Moneyline
ORST ML−1250
Won 94%
Oregon St wins the game.
Confidence94%
Model70.7%
SportsbooksOdds91.0%
Edge−20.3
Washington State vs Oregon State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | 0 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30 |
| ORST | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 48 |
WASHINGTON ST 29%
Pre-game win chance
71% OREGON ST
ORST by 7 · 49 points
Updated Oct 17, 10:21 PM ET
Washington St vs Oregon St picks
3 picks · Oregon St by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
WSU +26.5odds up −256
Won 79%
Washington St wins, or loses by 26 points or fewer.
Confidence79%
Model68.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.8%
Edge−1.4
TotalBest pick
Under 59.5odds up −250
Lost 79%
The two teams score 59 or fewer points between them.
Confidence79%
Model71.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.2%
Edge+2.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Washington St0777721
Oregon St014771428
Most likely final scoresWSU 21–28 ORST 0.6%WSU 24–31 ORST 0.5%WSU 21–24 ORST 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Washington StOregon St
Offense
311▲ 450
Total yards
▲ 557410
180▲ 282
Passing yards
▲ 347272
131▲ 168
Rushing yards
▲ 210138
18▲ 24
First downs
▲ 2421
Scoring
3▲ 4
Touchdowns
▲ 64
1▲ 2
Passing touchdowns
▲ 32
2= 2
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 32
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
63▲ 70
Penalty yards
▼ 5862
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 237.5
Proj. 311
72%
Won · 450
Passing yards
Over 123.5
Proj. 180
72%
Won · 282
Rushing yards
Over 78.5
Proj. 131
72%
Won · 168
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 18
70%
Won · 24
Total yards
Over 337.5
Proj. 410
72%
Won · 557
Passing yards
Over 215.5
Proj. 273
72%
Won · 347
Rushing yards
Over 85.5
Proj. 138
72%
Won · 210
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
71%
Won · 24
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Washington St
QB
Caden Pinnick18/30 · 180 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
180pass yds
RB
Kirby Vorhees8 carries · 44 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
44rush yds
WR/TE
Darrius Clemons3 rec · 41 yds · 0.0 TD
41rec yds
WR/TE
Tank Hawkins2 rec · 18 yds · 0.0 TD
18rec yds
Oregon St
QB
Braden Atkinson22/33 · 262 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.7 INT
262pass yds
RB
AJ Newberry10 carries · 57 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
57rush yds
WR/TE
Jesse Legree5 rec · 108 yds · 1.0 TD
108rec yds
WR/TE
Eric Olsen4 rec · 32 yds · 0.3 TD
32rec yds
Road form. Washington St is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 14.0 points a game.
Home form. Oregon St is 2-1 at home, scoring 47.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at ORST −13.5 and is now ORST −18.5, a 5-point move toward Oregon St.
Rest. Washington St comes in on 8 days’ rest, Oregon St on 7.
Streak. Washington St has lost 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Washington StateOregon State
Washington StateOregon State
1-5Record4-2
0-3 roadRoad / home2-1 home
L3StreakW4
8 daysRest7 days
18.5Points per game41.8
23.7Points allowed22.0
−31
Point differentialseason to date
+119
159Passing yards / game392
124Rushing yards / game131
27%3rd-down conversion48%
5Takeaways8
0Sacks0
11Turnovers4
121Passing yards / game415
101Rushing yards / game129
18%3rd-down conversion50%
3Takeaways4
0Sacks0
6Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Washington St’s road games with Oregon St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Washington St
1-5
LWLLL
Wk 6Oct 9@ USU
Washington St16Utah State17
Washington St moneyline +145Utah State moneyline −182
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs FRES
Fresno St26Washington St6
Fresno St moneyline +101Washington St moneyline −130
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs ARIZ
Arizona34Washington St24
Arizona moneyline −476Washington St moneyline +320
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs DUQU
Duquesne7Washington St48
Duquesne moneyline +1600Washington St moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ KSU
Washington St7Kansas St34
Washington St moneyline +620Kansas St moneyline −1250
LFINAL
Oregon St
4-2
LWWWW
Wk 6Oct 10vs SDSU
San Diego St14Oregon St66
San Diego St moneyline +525Oregon St moneyline −833
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ CSU
Oregon St56Colorado St26
Oregon St moneyline −278Colorado St moneyline +200
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ UTEP
Oregon St33UTEP7
Oregon St moneyline −500UTEP moneyline +340
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs MONT
Montana17Oregon St52
Montana moneyline +540Oregon St moneyline −909
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs TTU
Texas Tech35Oregon St24
Texas Tech moneyline −5000Oregon St moneyline +1200
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gamePac-12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
WASHINGTON ST
1
Wins
Avg. points19.5 – 9.0
Avg. total28.5 pts
Over closing total0 of 2
1
OREGON ST
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 14Washington St home
Oregon St8Washington St32
Oregon St moneyline +440Washington St moneyline −833
2025 · Wk 10Oregon St home
Washington St7Oregon St10
Washington St moneyline −185Oregon St moneyline +137
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (WSU)+650up +700
Moneyline (ORST)−1111down −1250
Spread (ORST)−13.5down −18.5
Total48.5up 52.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Oregon State beat Washington State 48–30 in college football Week 7, on Saturday, October 17 at 6:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Washington State at +700 and Oregon State at −1250.
Our model predicted a final score of Washington St 21, Oregon St 28. Its picks: Oregon State to win (−1250), won; Washington State +26.5 (−256), won; under 59.5 points (−250), lost. The best pick was under 59.5 points, at 79% confidence.