South Carolina vs Arkansas Prediction & Picks

South Carolina vs Arkansas picks

3 picks · South Carolina by 3 · 45 points

MoneylineBest pick

SC ML−333 73%

South Carolina wins the game.

Confidence73%

Model56.1% SportsbooksOdds74.6% Edge−18.5

Spread

ARK +14.5odds up −227 72%

Arkansas wins, or loses by 14 points or fewer.

Confidence72%

Model54.6% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge−13.7

Total

Over 44.5−256 74%

The two teams score 45 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model55.6% SportsbooksOdds68.7% Edge−13.1

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

South Carolina77371424

Arkansas07014721

Most likely final scoresSC 24–21 ARK 0.6%SC 28–21 ARK 0.6%SC 31–28 ARK 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

South CarolinaArkansas

Offense

406 Total yards 365

230 Passing yards 231

176 Rushing yards 134

21 First downs 21

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 2

1 Passing touchdowns 1

2 Rushing touchdowns 1

1 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

57 Penalty yards 59

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 332.5 Proj. 406 72%

Passing yards Over 172.5 Proj. 230 72%

Rushing yards Over 123.5 Proj. 176 72%

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 70%

Total yards Over 291.5 Proj. 365 72%

Passing yards Over 173.5 Proj. 231 72%

Rushing yards Over 81.5 Proj. 134 72%

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 71%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

South Carolina

QB LaNorris Sellers19/29 · 226 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.6 INT 226pass yds

RB Jabree Coleman7 carries · 32 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec 32rush yds

WR/TE Mazeo Bennett Jr.5 rec · 65 yds · 0.3 TD 65rec yds

WR/TE Nyck Harbor3 rec · 50 yds · 0.3 TD 50rec yds

Arkansas

QB KJ Jackson21/34 · 231 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 231pass yds

RB Cam Settles10 carries · 48 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 3 rec 48rush yds

WR/TE Chris Marshall7 rec · 96 yds · 0.3 TD 96rec yds

WR/TE Antonio Jordan5 rec · 71 yds · 0.6 TD 71rec yds

Total move. The total opened at 50.5 and is now 51.5.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. South Carolina has won 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

South CarolinaArkansas

6-3Record3-6

W4StreakL2

7 daysRest7 days

34.7Points per game20.0

23.4Points allowed27.4

7th SECConference16th SEC

+101 Point differentialseason to date −67

247Passing yards / game225

205Rushing yards / game112

46%3rd-down conversion43%

6Takeaways10

0Sacks0

13Turnovers14

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares South Carolina’s road games with Arkansas’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.