Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
MISS	3	0	14	10	27
TEX	10	14	0	10	34

Ole Miss vs Texas picks

3 picks · Texas by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 won

Moneyline

TEX MLodds up −164 Won 82%

Texas wins the game.

Confidence82%

Model62.1% SportsbooksOdds60.6% Edge+1.5

Spread

TEX +5.5odds down −286 Won 83%

Texas wins, or loses by five points or fewer.

Confidence83%

Model75.4% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+5.5

TotalBest pick

Over 44.5odds down −323 Won 78%

The two teams score 45 or more points between them.

Confidence78%

Model70.8% SportsbooksOdds70.4% Edge+0.4

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Ole Miss7077721

Texas77771428

Most likely final scoresMISS 21–28 TEX 0.6%MISS 21–24 TEX 0.5%MISS 24–27 TEX 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Ole MissTexas

Offense

347▲ 363 Total yards ▲ 419392

222▲ 250 Passing yards ▼ 212244

125▼ 113 Rushing yards ▲ 207148

21▲ 23 First downs ▲ 2320

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▲ 43

2= 2 Passing touchdowns = 11

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 32

0▲ 2 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1▲ 3 Turnovers ▲ 31

1▲ 3 Interceptions thrown ▲ 21

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

58= 58 Penalty yards ▲ 13459

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 274.5 Proj. 347 72% Won · 363

Passing yards Over 164.5 Proj. 222 72% Won · 250

Rushing yards Over 73.5 Proj. 125 72% Won · 113

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 21 74% Won · 23

Total yards Over 319.5 Proj. 392 72% Won · 419

Passing yards Over 187.5 Proj. 244 72% Won · 212

Rushing yards Over 95.5 Proj. 148 72% Won · 207

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 73% Won · 23

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Ole Miss

QB Trinidad Chambliss21/33 · 213 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT 213pass yds

RB Makhi Frazier9 carries · 38 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec 38rush yds

WR/TE Deuce Alexander5 rec · 67 yds · 0.7 TD 67rec yds

WR/TE Caleb Odom4 rec · 41 yds · 0.3 TD 41rec yds

Texas

QB Arch Manning18/29 · 233 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT 233pass yds

RB Raleek Brown10 carries · 48 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 2 rec 48rush yds

WR/TE Ryan Wingo4 rec · 62 yds · 0.3 TD 62rec yds

WR/TE Cam Coleman3 rec · 60 yds · 0.5 TD 60rec yds

Road form. Ole Miss is 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 5.5 points a game.

Home form. Texas is 3-1 at home, scoring 34.3 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 54.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

Ole MissTexas

5-1Record4-2

1-1 roadRoad / home3-1 home

W2StreakL2

7 daysRest7 days

37.5Points per game30.2

23.8Points allowed17.8

+82 Point differentialseason to date +74

291Passing yards / game226

152Rushing yards / game135

48%3rd-down conversion42%

7Takeaways5

0Sacks0

8Turnovers8

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Ole Miss’ road games with Texas’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.