MoneylineBest pick
OU MLodds up −179
Lost 79%
Oklahoma wins the game.
Confidence79%
Model61.9%
SportsbooksOdds66.4%
Edge−4.5
South Carolina vs Oklahoma prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC | 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
| OU | 0 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
SOUTH CAROLINA 38%
Pre-game win chance
62% OKLAHOMA
OU by 3 · 45 points
Updated Nov 1, 3:54 AM ET
South Carolina vs Oklahoma picks
3 picks · Oklahoma by 3 · 45 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
SC +5.5odds down −152
Won 71%
South Carolina wins, or loses by five points or fewer.
Confidence71%
Model53.0%
SportsbooksOdds48.8%
Edge+4.2
Total
Over 42.5odds down −141
Won 74%
The two teams score 43 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model58.0%
SportsbooksOdds52.5%
Edge+5.5
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
South Carolina07014721
Oklahoma107071724
Most likely final scoresSC 21–24 OU 0.7%SC 20–23 OU 0.5%SC 28–31 OU 0.4%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
South CarolinaOklahoma
Offense
327▲ 521
Total yards
▼ 359361
196▲ 309
Passing yards
▲ 244239
131▲ 212
Rushing yards
▼ 115122
17▲ 22
First downs
▲ 2419
Scoring
3▲ 6
Touchdowns
= 33
2▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
= 22
1▲ 3
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 01
0= 0
Field goals made
▲ 21
Ball security
1▲ 3
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▲ 3
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
55▲ 90
Penalty yards
▲ 7457
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 253.5
Proj. 327
72%
Won · 521
Passing yards
Over 139.5
Proj. 196
72%
Won · 309
Rushing yards
Over 78.5
Proj. 130
72%
Won · 212
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 17
71%
Won · 22
Total yards
Over 287.5
Proj. 361
72%
Won · 359
Passing yards
Over 182.5
Proj. 239
72%
Won · 244
Rushing yards
Over 69.5
Proj. 122
72%
Won · 115
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
70%
Won · 24
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
South Carolina
QB
LaNorris Sellers18/29 · 193 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
193pass yds
RB
Matthew Fuller12 carries · 46 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 3 rec
46rush yds
WR/TE
Mazeo Bennett Jr.4 rec · 44 yds · 0.4 TD
44rec yds
WR/TE
DJ Black2 rec · 39 yds · 0.3 TD
39rec yds
Oklahoma
QB
John Mateer21/31 · 239 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
239pass yds
RB
Lloyd Avant11 carries · 52 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
52rush yds
WR/TE
Isaiah Sategna6 rec · 88 yds · 0.5 TD
88rec yds
WR/TE
Rocky Beers5 rec · 62 yds · 0.8 TD
62rec yds
Road form. South Carolina is 1-1 on the road this season, losing by 6.0 points a game.
Home form. Oklahoma is 3-1 at home, scoring 26.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at OU −5.5 and is now OU −3.5, a 2-point move toward South Carolina.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
South CarolinaOklahoma
South CarolinaOklahoma
4-3Record4-3
1-1 roadRoad / home3-1 home
W2StreakW1
7 daysRest7 days
36.1Points per game21.6
25.3Points allowed17.7
+76
Point differentialseason to date
+27
238Passing yards / game228
218Rushing yards / game106
46%3rd-down conversion35%
6Takeaways8
0Sacks0
9Turnovers15
241Passing yards / game224
165Rushing yards / game98
43%3rd-down conversion41%
3Takeaways4
0Sacks0
2Turnovers8
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares South Carolina’s road games with Oklahoma’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
South Carolina
4-3
LLLWW
Wk 8Oct 24vs TENN
Tennessee24South Carolina27
Tennessee moneyline +108South Carolina moneyline −141
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ FLA
South Carolina38Florida19
South Carolina moneyline +360Florida moneyline −476
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs UK
Kentucky35South Carolina34
Kentucky moneyline +111South Carolina moneyline −149
LF/OT
Wk 4Sep 26@ ALA
South Carolina18Alabama49
South Carolina moneyline +365Alabama moneyline −588
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs MSST
Mississippi St41South Carolina34
Mississippi St moneyline +132South Carolina moneyline −172
LFINAL
Oklahoma
4-3
WLWLW
Wk 8Oct 24@ MSST
Oklahoma23Mississippi St15
Oklahoma moneyline −127Mississippi St moneyline −104
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs UK
Kentucky21Oklahoma13
Kentucky moneyline +205Oklahoma moneyline −270
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs TEX
Texas24Oklahoma27
Texas moneyline −357Oklahoma moneyline +225
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ UGA
Oklahoma13Georgia41
Oklahoma moneyline +380Georgia moneyline −625
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs UNM
New Mexico6Oklahoma14
New Mexico moneyline +950Oklahoma moneyline −3333
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSEC
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
SOUTH CAROLINA
0
Wins
Avg. points7.0 – 26.0
Avg. total33.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
OKLAHOMA
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 8Williams-Brice Stadium
South Carolina7Oklahoma26
South Carolina moneyline −204Oklahoma moneyline +155
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (SC)+134+134
Moneyline (OU)−179−179
Spread (OU)−5.5up −3.5
Total44.5down 44
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
South Carolina beat Oklahoma 42–25 in college football Week 9, on Saturday, October 31 at 4:15 PM ET. The moneyline had South Carolina at +134 and Oklahoma at −179.
Our model predicted a final score of South Carolina 21, Oklahoma 24. Its picks: Oklahoma to win (−179), lost; South Carolina +5.5 (−152), won; over 42.5 points (−141), won. The best pick was Oklahoma to win, at 79% confidence.