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Nevada vs Northern Illinois prediction, picks and odds

Back to the college football picks NCAA FBS picks Week 11 Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Nevada
Away · 3-6ML −313
3:30PM Kickoff Sat, Nov 14 · ET
N Illinois
ML +240Home · 0-9
SpreadNEV −7.5
Total47.5 points
Kickoff in3d 0h
Predictions3 Comparison Recent games Standings Odds
Updated 2:18 PM ET

Nevada vs N Illinois picks

3 picks · Nevada by 7 · 49 points
MoneylineBest pick
NEV MLodds up −303 91%
Nevada wins the game.
Confidence91%
Model68.0% SportsbooksOdds73.9% Edge−5.9
Spread
NIU +14.5odds down −256 79%
N Illinois wins, or loses by 14 points or fewer.
Confidence79%
Model67.8% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge−0.5
Total
Over 39.5odds down −278 74%
The two teams score 40 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model64.9% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge−3.4

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Nevada77771428
N Illinois77071421
Most likely final scoresNEV 28–21 NIU 0.6%NEV 28–14 NIU 0.5%NEV 24–21 NIU 0.5%
Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
NevadaN Illinois

Offense

340 Total yards 318
181 Passing yards 177
159 Rushing yards 141
18 First downs 17

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 3
1 Passing touchdowns 1
2 Rushing touchdowns 2
2 Field goals made 0

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1
1 Interceptions thrown 1
1 Fumbles lost 1
0 Sacks allowed 0
49 Penalty yards 58
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 267.5 Proj. 340 72%
Passing yards Over 124.5 Proj. 181 72%
Rushing yards Over 106.5 Proj. 159 72%
First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 72%
Total yards Over 244.5 Proj. 318 72%
Passing yards Over 119.5 Proj. 177 72%
Rushing yards Over 88.5 Proj. 141 72%
First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 17 73%
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Nevada
QB AJ Bianco9/15 · 96 pass yds · 0.5 TD · 0.3 INT 96pass yds
RB Dominic Kelley15 carries · 66 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec 66rush yds
WR/TE Marshaun Brown3 rec · 44 yds · 0.3 TD 44rec yds
WR/TE Damien Moun4 rec · 20 yds · 0.0 TD 20rec yds
N Illinois
QB Taron Dickens16/27 · 165 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 165pass yds
RB Telly Johnson Jr.15 carries · 89 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 1 rec 89rush yds
WR/TE DeAree Rogers6 rec · 71 yds · 0.5 TD 71rec yds
WR/TE La'Don Bryant3 rec · 37 yds · 0.2 TD 37rec yds

Nevada visits Northern Illinois in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET. Nevada comes in at 3-6 and Northern Illinois at 0-9. The moneyline has Nevada at −313 and Northern Illinois at +240.

Our model predicts a final score of Nevada 28, N Illinois 21. Its picks: Nevada to win (−303); Northern Illinois +14.5 (−256); over 39.5 points (−278). The best pick is Nevada to win, at 91% confidence.