moneyline −182
2023 · Wk 3State Farm Stadium
Cowboys16Cardinals28
Cowboys moneyline −714Cardinals moneyline +410
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (ARI)+270up +280
Moneyline (DAL)−345down −357
Spread (DAL)−6.5down −7.5
Total53.5up 54.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Arizona Cardinals beat the Dallas Cowboys 33–30 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET, at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. The moneyline had the Cardinals at +280 and the Cowboys at −357.
Our model predicted a final score of Cardinals 24, Cowboys 27. Its picks: the Cowboys to win (−370), lost; the Cardinals +12.5 (−196), won; under 61.5 points (−244), lost. The best pick was the Cowboys to win, at 82% confidence.