Moneyline
GB MLodds up −196
Won 67%
The Packers win the game.
Confidence67%
Model58.5%
SportsbooksOdds64.9%
Edge−6.4
Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 29, 11:35 PM ET
Panthers vs Packers picks
3 picks · Packers by 3 · 37 points · 3 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
CAR +8.5odds down −263
Won 78%
The Panthers win, or lose by eight points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model71.5%
SportsbooksOdds67.8%
Edge+3.7
Total
Under 54.5odds down −286
Won 77%
The two teams score 54 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model75.6%
SportsbooksOdds69.0%
Edge+6.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Panthers37071017
Packers06014620
Most likely final scoresCAR 17–20 GB 1.0%CAR 20–23 GB 0.8%CAR 24–27 GB 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
PanthersPackers
Offense
340▼ 258
Total yards
▲ 354336
231▼ 176
Passing yards
▲ 288229
109▼ 82
Rushing yards
▼ 66107
21▼ 14
First downs
▲ 2119
Scoring
2= 2
Touchdowns
▲ 42
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 31
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1▲ 2
Field goals made
▼ 02
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▲ 31
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▲ 21
2▲ 6
Sacks allowed
▼ 02
56▼ 41
Penalty yards
▼ 4555
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 293.5
Proj. 340
72%
Lost · 258
Passing yards
Over 189.5
Proj. 231
72%
Lost · 176
Rushing yards
Over 80.5
Proj. 109
72%
Won · 82
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 21
71%
Lost · 14
Total yards
Over 289.5
Proj. 336
72%
Won · 354
Passing yards
Over 187.5
Proj. 229
72%
Won · 288
Rushing yards
Over 78.5
Proj. 107
72%
Lost · 66
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
71%
Won · 21
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Panthers
QB
Bryce Young22/35 · 231 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
231pass yds
RB
Chuba Hubbard17 carries · 79 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
79rush yds
WR/TE
Tetairoa McMillan6 rec · 71 yds · 0.2 TD
71rec yds
WR/TE
Tommy Tremble3 rec · 19 yds · 0.2 TD
19rec yds
Packers
QB
Jordan Love21/35 · 229 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT
229pass yds
RB
MarShawn Lloyd9 carries · 32 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
32rush yds
WR/TE
Matthew Golden5 rec · 67 yds · 0.3 TD
67rec yds
WR/TE
Tucker Kraft4 rec · 35 yds · 0.2 TD
35rec yds
Road form. The Panthers are 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 13.0 points a game.
Home form. The Packers are 2-1 at home, scoring 22.7 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 48 and is now 47.
Rest. Both teams come in on 4 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
Carolina PanthersGreen Bay Packers
Carolina PanthersGreen Bay Packers
3-3Record4-3
2-1 roadRoad / home2-1 home
L1StreakL1
4 daysRest4 days
26.5Points per game20.6
27.7Points allowed20.7
−7
Point differentialseason to date
−1
5.8Yards per play5.4
276Passing yards / game269
105Rushing yards / game60
41%3rd-down conversion35%
65%Red-zone touchdowns46%
7Takeaways13
11Sacks16
8Turnovers8
5.3Yards per play5.6
269Passing yards / game310
97Rushing yards / game48
37%3rd-down conversion47%
54%Red-zone touchdowns55%
6Takeaways8
8Sacks5
1Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Panthers’ road games with the Packers’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Panthers
3-3
WLWWL
Wk 7Oct 25vs TB
Buccaneers43Panthers13
Buccaneers moneyline +139Panthers moneyline −164
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ PHI
Panthers25Eagles14
Panthers moneyline −156Eagles moneyline +132
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs DET
Lions26Panthers32
Lions moneyline −222Panthers moneyline +180
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ CLE
Panthers18Browns21
Panthers moneyline −135Browns moneyline +103
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ ATL
Panthers34Falcons3
Panthers moneyline −147Falcons moneyline +118
WFINAL
Packers
4-3
LWWWL
Wk 7Oct 25@ DET
Packers17Lions20
Packers moneyline +175Lions moneyline −208
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs DAL
Cowboys13Packers23
Cowboys moneyline −115Packers moneyline −105
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs CHI
Bears7Packers31
Bears moneyline −122Packers moneyline +100
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ TB
Packers17Buccaneers14
Packers moneyline −156Buccaneers moneyline +130
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 24vs ATL
Falcons35Packers14
Falcons moneyline +205Packers moneyline −263
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC South
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
PANTHERS
1
Wins
Avg. points23.0 – 23.0
Avg. total46.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 2
1
PACKERS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 9Lambeau Field
Panthers16Packers13
Panthers moneyline +540Packers moneyline −909
2023 · Wk 16Bank of America Stadium
Packers33Panthers30
Packers moneyline −200Panthers moneyline +165
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CAR)+165+165
Moneyline (GB)−200−200
Spread (GB)−3.5−3.5
Total48down 47
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Green Bay Packers beat the Carolina Panthers 27–19 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season (Thursday Night Football on Prime Video), on Thursday, October 29 at 8:15 PM ET, at Lambeau Field, Green Bay. The moneyline had the Panthers at +165 and the Packers at −200.
Our model predicted a final score of Panthers 17, Packers 20. Its picks: the Packers to win (−196), won; the Panthers +8.5 (−263), won; under 54.5 points (−286), won. The best pick was the Panthers +8.5, at 78% confidence.