MoneylineBest pick
CIN MLodds down −1000
Won 90%
The Bengals win the game.
Confidence90%
Model77.6%
SportsbooksOdds85.1%
Edge−7.5
Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 1, 5:02 PM ET
Titans vs Bengals picks
3 picks · Bengals by 3 · 51 points · 3 of 3 wonSpread
TEN +17.5odds up −189
Won 75%
The Titans win, or lose by 17 points or fewer.
Confidence75%
Model68.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.2%
Edge−0.8
Total
Over 40−250
Won 76%
The two teams score 41 or more points between them (exactly 40 is a push).
Confidence76%
Model68.7%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge−0.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Titans07107724
Bengals0107101027
Most likely final scoresTEN 24–27 CIN 0.8%TEN 13–30 CIN 0.5%TEN 20–23 CIN 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
TitansBengals
Offense
292▲ 440
Total yards
▲ 510375
185▲ 282
Passing yards
▲ 435264
107▲ 158
Rushing yards
▼ 75111
17▲ 23
First downs
▲ 2922
Scoring
3▲ 4
Touchdowns
▲ 63
2= 2
Passing touchdowns
▲ 52
1▲ 2
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1▲ 2
Field goals made
▼ 02
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▲ 41
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▲ 31
1▲ 2
Fumbles lost
= 11
2= 2
Sacks allowed
▲ 32
52▲ 73
Penalty yards
▲ 6753
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 245.5
Proj. 292
72%
Won · 440
Passing yards
Over 143.5
Proj. 185
72%
Won · 282
Rushing yards
Over 78.5
Proj. 107
72%
Won · 158
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 17
72%
Won · 23
Total yards
Over 328.5
Proj. 375
72%
Won · 510
Passing yards
Over 223.5
Proj. 265
72%
Won · 435
Rushing yards
Over 82.5
Proj. 111
72%
Lost · 75
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 22
71%
Won · 29
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Titans
QB
Cameron Ward19/31 · 185 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
185pass yds
RB
Tony Pollard18 carries · 83 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
83rush yds
WR/TE
Carnell Tate5 rec · 71 yds · 0.7 TD
71rec yds
WR/TE
Wan'Dale Robinson4 rec · 32 yds · 1.3 TD
32rec yds
Bengals
QB
Joe Burrow25/35 · 264 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
264pass yds
RB
Chase Brown16 carries · 65 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 4 rec
65rush yds
WR/TE
Tee Higgins5 rec · 95 yds · 0.3 TD
95rec yds
WR/TE
Ja'Marr Chase5 rec · 59 yds · 0.7 TD
59rec yds
Road form. The Titans are 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 1.7 points a game.
Home form. The Bengals are 1-1 at home, scoring 25.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at CIN −10.5 and is now CIN −13.5, a 3-point move toward the Bengals.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
The series. The Bengals have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
Tale of the tape
Tennessee TitansCincinnati Bengals
Tennessee TitansCincinnati Bengals
1-6Record4-2
1-2 roadRoad / home1-1 home
L1StreakW2
7 daysRest7 days
15.4Points per game27.2
22.3Points allowed20.3
−48
Point differentialseason to date
+41
4.6Yards per play5.7
157Passing yards / game264
91Rushing yards / game81
35%3rd-down conversion51%
47%Red-zone touchdowns64%
7Takeaways9
17Sacks21
10Turnovers6
4.7Yards per play5.9
165Passing yards / game330
83Rushing yards / game65
30%3rd-down conversion50%
44%Red-zone touchdowns44%
3Takeaways4
11Sacks8
5Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Titans’ road games with the Bengals’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Titans
1-6
LLLWL
Wk 7Oct 25vs CLE
Browns27Titans24
Browns moneyline −130Titans moneyline +110
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ IND
Titans26Colts20
Titans moneyline +240Colts moneyline −303
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs HOU
Texans26Titans3
Texans moneyline −333Titans moneyline +244
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ BAL
Titans18Ravens24
Titans moneyline +525Ravens moneyline −769
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ NYG
Titans7Giants12
Titans moneyline +112Giants moneyline −141
LFINAL
Bengals
4-2
WLLWW
Wk 7Oct 25@ BAL
Bengals35Ravens13
Bengals moneyline −154Ravens moneyline +130
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ MIA
Bengals31Dolphins24
Bengals moneyline −370Dolphins moneyline +267
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs JAX
Jaguars22Bengals17
Jaguars moneyline +116Bengals moneyline −149
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ PIT
Bengals27Steelers30
Bengals moneyline −182Steelers moneyline +150
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ HOU
Bengals20Texans6
Bengals moneyline +120Texans moneyline −147
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC South
Head-to-head
Last three meetings · regular season and playoffs
TITANS
1
Wins
Avg. points23.3 – 20.0
Avg. total43.3 pts
Over closing total1 of 3
2
BENGALS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 15Nissan Stadium
Bengals37Titans27
Bengals moneyline −256Titans moneyline +200
2023 · Wk 4Nissan Stadium
Bengals3Titans27
Bengals moneyline −154Titans moneyline +130
2022 · Wk 12Nissan Stadium
Bengals20Titans16
Bengals moneyline −112Titans moneyline −108
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (TEN)+550up +650
Moneyline (CIN)−769down −1000
Spread (CIN)−10.5down −13.5
Total4646
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Tennessee Titans 43–36 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati. The moneyline had the Titans at +650 and the Bengals at −1000.
Our model predicted a final score of Titans 24, Bengals 27. Its picks: the Bengals to win (−1000), won; the Titans +17.5 (−189), won; over 40 points (−250), won. The best pick was the Bengals to win, at 90% confidence.