3 picks · South Carolina by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 won
Moneyline
SC ML▴odds up −278Won65%
South Carolina wins the game.
Confidence65%
Model55.0%SportsbooksOdds72.5%Edge−17.5
Spread
TA&M +14.5▾odds down −278Won84%
Texas A&M wins, or loses by 14 points or fewer.
Confidence84%
Model77.8%SportsbooksOdds68.1%Edge+9.7
TotalBest pick
Under 58.5▴odds up −208Won77%
The two teams score 58 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model67.7%SportsbooksOdds68.6%Edge−0.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
TA&MTexas A&M77071421
SCSouth Carolina014771428
Most likely final scoresTA&M 21–28 SC 0.6%TA&M 24–27 SC 0.6%TA&M 21–24 SC 0.5%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
TA&MTexas A&MSouth CarolinaSC
Offense
340▲ 457Total yards▼ 360375
206▲ 251Passing yards▲ 251216
134▲ 206Rushing yards▼ 109159
19▲ 26First downs▼ 1719
Scoring
3▼ 0Touchdowns▼ 23
2▼ 0Passing touchdowns▼ 12
1▼ 0Rushing touchdowns= 11
0▲ 3Field goals made▼ 12
Ball security
1▼ 0Turnovers= 11
1▼ 0Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1▼ 0Fumbles lost= 11
0Sacks allowed0
55▲ 75Penalty yards▼ 3755
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
TA&MTotal yardsOver 266.5Proj. 34072%Won · 457
TA&MPassing yardsOver 149.5Proj. 20672%Won · 251
TA&MRushing yardsOver 81.5Proj. 13472%Won · 206
TA&MFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1973%Won · 26
SCTotal yardsOver 301.5Proj. 37572%Won · 360
SCPassing yardsOver 159.5Proj. 21672%Won · 251
SCRushing yardsOver 106.5Proj. 15972%Won · 109
SCFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1970%Won · 17
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.Texas A&M is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 20.3 points a game.
Home form.South Carolina is 3-2 at home, scoring 39.4 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at SC −5.5 and is now SC −6.5, a 1-point move toward South Carolina.
Rest.Texas A&M comes in on 14 days’ rest, South Carolina on 7.
Streak.South Carolina has won 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
TA&MTexas A&MSCSouth Carolina
TA&MTexas A&MSCSouth Carolina
4-4Record5-3
0-3 roadRoad / home3-2 home
L1StreakW3
14 daysRest7 days
28.3Points per game36.9
18.9Points allowed25.3
+75Point differentialseason to date+93
184Passing yards / game247
155Rushing yards / game218
42%3rd-down conversion48%
11Takeaways6
0Sacks0
11Turnovers12
132Passing yards / game236
75Rushing yards / game240
29%3rd-down conversion48%
3Takeaways3
0Sacks0
7Turnovers7
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Texas A&M’s road games with South Carolina’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
TA&MTexas A&M4-4LWLWL
Wk 8Oct 24@ ALA
TA&MTexas A&M20ALAAlabama31
Texas A&M moneyline +450Alabama moneyline −769
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs CITA
CITAThe Citadel0TA&MTexas A&M41
–The Citadel: no odds on record–Texas A&M: no odds on record
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ MIZ
TA&MTexas A&M6MIZMissouri27
Texas A&M moneyline +163Missouri moneyline −200
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs ARK
ARKArkansas7TA&MTexas A&M34
Arkansas moneyline +420Texas A&M moneyline −714
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ LSU
TA&MTexas A&M6LSULSU35
Texas A&M moneyline +260LSU moneyline −370
LFINAL
SCSouth Carolina5-3LLWWW
Wk 9Oct 31@ OU
SCSouth Carolina42OUOklahoma25
South Carolina moneyline +134Oklahoma moneyline −179
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 12Texas A&M home
SCSouth Carolina30TA&MTexas A&M31
South Carolina moneyline +550Texas A&M moneyline −1000
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (TA&M)+215+215
Moneyline (SC)−270−270
Spread (SC)−5.5▾down −6.5
Total51.5▴up 52.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
South Carolina beat Texas A&M 17–9 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 3:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Texas A&M at +215 and South Carolina at −270.
Our model predicted a final score of Texas A&M 21, South Carolina 28. Its picks: South Carolina to win (−278), won; Texas A&M +14.5 (−278), won; under 58.5 points (−208), won. The best pick was under 58.5 points, at 77% confidence.