Tennessee vs South Carolina Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
TENN	0	21	0	3	24
SC	14	3	0	10	27

Tennessee vs South Carolina picks

3 picks · Tennessee by 3 · 59 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

TENN MLodds up +108 Lost 76%

Tennessee wins the game.

Confidence76%

Model59.5% SportsbooksOdds44.8% Edge+14.7

Spread

TENN +8.5odds down −286 Won 87%

Tennessee wins, or loses by eight points or fewer.

Confidence87%

Model81.6% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+11.7

TotalBest pick

Over 44odds up −233 Won 81%

The two teams score 45 or more points between them (exactly 44 is a push).

Confidence81%

Model75.3% SportsbooksOdds70.6% Edge+4.7

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Tennessee717702431

South Carolina014771428

Most likely final scoresTENN 31–28 SC 0.6%TENN 24–21 SC 0.6%TENN 28–21 SC 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

TennesseeSouth Carolina

Offense

381▼ 320 Total yards ▼ 344373

227▼ 136 Passing yards ▼ 210211

154▲ 184 Rushing yards ▼ 134162

21= 21 First downs ▲ 2120

Scoring

4▼ 3 Touchdowns = 33

2▼ 0 Passing touchdowns = 11

2▲ 3 Rushing touchdowns = 22

1= 1 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1= 1 Turnovers = 11

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown = 11

1= 1 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

53▲ 90 Penalty yards ▲ 7162

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 308.5 Proj. 381 72% Won · 320

Passing yards Over 170.5 Proj. 228 72% Lost · 136

Rushing yards Over 101.5 Proj. 154 72% Won · 184

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 69% Won · 21

Total yards Over 300.5 Proj. 373 72% Won · 344

Passing yards Over 154.5 Proj. 211 72% Won · 210

Rushing yards Over 109.5 Proj. 162 72% Won · 134

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 20 74% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Tennessee

QB George MacIntyre14/20 · 179 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.6 INT 179pass yds

RB DeSean Bishop19 carries · 95 rush yds · 1.3 TD · 2 rec 95rush yds

WR/TE Mike Matthews5 rec · 79 yds · 0.4 TD 79rec yds

WR/TE Braylon Staley5 rec · 44 yds · 0.8 TD 44rec yds

South Carolina

QB LaNorris Sellers18/29 · 194 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT 194pass yds

RB Matthew Fuller12 carries · 56 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 3 rec 56rush yds

WR/TE Nyck Harbor3 rec · 40 yds · 0.2 TD 40rec yds

WR/TE Mazeo Bennett Jr.4 rec · 34 yds · 0.2 TD 34rec yds

Road form. Tennessee is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 14.0 points a game.

Home form. South Carolina is 2-2 at home, scoring 42.5 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at SC +2.5 and is now SC −2.5, a 5-point move toward South Carolina.

Rest. Tennessee comes in on 7 days’ rest, South Carolina on 14.

Streak. Tennessee has won 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

TennesseeSouth Carolina

6-1Record3-3

2-0 roadRoad / home2-2 home

W3StreakW1

7 daysRest14 days

33.4Points per game37.7

14.7Points allowed25.5

+131 Point differentialseason to date +73

188Passing yards / game242

218Rushing yards / game232

37%3rd-down conversion48%

13Takeaways5

0Sacks0

10Turnovers8

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Tennessee’s road games with South Carolina’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.