Moneyline
LAR ML−476
87%
The Rams win the game.
Confidence87%
Model69.1%
SportsbooksOdds81.0%
Edge−11.9
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals prediction, picks and odds
Updated 1:48 PM ET
Rams vs Cardinals picks
3 picks · Rams by 3 · 37 pointsSpreadBest pick
ARI +16.5−256
78%
The Cardinals win, or lose by 16 points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model74.1%
SportsbooksOdds68.6%
Edge+5.5
Total
Over 34.5odds up −213
76%
The two teams score 35 or more points between them.
Confidence76%
Model62.9%
SportsbooksOdds68.6%
Edge−5.7
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Rams60014620
Cardinals010071017
Most likely final scoresLAR 20–17 ARI 0.7%LAR 23–20 ARI 0.7%LAR 27–20 ARI 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
RamsCardinals
Offense
357
Total yards
323
230
Passing yards
222
127
Rushing yards
101
22
First downs
19
Scoring
2
Touchdowns
2
1
Passing touchdowns
1
1
Rushing touchdowns
1
2
Field goals made
1
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
2
Sacks allowed
2
55
Penalty yards
54
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 310.5
Proj. 357
72%
Passing yards
Over 188.5
Proj. 230
72%
Rushing yards
Over 98.5
Proj. 127
72%
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 22
69%
Total yards
Over 276.5
Proj. 323
72%
Passing yards
Over 180.5
Proj. 222
72%
Rushing yards
Over 72.5
Proj. 101
72%
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
71%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Rams
QB
Matthew Stafford22/34 · 230 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT
230pass yds
RB
Kyren Williams16 carries · 66 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
66rush yds
WR/TE
Puka Nacua9 rec · 102 yds · 0.4 TD
102rec yds
WR/TE
Colby Parkinson3 rec · 22 yds · 0.1 TD
22rec yds
Cardinals
QB
Gardner Minshew19/26 · 190 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.0 INT
190pass yds
RB
Tyler Allgeier11 carries · 47 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
47rush yds
WR/TE
Trey McBride7 rec · 66 yds · 0.4 TD
66rec yds
WR/TE
Michael Wilson5 rec · 65 yds · 0.1 TD
65rec yds
Road form. The Rams are 3-1 on the road this season, winning by 5.3 points a game.
Home form. The Cardinals are 0-3 at home, scoring 14.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at ARI +7.5 and is now ARI +9.5, a 2-point move toward the Rams.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Division game. Two NFC West rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Los Angeles RamsArizona Cardinals
Los Angeles RamsArizona Cardinals
5-4Record3-6
3-1 roadRoad / home0-3 home
W3StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
23.8Points per game19.8
20.1Points allowed28.3
3rd NFC WestDivision4th NFC West
+33
Point differentialseason to date
−77
5.7Yards per play4.7
254Passing yards / game215
125Rushing yards / game103
40%3rd-down conversion38%
67%Red-zone touchdowns43%
10Takeaways8
16Sacks19
14Turnovers8
5.4Yards per play4.3
270Passing yards / game204
136Rushing yards / game73
40%3rd-down conversion34%
61%Red-zone touchdowns50%
3Takeaways1
11Sacks5
8Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Rams’ road games with the Cardinals’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Rams
5-4
LLWWW
Wk 9Nov 8@ WAS
Rams20Commanders13
Rams moneyline −227Commanders moneyline +185
WFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1vs LAC
Chargers9Rams24
Chargers moneyline +235Rams moneyline −303
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25@ LV
Rams35Raiders21
Rams moneyline −175Raiders moneyline +147
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs ARI
Cardinals18Rams16
Cardinals moneyline +550Rams moneyline −833
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 12vs BUF
Bills37Rams34
Bills moneyline +142Rams moneyline −175
LF/OT
Cardinals
3-6
LWLWL
Wk 9Nov 8@ SEA
Cardinals3Seahawks17
Cardinals moneyline +355Seahawks moneyline −455
LFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1@ DAL
Cardinals33Cowboys30
Cardinals moneyline +280Cowboys moneyline −357
WF/OT
Wk 7Oct 25vs DEN
Broncos30Cardinals16
Broncos moneyline −233Cardinals moneyline +190
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ LAR
Cardinals18Rams16
Cardinals moneyline +550Rams moneyline −833
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs DET
Lions45Cardinals21
Lions moneyline −250Cardinals moneyline +191
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · after Week 9Teams in this game
Head-to-head
Last five meetings · regular season and playoffs
RAMS
3
Wins
Avg. points24.2 – 21.0
Avg. total45.2 pts
Over closing total3 of 5
2
CARDINALS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2026 · Wk 6SoFi Stadium
Cardinals18Rams16
Cardinals moneyline +550Rams moneyline −833
2025 · Wk 18SoFi Stadium
Cardinals20Rams37
Cardinals moneyline +700Rams moneyline −1111
2025 · Wk 14State Farm Stadium
Rams45Cardinals17
Rams moneyline −500Cardinals moneyline +350
2024 · Wk 17SoFi Stadium
Cardinals9Rams13
Cardinals moneyline +235Rams moneyline −303
2024 · Wk 2State Farm Stadium
Rams10Cardinals41
Rams moneyline −111Cardinals moneyline −111
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LAR)−455−455
Moneyline (ARI)+325+325
Spread (ARI)+7.5up +9.5
Total47.5down 39.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Injury report
The teams’ current reports: out, doubtful and questionable firstRams
INACTIVE
Bill Murray
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Darryl PetersonLB
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Desjuan JohnsonDE
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Joe CardonaLS
Inactive for Week 9 at Washington
INACTIVE
Keagen Trost
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Trent McDuffieCB
Inactive for Week 9 at Washington
INACTIVE
Ty SimpsonQB
Coach's Decision
QUESTIONABLE
Puka NacuaWR
Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Steve AvilaG
Hamstring
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 11
IRJustin DedichUndisclosed
IRJaylen WatsonCBShoulder
IRTerrance FergusonTEHamstring
IRDean ConnorsRBHand
IRKobie TurnerDEGroin
IRDavante AdamsWRHamstring
IRPoona FordDTTriceps
IRBlake GrupePKKnee - ACL
IRDaniel RickertDEKnee
IREddie Walls IIIUndisclosed
IRMatthew CaldwellQBUndisclosed
Cardinals
INACTIVE
Albert Reese IV
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Eku LeotaLB
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Jayden WilliamsOT
Inactive for Week 9 at Seattle
INACTIVE
Jon Gaines II
Inactive for Week 9 at Seattle
INACTIVE
Starling Thomas VCB
Coach's Decision
QUESTIONABLE
Roy LopezDT
Toe
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 13
IRHunter LongTEKnee
IRZach CarterKnee
IRJames ConnerFoot
IRJeremiyah LoveRBAnkle
IRKendrick BourneWRLower Leg
IRJalen BrooksWRWrist
IRJoey BlountNeck
IRParis Johnson Jr.Biceps
IRChase BisontisKnee - MCL
IRKaleb ProctorKnee - Meniscus
IRTrey BensonKnee
IRWill JohnsonCBNeck
PUPTip ReimanAnkle
The Los Angeles Rams visit the Arizona Cardinals in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET, at State Farm Stadium, Glendale. The Rams come in at 5-4 and the Cardinals at 3-6. The moneyline has the Rams at −455 and the Cardinals at +325.
Our model predicts a final score of Rams 20, Cardinals 17. Its picks: the Rams to win (−476); the Cardinals +16.5 (−256); over 34.5 points (−213). The best pick is the Cardinals +16.5, at 78% confidence.