Moneyline
LAR MLodds up −182
Won 82%
The Rams win the game.
Confidence82%
Model66.4%
SportsbooksOdds67.0%
Edge−0.6
Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 25, 7:43 PM ET
Rams vs Raiders picks
3 picks · Rams by 3 · 43 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
LAR +1.5odds up −208
Won 75%
The Rams win, or lose by one point or fewer.
Confidence75%
Model68.8%
SportsbooksOdds68.6%
Edge+0.2
TotalBest pick
Under 54.5odds up −217
Lost 77%
The two teams score 54 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model68.6%
SportsbooksOdds70.1%
Edge−1.5
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Rams79071623
Raiders03107320
Most likely final scoresLAR 23–20 LV 0.8%LAR 27–24 LV 0.8%LAR 20–17 LV 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
RamsRaiders
Offense
388▼ 386
Total yards
▲ 350304
264▼ 187
Passing yards
▲ 302207
124▲ 199
Rushing yards
▼ 4897
23▲ 28
First downs
▼ 1819
Scoring
3▲ 5
Touchdowns
= 22
2▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
▲ 21
1▲ 2
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Field goals made
▲ 32
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▼ 01
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▼ 1
Sacks allowed
= 22
54▲ 90
Penalty yards
▲ 6451
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 341.5
Proj. 388
72%
Won · 386
Passing yards
Over 222.5
Proj. 263
72%
Lost · 187
Rushing yards
Over 95.5
Proj. 124
72%
Won · 199
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 23
75%
Won · 28
Total yards
Over 258.5
Proj. 305
72%
Won · 350
Passing yards
Over 166.5
Proj. 208
72%
Won · 302
Rushing yards
Over 68.5
Proj. 97
72%
Lost · 48
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
69%
Won · 18
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Rams
QB
Matthew Stafford24/36 · 264 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
264pass yds
RB
Kyren Williams14 carries · 72 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 4 rec
72rush yds
WR/TE
Puka Nacua8 rec · 105 yds · 0.4 TD
105rec yds
WR/TE
Tyler Higbee4 rec · 46 yds · 0.3 TD
46rec yds
Raiders
QB
Kirk Cousins19/32 · 207 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
207pass yds
RB
Ashton Jeanty16 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 4 rec
64rush yds
WR/TE
Brock Bowers6 rec · 68 yds · 0.4 TD
68rec yds
WR/TE
Michael Mayer4 rec · 35 yds · 0.1 TD
35rec yds
Road form. The Rams are 1-1 on the road this season.
Home form. The Raiders are 1-2 at home, scoring 28.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at LV +6.5 and is now LV +3.5, a 3-point move toward the Raiders.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. The Raiders have lost 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Los Angeles RamsLas Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles RamsLas Vegas Raiders
2-4Record3-3
1-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L2StreakL3
7 daysRest7 days
22.5Points per game27.0
23.0Points allowed27.0
−3
Point differentialseason to date
0
5.9Yards per play5.3
289Passing yards / game264
113Rushing yards / game79
44%3rd-down conversion42%
63%Red-zone touchdowns52%
6Takeaways10
8Sacks15
9Turnovers8
5.6Yards per play5.4
338Passing yards / game279
111Rushing yards / game89
45%3rd-down conversion44%
44%Red-zone touchdowns45%
1Takeaways2
5Sacks9
4Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Rams’ road games with the Raiders’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Rams
2-4
WLWLL
Wk 6Oct 18vs ARI
Cardinals18Rams16
Cardinals moneyline +550Rams moneyline −833
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 12vs BUF
Bills37Rams34
Bills moneyline +142Rams moneyline −175
LF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4@ PHI
Rams24Eagles20
Rams moneyline −200Eagles moneyline +162
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ DEN
Rams26Broncos30
Rams moneyline −118Broncos moneyline −106
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 21vs NYG
Giants6Rams28
Giants moneyline +235Rams moneyline −313
WFINAL
Raiders
3-3
WWLLL
Wk 6Oct 18vs BUF
Bills33Raiders30
Bills moneyline −238Raiders moneyline +195
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ NE
Raiders17Patriots45
Raiders moneyline +148Patriots moneyline −185
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs KC
Chiefs30Raiders27
Chiefs moneyline −227Raiders moneyline +185
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ NO
Raiders35Saints27
Raiders moneyline +150Saints moneyline −200
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ LAC
Raiders26Chargers14
Raiders moneyline +245Chargers moneyline −313
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC West
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
RAMS
2
Wins
Avg. points18.5 – 15.5
Avg. total34.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 2
0
RAIDERS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 7SoFi Stadium
Raiders15Rams20
Raiders moneyline +270Rams moneyline −357
2022 · Wk 14SoFi Stadium
Raiders16Rams17
Raiders moneyline −270Rams moneyline +225
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LAR)−169down −175
Moneyline (LV)+145up +147
Spread (LV)+6.5down +3.5
Total48.5up 49
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Los Angeles Rams beat the Las Vegas Raiders 35–21 in NFL Week 7 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, October 25 at 4:25 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas. The moneyline had the Rams at −175 and the Raiders at +147.
Our model predicted a final score of Rams 23, Raiders 20. Its picks: the Rams to win (−182), won; the Rams +1.5 (−208), won; under 54.5 points (−217), lost. The best pick was under 54.5 points, at 77% confidence.