MoneylineBest pick
WYO MLodds up −333
88%
Wyoming wins the game.
Confidence88%
Model71.4%
SportsbooksOdds76.0%
Edge−4.6
Wyoming vs UTEP prediction, picks and odds
Updated 1:48 PM ET
Wyoming vs UTEP picks
3 picks · Wyoming by 7 · 49 pointsSpread
UTEP +16.5odds down −278
78%
UTEP wins, or loses by 16 points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model66.4%
SportsbooksOdds67.2%
Edge−0.8
Total
Over 33.5odds up −250
74%
The two teams score 34 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model76.6%
SportsbooksOdds70.4%
Edge+6.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Wyoming770141428
UTEP0777721
Most likely final scoresWYO 28–21 UTEP 0.7%WYO 21–14 UTEP 0.6%WYO 24–21 UTEP 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
WyomingUTEP
Offense
379
Total yards
331
179
Passing yards
164
200
Rushing yards
167
20
First downs
18
Scoring
3
Touchdowns
2
1
Passing touchdowns
1
2
Rushing touchdowns
1
2
Field goals made
2
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
0
Sacks allowed
0
51
Penalty yards
54
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 306.5
Proj. 379
72%
Passing yards
Over 122.5
Proj. 180
72%
Rushing yards
Over 147.5
Proj. 200
72%
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
70%
Total yards
Over 257.5
Proj. 331
72%
Passing yards
Over 106.5
Proj. 164
72%
Rushing yards
Over 114.5
Proj. 167
72%
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 18
74%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Wyoming
QB
Tyler Hughes15/23 · 174 pass yds · 0.8 TD · 0.5 INT
174pass yds
RB
Markell Holman12 carries · 58 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
58rush yds
WR/TE
Jake Wilson3 rec · 40 yds · 0.6 TD
40rec yds
WR/TE
Eric Richardson3 rec · 31 yds · 0.0 TD
31rec yds
UTEP
QB
Raymond Moore III8/15 · 99 pass yds · 0.8 TD · 0.3 INT
99pass yds
RB
Tavorus Jones9 carries · 32 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec
32rush yds
WR/TE
Jaden Smith5 rec · 55 yds · 0.3 TD
55rec yds
WR/TE
Kam Thomas4 rec · 51 yds · 0.0 TD
51rec yds
Line move. The spread opened at UTEP +9.5 and is now UTEP +7.5, a 2-point move toward UTEP.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. Wyoming has won 4 in a row.
Streak. UTEP has lost 7 in a row.
Tale of the tape
WyomingUTEP
WyomingUTEP
6-3Record1-8
W4StreakL7
7 daysRest7 days
21.9Points per game14.1
21.7Points allowed34.3
4th Mountain WestConference9th Mountain West
+2
Point differentialseason to date
−182
141Passing yards / game140
204Rushing yards / game141
34%3rd-down conversion26%
9Takeaways11
0Sacks0
13Turnovers14
122Passing yards / game178
199Rushing yards / game156
26%3rd-down conversion26%
4Takeaways6
0Sacks0
11Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Wyoming’s road games with UTEP’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Wyoming
6-3
LWWWW
Wk 10Nov 7@ UNLV
Wyoming41UNLV35
Wyoming moneyline +136UNLV moneyline −179
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 23vs AF
Air Force14Wyoming28
Air Force moneyline −286Wyoming moneyline +210
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs NIU
N Illinois23Wyoming41
N Illinois moneyline +265Wyoming moneyline −345
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9@ SJSU
Wyoming16San Jose St13
Wyoming moneyline +150San Jose St moneyline −189
WF/OT
Wk 5Oct 3@ NDSU
Wyoming0N Dakota St28
Wyoming moneyline +580N Dakota St moneyline −1250
LFINAL
UTEP
1-8
LLLLL
Wk 10Nov 7vs HAW
Hawai'i17UTEP14
Hawai'i moneyline −303UTEP moneyline +225
LFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ NDSU
UTEP7N Dakota St31
UTEP moneyline +1400N Dakota St moneyline −5000
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs SJSU
San Jose St24UTEP11
San Jose St moneyline −263UTEP moneyline +210
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs NEV
Nevada30UTEP13
Nevada moneyline −400UTEP moneyline +245
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ UNM
UTEP7New Mexico61
UTEP moneyline +1000New Mexico moneyline −3333
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standingsTeams in this gameMountain West
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (WYO)−333−333
Moneyline (UTEP)+250+250
Spread (UTEP)+9.5down +7.5
Total41.5down 39.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Wyoming visits UTEP in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 10:00 PM ET. Wyoming comes in at 6-3 and UTEP at 1-8. The moneyline has Wyoming at −333 and UTEP at +250.
Our model predicts a final score of Wyoming 28, UTEP 21. Its picks: Wyoming to win (−333); UTEP +16.5 (−278); over 33.5 points (−250). The best pick is Wyoming to win, at 88% confidence.