Moneyline
UNLV MLodds up −169
Lost 94%
UNLV wins the game.
Confidence94%
Model77.8%
SportsbooksOdds67.7%
Edge+10.1
Wyoming vs UNLV prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 8, 2:28 AM ET
Wyoming vs UNLV picks
3 picks · UNLV by 28 · 42 points · 0 of 3 wonSpread
UNLV +1.5odds up −192
Lost 85%
UNLV wins, or loses by one point or fewer.
Confidence85%
Model79.5%
SportsbooksOdds68.3%
Edge+11.2
TotalBest pick
Under 55.5odds up −200
Lost 78%
The two teams score 55 or fewer points between them.
Confidence78%
Model70.0%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge+1.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Wyoming070077
UNLV777141435
Most likely final scoresWYO 7–35 UNLV 0.8%WYO 21–28 UNLV 0.7%WYO 21–24 UNLV 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
WyomingUNLV
Offense
327▲ 483
Total yards
▼ 304415
154▼ 132
Passing yards
▼ 141204
173▲ 351
Rushing yards
▼ 163211
18▲ 22
First downs
▼ 1422
Scoring
1▲ 5
Touchdowns
▲ 54
0▲ 2
Passing touchdowns
= 22
1▲ 3
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 32
0▲ 2
Field goals made
▼ 02
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▲ 21
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▲ 21
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
54▼ 45
Penalty yards
▼ 2557
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 253.5
Proj. 327
72%
Won · 483
Passing yards
Over 96.5
Proj. 154
72%
Won · 132
Rushing yards
Over 120.5
Proj. 173
72%
Won · 351
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 18
70%
Won · 22
Total yards
Over 341.5
Proj. 415
72%
Lost · 304
Passing yards
Over 147.5
Proj. 204
72%
Lost · 141
Rushing yards
Over 157.5
Proj. 210
72%
Won · 163
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
72%
Lost · 14
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Wyoming
QB
Tyler Hughes14/24 · 153 pass yds · 0.0 TD · 0.8 INT
153pass yds
RB
Markell Holman11 carries · 48 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 3 rec
48rush yds
WR/TE
Eric Richardson2 rec · 29 yds · 0.0 TD
29rec yds
WR/TE
Jake Wilson3 rec · 28 yds · 0.0 TD
28rec yds
UNLV
QB
Jackson Arnold17/27 · 203 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.3 INT
203pass yds
RB
Jai'Den Thomas18 carries · 102 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 3 rec
102rush yds
WR/TE
Kayden McGee3 rec · 71 yds · 1.2 TD
71rec yds
WR/TE
Keyan Burnett3 rec · 30 yds · 0.4 TD
30rec yds
Road form. Wyoming is 1-3 on the road this season, losing by 15.3 points a game.
Home form. UNLV is 3-1 at home, scoring 26.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at UNLV −8.5 and is now UNLV −3.5, a 5-point move toward Wyoming.
Rest. Wyoming comes in on 15 days’ rest, UNLV on 8.
Streak. Wyoming has won 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
WyomingUNLV
WyomingUNLV
5-3Record5-3
1-3 roadRoad / home3-1 home
W3StreakW1
15 daysRest8 days
19.5Points per game25.0
20.0Points allowed23.8
−4
Point differentialseason to date
+10
142Passing yards / game174
186Rushing yards / game150
34%3rd-down conversion41%
7Takeaways9
0Sacks0
11Turnovers9
119Passing yards / game135
162Rushing yards / game130
23%3rd-down conversion30%
2Takeaways5
0Sacks0
9Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Wyoming’s road games with UNLV’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Wyoming
5-3
WLWWW
Wk 8Oct 23vs AF
Air Force14Wyoming28
Air Force moneyline −286Wyoming moneyline +210
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs NIU
N Illinois23Wyoming41
N Illinois moneyline +265Wyoming moneyline −345
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9@ SJSU
Wyoming16San Jose St13
Wyoming moneyline +150San Jose St moneyline −189
WF/OT
Wk 5Oct 3@ NDSU
Wyoming0N Dakota St28
Wyoming moneyline +580N Dakota St moneyline −1250
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs HAW
Hawai'i10Wyoming27
Hawai'i: no odds on recordWyoming: no odds on record
WFINAL
UNLV
5-3
WWWLW
Wk 9Oct 30vs NIU
N Illinois24UNLV31
N Illinois moneyline +1250UNLV moneyline −3333
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ AF
UNLV31Air Force41
UNLV moneyline −118Air Force moneyline −104
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs NDSU
N Dakota St7UNLV13
N Dakota St moneyline −152UNLV moneyline +112
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs CAL
California31UNLV39
California moneyline −106UNLV moneyline −125
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ AKR
UNLV38Akron10
UNLV moneyline −625Akron moneyline +390
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameMountain West
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
WYOMING
0
Wins
Avg. points17.0 – 31.0
Avg. total48.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
UNLV
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 6War Memorial Stadium
Wyoming17UNLV31
Wyoming moneyline −204UNLV moneyline +150
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (WYO)+136+136
Moneyline (UNLV)−179−179
Spread (UNLV)−8.5up −3.5
Total45.5up 50.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Wyoming beat UNLV 41–35 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 10:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Wyoming at +136 and UNLV at −179.
Our model predicted a final score of Wyoming 7, UNLV 35. Its picks: UNLV to win (−169), lost; UNLV +1.5 (−192), lost; under 55.5 points (−200), lost. The best pick was under 55.5 points, at 78% confidence.