Moneyline
SEA MLodds down −294
68%
The Seahawks win the game.
Confidence68%
Model59.0%
SportsbooksOdds62.6%
Edge−3.6
Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction, picks and odds
Updated 1:48 PM ET
Seahawks vs Raiders picks
3 picks · Seahawks by 3 · 51 pointsSpread
SEA +2.5odds down −345
70%
The Seahawks win, or lose by two points or fewer.
Confidence70%
Model61.2%
SportsbooksOdds66.1%
Edge−4.9
TotalBest pick
Over 37odds up −182
77%
The two teams score 38 or more points between them (exactly 37 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model60.4%
SportsbooksOdds68.5%
Edge−8.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Seahawks0130141327
Raiders710071724
Most likely final scoresSEA 27–24 LV 0.7%SEA 24–17 LV 0.6%SEA 23–20 LV 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
SeahawksRaiders
Offense
355
Total yards
278
219
Passing yards
200
136
Rushing yards
78
22
First downs
17
Scoring
3
Touchdowns
3
2
Passing touchdowns
2
1
Rushing touchdowns
1
2
Field goals made
1
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
2
Sacks allowed
2
55
Penalty yards
53
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 308.5
Proj. 355
72%
Passing yards
Over 177.5
Proj. 219
72%
Rushing yards
Over 106.5
Proj. 136
72%
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 22
71%
Total yards
Over 231.5
Proj. 278
72%
Passing yards
Over 158.5
Proj. 200
72%
Rushing yards
Over 49.5
Proj. 78
72%
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 17
71%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Seahawks
QB
Drew Lock20/31 · 219 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.0 INT
219pass yds
RB
Emanuel Wilson19 carries · 81 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec
81rush yds
WR/TE
Jaxon SmithNjigba8 rec · 120 yds · 0.9 TD
120rec yds
WR/TE
AJ Barner3 rec · 23 yds · 0.3 TD
23rec yds
Raiders
QB
Kirk Cousins20/32 · 197 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT
197pass yds
RB
Mike Washington10 carries · 40 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec
40rush yds
WR/TE
Brock Bowers6 rec · 64 yds · 0.9 TD
64rec yds
WR/TE
Ashton Jeanty4 rec · 32 yds · 0.2 TD
32rec yds
Road form. The Seahawks are 1-2 on the road this season, winning by 6.3 points a game.
Home form. The Raiders are 1-3 at home, scoring 26.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at LV +3.5 and is now LV +6.5, a 3-point move toward the Seahawks.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
Seattle SeahawksLas Vegas Raiders
Seattle SeahawksLas Vegas Raiders
5-4Record4-5
1-2 roadRoad / home1-3 home
W1StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
22.4Points per game26.4
18.0Points allowed29.8
2nd NFC WestDivision3rd AFC West
+40
Point differentialseason to date
−30
5.2Yards per play5.4
217Passing yards / game260
111Rushing yards / game71
37%3rd-down conversion44%
50%Red-zone touchdowns53%
13Takeaways14
21Sacks19
14Turnovers13
5.5Yards per play5.4
284Passing yards / game285
106Rushing yards / game79
41%3rd-down conversion38%
67%Red-zone touchdowns38%
1Takeaways4
6Sacks10
7Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Seahawks’ road games with the Raiders’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Seahawks
5-4
LLWLW
Wk 9Nov 8vs ARI
Cardinals3Seahawks17
Cardinals moneyline +355Seahawks moneyline −455
WFINAL
Wk 8Nov 2vs CHI
Bears34Seahawks17
Bears moneyline +149Seahawks moneyline −179
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25vs KC
Chiefs3Seahawks20
Chiefs moneyline +140Seahawks moneyline −164
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 15@ DEN
Seahawks14Broncos17
Seahawks moneyline −147Broncos moneyline +120
LF/OT
Wk 5Oct 11vs SF
49ers32Seahawks29
49ers moneyline +130Seahawks moneyline −159
LFINAL
Raiders
4-5
LLLWL
Wk 9Nov 8@ SF
Raiders1749ers38
Raiders moneyline +36049ers moneyline −476
LFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1@ NYJ
Raiders38Jets33
Raiders moneyline +111Jets moneyline −132
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25vs LAR
Rams35Raiders21
Rams moneyline −175Raiders moneyline +147
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs BUF
Bills33Raiders30
Bills moneyline −238Raiders moneyline +195
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ NE
Raiders17Patriots45
Raiders moneyline +148Patriots moneyline −185
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · after Week 9Teams in this gameNFC West
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
SEAHAWKS
0
Wins
Avg. points34.0 – 40.0
Avg. total74.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
RAIDERS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2022 · Wk 12Lumen Field
Raiders40Seahawks34
Raiders moneyline +160Seahawks moneyline −204
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (SEA)−286−286
Moneyline (LV)+225+225
Spread (LV)+3.5up +6.5
Total43.5down 40.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Injury report
The teams’ current reports: out, doubtful and questionable firstSeahawks
INACTIVE
Brandon PiliDT
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Arizona
INACTIVE
Charles CrossOT
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Arizona
INACTIVE
Quenton Nelson
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Arizona
INACTIVE
Rashid ShaheedWR
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Arizona
INACTIVE
Sam DarnoldQB
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Arizona
INACTIVE
Uchenna NwosuLB
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Arizona
QUESTIONABLE
Drew LockQB
Oblique
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 6
IRJulian NealCBHamstring
IRElijah ArroyoTEShoulder
IRBud ClarkSAnkle
IRJake BoboWRKnee
IRMason RichmanLeg
IRRobbie OuztsNeck
Raiders
QUESTIONABLE
Patrick JohnsonDE
Neck
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 7
IRJack BechWRForearm
IRCarter RunyonFoot
IRBrennan JacksonLBUndisclosed
IRChigozie AnusiemKnee
IRChris CollierUndisclosed
IRJustin PickettUndisclosed
IRKeyron CrawfordDEAnkle
The Seattle Seahawks visit the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas. The Seahawks come in at 5-4 and the Raiders at 4-5. The moneyline has the Seahawks at −286 and the Raiders at +225.
Our model predicts a final score of Seahawks 27, Raiders 24. Its picks: the Seahawks to win (−294); the Seahawks +2.5 (−345); over 37 points (−182). The best pick is over 37 points, at 77% confidence.