Moneyline
AF MLodds down −238
Lost 93%
Air Force wins the game.
Confidence93%
Model68.1%
SportsbooksOdds66.0%
Edge+2.1
Air Force vs Wyoming prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 24, 12:30 AM ET
Air Force vs Wyoming picks
3 picks · Air Force by 14 · 42 points · 1 of 3 wonSpread
AF +2.5odds down −270
Lost 81%
Air Force wins, or loses by two points or fewer.
Confidence81%
Model71.9%
SportsbooksOdds67.2%
Edge+4.7
TotalBest pick
Over 37.5odds down −294
Won 76%
The two teams score 38 or more points between them.
Confidence76%
Model67.6%
SportsbooksOdds69.8%
Edge−2.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Air Force77771428
Wyoming0707714
Most likely final scoresAF 28–14 WYO 0.6%AF 35–7 WYO 0.6%AF 24–21 WYO 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Air ForceWyoming
Offense
394▼ 387
Total yards
▼ 301327
131▼ 83
Passing yards
▼ 113173
263▲ 304
Rushing yards
▲ 188154
22▲ 23
First downs
▼ 1317
Scoring
3▼ 1
Touchdowns
▲ 42
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 21
2▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 21
2= 2
Field goals made
= 00
Ball security
1▲ 3
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▲ 3
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
47▲ 65
Penalty yards
▼ 2546
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 320.5
Proj. 394
72%
Won · 387
Passing yards
Over 74.5
Proj. 131
72%
Won · 83
Rushing yards
Over 210.5
Proj. 262
72%
Won · 304
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
71%
Won · 23
Total yards
Over 253.5
Proj. 327
72%
Won · 301
Passing yards
Over 115.5
Proj. 173
72%
Lost · 113
Rushing yards
Over 101.5
Proj. 154
72%
Won · 188
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 17
73%
Lost · 13
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Air Force
QB
Liam Szarka9/15 · 104 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.7 INT
104pass yds
RB
Owen Allen10 carries · 43 rush yds · 0.3 TD
43rush yds
WR/TE
Jonah Dawson5 rec · 62 yds · 0.0 TD
62rec yds
WR/TE
Simon Kibbee3 rec · 43 yds · 0.0 TD
43rec yds
Wyoming
QB
Tyler Hughes15/24 · 171 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
171pass yds
RB
Markell Holman10 carries · 50 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 3 rec
50rush yds
WR/TE
Eric Richardson2 rec · 31 yds · 0.0 TD
31rec yds
WR/TE
Jake Wilson3 rec · 30 yds · 0.3 TD
30rec yds
Road form. Air Force is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 12.0 points a game.
Home form. Wyoming is 3-0 at home, scoring 29.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at WYO +7.5 and is now WYO +6.5, a 1-point move toward Wyoming.
Rest. Both teams come in on 6 days’ rest.
Streak. Air Force has won 4 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Air ForceWyoming
Air ForceWyoming
5-1Record4-3
2-0 roadRoad / home3-0 home
W4StreakW2
6 daysRest6 days
30.8Points per game18.3
19.7Points allowed20.9
+67
Point differentialseason to date
−18
64Passing yards / game146
343Rushing yards / game186
53%3rd-down conversion34%
7Takeaways4
0Sacks0
4Turnovers11
43Passing yards / game183
401Rushing yards / game218
58%3rd-down conversion48%
1Takeaways2
0Sacks0
1Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Air Force’s road games with Wyoming’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Air Force
5-1
LWWWW
Wk 7Oct 17vs UNLV
UNLV31Air Force41
UNLV moneyline −118Air Force moneyline −104
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ NIU
Air Force28N Illinois7
Air Force moneyline −303N Illinois moneyline +194
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs NAVY
Navy9Air Force14
Navy moneyline +118Air Force moneyline −161
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ NEV
Air Force36Nevada33
Air Force moneyline −244Nevada moneyline +172
WF/OT
Wk 2Sep 12vs NDSU
N Dakota St38Air Force32
N Dakota St moneyline −127Air Force moneyline −102
LFINAL
Wyoming
4-3
LWLWW
Wk 7Oct 17vs NIU
N Illinois23Wyoming41
N Illinois moneyline +265Wyoming moneyline −345
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9@ SJSU
Wyoming16San Jose St13
Wyoming moneyline +150San Jose St moneyline −189
WF/OT
Wk 5Oct 3@ NDSU
Wyoming0N Dakota St28
Wyoming moneyline +580N Dakota St moneyline −1250
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs HAW
Hawai'i10Wyoming27
Hawai'i: no odds on recordWyoming: no odds on record
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ CMU
Wyoming10C Michigan24
Wyoming moneyline −127C Michigan moneyline −105
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameMountain West
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
AIR FORCE
1
Wins
Avg. points24.0 – 21.0
Avg. total45.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
0
WYOMING
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 8Falcon Stadium
Air Force24Wyoming21
Air Force moneyline +147Wyoming moneyline −192
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (AF)−256down −286
Moneyline (WYO)+185up +210
Spread (WYO)+7.5down +6.5
Total44.5up 45.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Wyoming beat Air Force 28–14 in college football Week 8, on Friday, October 23 at 9:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Air Force at −286 and Wyoming at +210.
Our model predicted a final score of Air Force 28, Wyoming 14. Its picks: Air Force to win (−238), lost; Air Force +2.5 (−270), lost; over 37.5 points (−294), won. The best pick was over 37.5 points, at 76% confidence.