Moneyline
BUF MLodds up −179
Won 88%
The Bills win the game.
Confidence88%
Model69.9%
SportsbooksOdds62.6%
Edge+7.3
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 1, 4:32 PM ET
Ravens vs Bills picks
3 picks · Bills by 3 · 43 points · 3 of 3 wonSpread
BUF +2.5−238
Won 79%
The Bills win, or lose by two points or fewer.
Confidence79%
Model74.3%
SportsbooksOdds67.1%
Edge+7.2
TotalBest pick
Under 59.5odds up −200
Won 77%
The two teams score 59 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model73.1%
SportsbooksOdds68.4%
Edge+4.7
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Ravens710031720
Bills010671023
Most likely final scoresBAL 20–23 BUF 0.8%BAL 27–30 BUF 0.8%BAL 24–27 BUF 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
RavensBills
Offense
347▼ 144
Total yards
▲ 426362
229▼ 68
Passing yards
▲ 280238
118▼ 76
Rushing yards
▲ 146124
21▼ 10
First downs
▲ 2422
Scoring
2▼ 1
Touchdowns
▲ 43
1▼ 0
Passing touchdowns
= 22
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 21
2▼ 1
Field goals made
▲ 31
Ball security
1▲ 3
Turnovers
▲ 21
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▲ 2
Fumbles lost
= 11
2▲ 4
Sacks allowed
▼ 12
53▼ 28
Penalty yards
▲ 8752
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 300.5
Proj. 347
72%
Lost · 144
Passing yards
Over 188.5
Proj. 229
72%
Lost · 68
Rushing yards
Over 89.5
Proj. 118
72%
Lost · 76
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
74%
Lost · 10
Total yards
Over 315.5
Proj. 362
72%
Won · 426
Passing yards
Over 196.5
Proj. 238
72%
Won · 280
Rushing yards
Over 95.5
Proj. 124
72%
Won · 146
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
74%
Won · 24
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Ravens
QB
Tyler Huntley18/28 · 190 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.7 INT
190pass yds
RB
Derrick Henry19 carries · 65 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec
65rush yds
WR/TE
Zay Flowers7 rec · 99 yds · 0.3 TD
99rec yds
WR/TE
Justice Hill2 rec · 16 yds · 0.0 TD
16rec yds
Bills
QB
Josh Allen21/31 · 238 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
238pass yds
RB
James Cook19 carries · 87 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec
87rush yds
WR/TE
Khalil Shakir4 rec · 48 yds · 0.2 TD
48rec yds
WR/TE
Keon Coleman3 rec · 47 yds · 0.7 TD
47rec yds
Road form. The Ravens are 3-1 on the road this season, winning by 6.3 points a game.
Home form. The Bills are 2-1 at home, scoring 30.3 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 53 and is now 54.5.
Rest. The Ravens come in on 7 days’ rest, the Bills on 14.
The series. The Bills have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Tale of the tape
Baltimore RavensBuffalo Bills
Baltimore RavensBuffalo Bills
4-3Record5-1
3-1 roadRoad / home2-1 home
L2StreakW2
7 daysRest14 days
24.1Points per game32.8
23.9Points allowed28.5
+2
Point differentialseason to date
+26
5.9Yards per play6.5
225Passing yards / game239
142Rushing yards / game149
42%3rd-down conversion48%
63%Red-zone touchdowns69%
6Takeaways6
16Sacks11
5Turnovers9
6.0Yards per play6.1
205Passing yards / game222
172Rushing yards / game157
41%3rd-down conversion58%
69%Red-zone touchdowns77%
4Takeaways3
11Sacks7
3Turnovers7
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Ravens’ road games with the Bills’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Ravens
4-3
WWWLL
Wk 7Oct 25vs CIN
Bengals35Ravens13
Bengals moneyline −154Ravens moneyline +130
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ CLE
Ravens10Browns13
Ravens moneyline −169Browns moneyline +144
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ ATL
Ravens30Falcons23
Ravens moneyline +145Falcons moneyline −175
WF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4vs TEN
Titans18Ravens24
Titans moneyline +525Ravens moneyline −769
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ DAL
Ravens34Cowboys31
Ravens moneyline −182Cowboys moneyline +150
WFINAL
Bills
5-1
WWLWW
Wk 6Oct 18@ LV
Bills33Raiders30
Bills moneyline −238Raiders moneyline +195
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 12@ LAR
Bills37Rams34
Bills moneyline +142Rams moneyline −175
WF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4vs NE
Patriots29Bills26
Patriots moneyline +260Bills moneyline −333
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs LAC
Chargers16Bills24
Chargers moneyline +270Bills moneyline −345
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 17vs DET
Lions31Bills41
Lions moneyline +190Bills moneyline −244
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC North
Head-to-head
Last four meetings · regular season and playoffs
RAVENS
1
Wins
Avg. points30.0 – 25.3
Avg. total55.3 pts
Over closing total2 of 4
3
BILLS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 1Highmark Stadium
Ravens40Bills41
Ravens moneyline −125Bills moneyline +102
2024 · DivisionalHighmark Stadium
Ravens25Bills27
Ravens moneyline −120Bills moneyline +100
2024 · Wk 4M&T Bank Stadium
Bills10Ravens35
Bills moneyline +117Ravens moneyline −143
2022 · Wk 4M&T Bank Stadium
Bills23Ravens20
Bills moneyline −175Ravens moneyline +145
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (BAL)+148down +147
Moneyline (BUF)−175−175
Spread (BUF)−3.5−3.5
Total53up 54.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Buffalo Bills beat the Baltimore Ravens 36–10 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET, at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park. The moneyline had the Ravens at +147 and the Bills at −175.
Our model predicted a final score of Ravens 20, Bills 23. Its picks: the Bills to win (−179), won; the Bills +2.5 (−238), won; under 59.5 points (−200), won. The best pick was under 59.5 points, at 77% confidence.