Moneyline
SEA MLodds down −179
Lost 78%
The Seahawks win the game.
Confidence78%
Model64.0%
SportsbooksOdds60.8%
Edge+3.2
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 2, 11:45 PM ET
Bears vs Seahawks picks
3 picks · Seahawks by 3 · 37 points · 1 of 3 wonSpread
SEA +2.5odds down −238
Lost 75%
The Seahawks win, or lose by two points or fewer.
Confidence75%
Model68.8%
SportsbooksOdds66.1%
Edge+2.7
TotalBest pick
Under 52.5odds down −250
Won 77%
The two teams score 52 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model69.8%
SportsbooksOdds67.8%
Edge+2.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Bears010071017
Seahawks0100101020
Most likely final scoresCHI 17–20 SEA 1.0%CHI 24–27 SEA 0.9%CHI 20–23 SEA 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
BearsSeahawks
Offense
305▲ 363
Total yards
▼ 252346
195▲ 237
Passing yards
▼ 171238
110▲ 126
Rushing yards
▼ 81108
18▲ 22
First downs
▼ 1819
Scoring
2▲ 4
Touchdowns
= 22
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 21
1▲ 3
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 01
1▲ 2
Field goals made
▼ 12
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▼ 1
Sacks allowed
▲ 32
52▲ 85
Penalty yards
▼ 4352
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 258.5
Proj. 305
72%
Won · 363
Passing yards
Over 154.5
Proj. 195
72%
Won · 237
Rushing yards
Over 81.5
Proj. 110
72%
Won · 126
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 18
71%
Won · 22
Total yards
Over 299.5
Proj. 346
72%
Lost · 252
Passing yards
Over 196.5
Proj. 238
72%
Lost · 171
Rushing yards
Over 79.5
Proj. 108
72%
Won · 81
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
72%
Won · 18
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Bears
QB
Caleb Williams20/30 · 195 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
195pass yds
RB
D'Andre Swift13 carries · 49 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
49rush yds
WR/TE
Luther Burden III4 rec · 60 yds · 0.4 TD
60rec yds
WR/TE
Colston Loveland4 rec · 34 yds · 0.4 TD
34rec yds
Seahawks
QB
Sam Darnold20/31 · 238 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
238pass yds
RB
Emanuel Wilson15 carries · 62 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 1 rec
62rush yds
WR/TE
Jaxon SmithNjigba8 rec · 125 yds · 0.6 TD
125rec yds
WR/TE
AJ Barner3 rec · 28 yds · 0.0 TD
28rec yds
Road form. The Bears are 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 2.0 points a game.
Home form. The Seahawks are 3-1 at home, scoring 23.0 points a game there.
Rest. The Bears come in on 11 days’ rest, the Seahawks on 8.
Tale of the tape
Chicago BearsSeattle Seahawks
Chicago BearsSeattle Seahawks
5-2Record4-3
2-1 roadRoad / home3-1 home
W2StreakW1
11 daysRest8 days
25.7Points per game24.0
20.4Points allowed17.9
+37
Point differentialseason to date
+43
5.4Yards per play5.4
236Passing yards / game230
154Rushing yards / game114
44%3rd-down conversion39%
53%Red-zone touchdowns50%
10Takeaways12
19Sacks17
11Turnovers13
5.5Yards per play5.2
232Passing yards / game189
157Rushing yards / game119
51%3rd-down conversion37%
82%Red-zone touchdowns33%
6Takeaways11
9Sacks11
7Turnovers6
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Bears’ road games with the Seahawks’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Bears
5-2
WWLWW
Wk 7Oct 22vs NE
Patriots24Bears30
Patriots moneyline +134Bears moneyline −159
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ ATL
Bears31Falcons23
Bears moneyline −118Falcons moneyline −103
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ GB
Bears7Packers31
Bears moneyline −122Packers moneyline +100
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs NYJ
Jets12Bears23
Jets moneyline +155Bears moneyline −192
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 28vs PHI
Eagles7Bears27
Eagles moneyline −200Bears moneyline +162
WFINAL
Seahawks
4-3
LWLLW
Wk 7Oct 25vs KC
Chiefs3Seahawks20
Chiefs moneyline +140Seahawks moneyline −164
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 15@ DEN
Seahawks14Broncos17
Seahawks moneyline −147Broncos moneyline +120
LF/OT
Wk 5Oct 11vs SF
49ers32Seahawks29
49ers moneyline +130Seahawks moneyline −159
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs LAC
Chargers23Seahawks30
Chargers moneyline +265Seahawks moneyline −357
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ WAS
Seahawks31Commanders33
Seahawks moneyline −400Commanders moneyline +310
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC North
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
BEARS
0
Wins
Avg. points3.0 – 6.0
Avg. total9.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
SEAHAWKS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 17Soldier Field
Seahawks6Bears3
Seahawks moneyline −227Bears moneyline +175
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CHI)+149+149
Moneyline (SEA)−179−179
Spread (SEA)−3.5−3.5
Total46.546.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Chicago Bears beat the Seattle Seahawks 34–17 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season (Monday Night Football on ESPN), on Monday, November 2 at 8:15 PM ET, at Lumen Field, Seattle. The moneyline had the Bears at +149 and the Seahawks at −179.
Our model predicted a final score of Bears 17, Seahawks 20. Its picks: the Seahawks to win (−179), lost; the Seahawks +2.5 (−238), lost; under 52.5 points (−250), won. The best pick was under 52.5 points, at 77% confidence.