Tennessee vs Texas A&M Prediction & Picks

Tennessee vs Texas A&M picks

3 picks · Tennessee by 3 · 45 points

Moneyline

TENN ML−145 73%

Tennessee wins the game.

Confidence73%

Model58.0% SportsbooksOdds56.2% Edge+1.8

SpreadBest pick

TENN +3.5odds up −222 76%

Tennessee wins, or loses by three points or fewer.

Confidence76%

Model67.8% SportsbooksOdds68.6% Edge−0.8

Total

Over 35.5odds down −294 74%

The two teams score 36 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model72.4% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge+4.3

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Tennessee770101424

Texas A&M77701421

Most likely final scoresTENN 24–21 TA&M 0.6%TENN 27–24 TA&M 0.6%TENN 28–21 TA&M 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

TennesseeTexas A&M

Offense

363 Total yards 367

194 Passing yards 207

169 Rushing yards 160

19 First downs 20

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 2

1 Passing touchdowns 1

2 Rushing touchdowns 1

1 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

53 Penalty yards 59

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 289.5 Proj. 363 72%

Passing yards Over 136.5 Proj. 194 72%

Rushing yards Over 116.5 Proj. 169 72%

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 70%

Total yards Over 293.5 Proj. 367 72%

Passing yards Over 149.5 Proj. 207 72%

Rushing yards Over 107.5 Proj. 160 72%

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 21 74%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Tennessee

QB George MacIntyre12/18 · 160 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.5 INT 160pass yds

RB DeSean Bishop23 carries · 125 rush yds · 1.4 TD · 2 rec 125rush yds

WR/TE Mike Matthews4 rec · 76 yds · 0.7 TD 76rec yds

WR/TE Braylon Staley5 rec · 45 yds · 0.0 TD 45rec yds

Texas A&M

QB Marcel Reed18/29 · 186 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.7 INT 186pass yds

RB KJ Edwards8 carries · 52 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 52rush yds

WR/TE Aaron Gregory4 rec · 51 yds · 0.4 TD 51rec yds

WR/TE Mario Craver4 rec · 30 yds · 0.5 TD 30rec yds

Line move. The spread opened at TA&M +3.5 and is now TA&M +2.5, a 1-point move toward Texas A&M.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

TennesseeTexas A&M

7-2Record4-5

W1StreakL2

7 daysRest7 days

32.4Points per game26.1

15.1Points allowed18.7

2nd SECConference13th SEC

+156 Point differentialseason to date +67

178Passing yards / game191

216Rushing yards / game160

38%3rd-down conversion43%

17Takeaways12

0Sacks0

11Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Tennessee’s road games with Texas A&M’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.