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Oregon State vs Fresno State prediction, picks and odds

Back to the college football picks NCAA FBS picks Week 9 Friday, October 30 · 11:00 PM ET Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno
Oregon St
5-2 · Away
22–38 Final Predicted 24–21
Fresno St
4-3 · Home
Score by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
ORST367622
FRES71417038
OREGON ST 54% Pre-game win chance 46% FRESNO ST

ORST by 3 · 45 points

Predictions3 Comparison Recent games Standings Head-to-head Odds
Updated Nov 4, 11:36 PM ET

Oregon St vs Fresno St picks

3 picks · Oregon St by 3 · 45 points · 1 of 3 won
MoneylineBest pick
ORST MLodds up −244 Lost 71%
Oregon St wins the game.
Confidence71%
Model54.1% SportsbooksOdds71.6% Edge−17.5
Spread
FRES +6.5odds down −118 Won 75%
Fresno St wins, or loses by six points or fewer.
Confidence75%
Model61.3% SportsbooksOdds46.9% Edge+14.4
Total
Under 57.5odds down −128 Lost 74%
The two teams score 57 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model62.5% SportsbooksOdds49.8% Edge+12.7

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Oregon St314071724
Fresno St07014721
Most likely final scoresORST 24–21 FRES 0.5%ORST 27–24 FRES 0.5%ORST 30–27 FRES 0.4%
Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Oregon StFresno St

Offense

417 Total yards 340
259 Passing yards 199
158 Rushing yards 141
21 First downs 18

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▲ 53
2 Passing touchdowns 1
1 Rushing touchdowns 2
1▲ 3 Field goals made ▲ 10

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1
1 Interceptions thrown 1
1 Fumbles lost 1
0 Sacks allowed 0
55 Penalty yards 51
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 344.5 Proj. 417 72% Void
Passing yards Over 202.5 Proj. 259 72% Void
Rushing yards Over 106.5 Proj. 158 72% Void
First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 72% Void
Total yards Over 266.5 Proj. 340 72% Void
Passing yards Over 142.5 Proj. 199 72% Void
Rushing yards Over 88.5 Proj. 141 72% Void
First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 73% Void
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Oregon St
QB Braden Atkinson21/32 · 249 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.7 INT 249pass yds
RB AJ Newberry10 carries · 68 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 3 rec 68rush yds
WR/TE Jesse Legree5 rec · 101 yds · 1.0 TD 101rec yds
WR/TE Eric Olsen3 rec · 33 yds · 0.2 TD 33rec yds
Fresno St
QB Jayden Mandal18/30 · 186 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.0 INT 186pass yds
RB Bryson Donelson10 carries · 42 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 1 rec 42rush yds
WR/TE Josiah Freeman5 rec · 60 yds · 0.2 TD 60rec yds
WR/TE Ezekiel Avit3 rec · 52 yds · 0.4 TD 52rec yds

Fresno State beat Oregon State 38–22 in college football Week 9, on Friday, October 30 at 11:00 PM ET, at Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno. The moneyline had Oregon State at −250 and Fresno State at +180.

Our model predicted a final score of Oregon St 24, Fresno St 21. Its picks: Oregon State to win (−244), lost; Fresno State +6.5 (−118), won; under 57.5 points (−128), lost. The best pick was Oregon State to win, at 71% confidence.