MoneylineBest pick
SF MLodds up −455
Won 90%
The 49ers win the game.
Confidence90%
Model74.2%
SportsbooksOdds82.4%
Edge−8.2
Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 8, 7:48 PM ET
Raiders vs 49ers picks
3 picks · 49ers by 3 · 51 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
LV +16.5−250
Lost 75%
The Raiders win, or lose by 16 points or fewer.
Confidence75%
Model68.4%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+0.3
Total
Under 58odds up −227
Won 77%
The two teams score 57 or fewer points between them (exactly 58 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model73.0%
SportsbooksOdds69.9%
Edge+3.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Raiders0100141024
49ers017371727
Most likely final scoresLV 24–27 SF 0.9%LV 20–23 SF 0.7%LV 17–20 SF 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Raiders49ers
Offense
297▼ 240
Total yards
▲ 414376
216= 216
Passing yards
▼ 224238
81▼ 24
Rushing yards
▲ 190138
18▼ 14
First downs
▲ 2722
Scoring
3▼ 2
Touchdowns
▲ 53
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
= 22
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 21
1= 1
Field goals made
▼ 12
Ball security
1▲ 5
Turnovers
= 11
1▲ 3
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▲ 2
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▼ 0
Sacks allowed
▼ 12
51▼ 29
Penalty yards
▲ 5954
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 250.5
Proj. 297
72%
Lost · 240
Passing yards
Over 174.5
Proj. 216
72%
Won · 216
Rushing yards
Over 52.5
Proj. 81
72%
Lost · 24
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 18
71%
Lost · 14
Total yards
Over 329.5
Proj. 376
72%
Won · 414
Passing yards
Over 196.5
Proj. 238
72%
Won · 224
Rushing yards
Over 109.5
Proj. 138
72%
Won · 190
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 22
72%
Won · 27
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Raiders
QB
Kirk Cousins22/34 · 216 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT
216pass yds
RB
Mike Washington9 carries · 43 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 1 rec
43rush yds
WR/TE
Brock Bowers6 rec · 69 yds · 0.8 TD
69rec yds
WR/TE
Ashton Jeanty4 rec · 40 yds · 0.2 TD
40rec yds
49ers
QB
Brock Purdy21/31 · 238 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
238pass yds
RB
Christian McCaffrey13 carries · 62 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 5 rec
62rush yds
WR/TE
Mike Evans5 rec · 72 yds · 0.4 TD
72rec yds
WR/TE
George Kittle6 rec · 65 yds · 0.8 TD
65rec yds
Road form. The Raiders are 3-1 on the road this season.
Home form. The 49ers are 4-0 at home, scoring 29.5 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at SF −10.5 and is now SF −9.5, a 1-point move toward the Raiders.
Rest. The Raiders come in on 7 days’ rest, the 49ers on 14.
Tale of the tape
Las Vegas RaidersSan Francisco 49ers
Las Vegas RaidersSan Francisco 49ers
4-4Record6-1
3-1 roadRoad / home4-0 home
W1StreakL1
7 daysRest14 days
27.6Points per game28.1
28.8Points allowed19.9
−9
Point differentialseason to date
+58
5.4Yards per play6.4
265Passing yards / game244
77Rushing yards / game127
42%3rd-down conversion50%
53%Red-zone touchdowns86%
13Takeaways7
18Sacks15
8Turnovers10
5.4Yards per play6.9
245Passing yards / game263
76Rushing yards / game125
46%3rd-down conversion55%
69%Red-zone touchdowns86%
9Takeaways1
8Sacks10
3Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Raiders’ road games with the 49ers’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Raiders
4-4
LLLLW
Wk 8Nov 1@ NYJ
Raiders38Jets33
Raiders moneyline +111Jets moneyline −132
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25vs LAR
Rams35Raiders21
Rams moneyline −175Raiders moneyline +147
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs BUF
Bills33Raiders30
Bills moneyline −238Raiders moneyline +195
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ NE
Raiders17Patriots45
Raiders moneyline +148Patriots moneyline −185
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs KC
Chiefs30Raiders27
Chiefs moneyline −227Raiders moneyline +185
LFINAL
49ers
6-1
WWWWL
Wk 7Oct 25@ ATL
49ers20Falcons29
49ers moneyline −143Falcons moneyline +121
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 19vs WAS
Commanders1749ers23
Commanders moneyline +31049ers moneyline −385
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ SEA
49ers32Seahawks29
49ers moneyline +130Seahawks moneyline −159
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs DEN
Broncos1449ers24
Broncos moneyline +13049ers moneyline −175
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs ARI
Cardinals3049ers36
Cardinals moneyline +30049ers moneyline −417
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC West
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
RAIDERS
0
Wins
Avg. points34.0 – 37.0
Avg. total71.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
49ERS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2022 · Wk 17Allegiant Stadium
49ers37Raiders34
49ers moneyline −455Raiders moneyline +350
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LV)+360+360
Moneyline (SF)−476−476
Spread (SF)−10.5up −9.5
Total48.5up 52
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The San Francisco 49ers beat the Las Vegas Raiders 38–17 in NFL Week 9 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM ET, at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. The moneyline had the Raiders at +360 and the 49ers at −476.
Our model predicted a final score of Raiders 24, 49ers 27. Its picks: the 49ers to win (−455), won; the Raiders +16.5 (−250), lost; under 58 points (−227), won. The best pick was the 49ers to win, at 90% confidence.