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Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction, picks and odds

Back to this week’s NFL picks NFL picks Week 8 Sunday, November 1 · 1:00 PM ET Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh
Browns
5-2 · Away
6–27 Final Predicted 17–20
Steelers
5-2 · Home
Score by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
CLE06006
PIT7137027
BROWNS 35% Pre-game win chance 65% STEELERS

PIT by 3 · 37 points

Predictions3 Comparison Recent games Standings Head-to-head Odds
Updated Nov 1, 4:17 PM ET

Browns vs Steelers picks

3 picks · Steelers by 3 · 37 points · 2 of 3 won
Moneyline
PIT MLodds down −204 Won 81%
The Steelers win the game.
Confidence81%
Model65.5% SportsbooksOdds63.3% Edge+2.2
Spread
PIT +2.5odds down −250 Won 76%
The Steelers win, or lose by two points or fewer.
Confidence76%
Model70.2% SportsbooksOdds67.2% Edge+3.0
TotalBest pick
Over 33odds down −278 Push 77%
The two teams score 34 or more points between them (exactly 33 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model72.2% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+2.3

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Browns03014317
Steelers0100101020
Most likely final scoresCLE 17–20 PIT 0.9%CLE 20–23 PIT 0.8%CLE 17–23 PIT 0.6%
Projected box score Model only Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
BrownsSteelers

Offense

298▲ 319 Total yards ▲ 361329
200▲ 285 Passing yards ▼ 161209
98▼ 34 Rushing yards ▲ 200120
17= 17 First downs ▲ 2119

Scoring

2▼ 0 Touchdowns ▲ 32
1▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01
1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 31
1▲ 2 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers = 11
1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown = 11
1▲ 2 Fumbles lost ▼ 01
3▲ 8 Sacks allowed ▼ 13
52▲ 85 Penalty yards ▼ 4751
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 251.5 Proj. 298 72% Won · 319
Passing yards Over 158.5 Proj. 200 72% Won · 285
Rushing yards Over 69.5 Proj. 98 72% Lost · 34
First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 73% Won · 17
Total yards Over 282.5 Proj. 329 72% Won · 361
Passing yards Over 167.5 Proj. 209 72% Lost · 161
Rushing yards Over 91.5 Proj. 120 72% Won · 200
First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 19 73% Won · 21
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Browns
QB Deshaun Watson21/33 · 200 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 200pass yds
RB Quinshon Judkins15 carries · 49 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 3 rec 49rush yds
WR/TE Kevin Concepcion4 rec · 47 yds · 0.0 TD 47rec yds
WR/TE Jerry Jeudy3 rec · 28 yds · 0.0 TD 28rec yds
Steelers
QB Aaron Rodgers22/35 · 209 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 209pass yds
RB Jaylen Warren17 carries · 90 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 3 rec 90rush yds
WR/TE DK Metcalf4 rec · 53 yds · 0.1 TD 53rec yds
WR/TE Germie Bernard4 rec · 40 yds · 0.1 TD 40rec yds

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns 27–6 in NFL Week 8 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET, at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh. The moneyline had the Browns at +165 and the Steelers at −200.

Our model predicted a final score of Browns 17, Steelers 20. Its picks: the Steelers to win (−204), won; the Steelers +2.5 (−250), won; over 33 points (−278), push. The best pick was over 33 points, at 77% confidence.