Northern Illinois vs Wyoming Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
NIU	0	6	11	6	23
WYO	10	10	7	14	41

N Illinois vs Wyoming picks

3 picks · Wyoming by 7 · 35 points · 2 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

WYO MLodds down −357 Won 86%

Wyoming wins the game.

Confidence86%

Model68.5% SportsbooksOdds75.6% Edge−7.1

Spread

NIU +15.5odds up −250 Lost 78%

N Illinois wins, or loses by 15 points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model67.2% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge−2.0

Total

Over 33.5odds down −313 Won 74%

The two teams score 34 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.5% SportsbooksOdds70.4% Edge+0.1

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

N Illinois014001414

Wyoming014071421

Most likely final scoresNIU 14–21 WYO 0.7%NIU 21–28 WYO 0.7%NIU 14–28 WYO 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line

N IllinoisWyoming

Offense

333▲ 392 Total yards ▲ 513363

185▲ 216 Passing yards ▲ 196163

148▲ 176 Rushing yards ▲ 317200

18▲ 21 First downs ▲ 2520

Scoring

2= 2 Touchdowns ▲ 53

1= 1 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01

1= 1 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 52

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

46▲ 90 Penalty yards ▼ 2351

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 259.5 Proj. 333 72% Won · 392

Passing yards Over 127.5 Proj. 185 72% Won · 216

Rushing yards Over 95.5 Proj. 148 72% Won · 176

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 19 74% Won · 21

Total yards Over 289.5 Proj. 363 72% Won · 513

Passing yards Over 105.5 Proj. 163 72% Won · 196

Rushing yards Over 147.5 Proj. 200 72% Won · 317

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 72% Won · 25

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

N Illinois

QB Taron Dickens16/25 · 176 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.5 INT 176pass yds

RB Telly Johnson Jr.16 carries · 103 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec 103rush yds

WR/TE DeAree Rogers6 rec · 60 yds · 0.7 TD 60rec yds

WR/TE La'Don Bryant3 rec · 40 yds · 0.0 TD 40rec yds

Wyoming

QB Tyler Hughes15/24 · 161 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT 161pass yds

RB Markell Holman10 carries · 63 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 3 rec 63rush yds

WR/TE Jake Wilson3 rec · 39 yds · 0.3 TD 39rec yds

WR/TE Samuel Harris2 rec · 14 yds · 0.0 TD 14rec yds

Road form. N Illinois is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 28.7 points a game.

Home form. Wyoming is 2-0 at home, scoring 24.0 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 38.5 and is now 42.5.

Rest. N Illinois comes in on 7 days’ rest, Wyoming on 8.

Streak. N Illinois has lost 5 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Northern IllinoisWyoming

0-5Record3-3

0-3 roadRoad / home2-0 home

L5StreakW1

7 daysRest8 days

12.4Points per game14.5

34.6Points allowed20.5

−111 Point differentialseason to date −36

205Passing yards / game138

86Rushing yards / game164

31%3rd-down conversion31%

6Takeaways4

0Sacks0

7Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares N Illinois’ road games with Wyoming’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.