Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
ODU	0	0	0	0	0
LT	14	3	6	3	26

Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech picks

3 picks · Louisiana Tech by 14 · 42 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

LT MLodds down −714 Won 94%

Louisiana Tech wins the game.

Confidence94%

Model70.3% SportsbooksOdds83.3% Edge−13.0

Spread

ODU +19.5odds up −213 Lost 82%

Old Dominion wins, or loses by 19 points or fewer.

Confidence82%

Model74.4% SportsbooksOdds67.2% Edge+7.2

TotalBest pick

Over 39.5odds up −192 Lost 76%

The two teams score 40 or more points between them.

Confidence76%

Model67.1% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge−1.0

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Old Dominion0707714

Louisiana Tech0140141428

Most likely final scoresODU 14–28 LT 0.6%ODU 21–24 LT 0.6%ODU 21–28 LT 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Old DominionLouisiana Tech

Offense

320▼ 142 Total yards ▲ 438364

182▼ 154 Passing yards ▲ 302211

138▼ -12 Rushing yards ▼ 136153

17▼ 13 First downs ▲ 2420

Scoring

2▼ 0 Touchdowns = 33

1▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 21

0= 0 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

2▼ 1 Turnovers ▼ 01

1= 1 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

67▼ 32 Penalty yards ▲ 7465

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 246.5 Proj. 320 72% Lost · 142

Passing yards Over 124.5 Proj. 182 72% Won · 154

Rushing yards Over 86.5 Proj. 138 72% Lost · -12

First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 17 73% Lost · 13

Total yards Over 291.5 Proj. 365 72% Won · 438

Passing yards Over 154.5 Proj. 211 72% Won · 302

Rushing yards Over 100.5 Proj. 153 72% Won · 136

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 71% Won · 24

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Old Dominion

QB Ryan Huff10/17 · 132 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.9 INT 132pass yds

RB Devin Roche14 carries · 72 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 72rush yds

WR/TE Josh Rodriguez3 rec · 34 yds · 0.0 TD 34rec yds

WR/TE Kendall Harris3 rec · 33 yds · 0.0 TD 33rec yds

Louisiana Tech

QB Blake Baker14/22 · 149 pass yds · 1.4 TD · 0.4 INT 149pass yds

RB Andrew Burnette11 carries · 46 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 1 rec 46rush yds

WR/TE Jalen Mickens5 rec · 70 yds · 0.4 TD 70rec yds

WR/TE Eli Finley5 rec · 49 yds · 0.6 TD 49rec yds

Road form. Old Dominion is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 16.0 points a game.

Home form. Louisiana Tech is 3-0 at home, scoring 47.7 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at LT −8.5 and is now LT −13.5, a 5-point move toward Louisiana Tech.

Rest. Old Dominion comes in on 9 days’ rest, Louisiana Tech on 7.

Streak. Louisiana Tech has won 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Old DominionLouisiana Tech

2-5Record4-2

1-2 roadRoad / home3-0 home

L1StreakW3

9 daysRest7 days

17.7Points per game33.3

26.9Points allowed24.5

−64 Point differentialseason to date +53

151Passing yards / game240

116Rushing yards / game152

33%3rd-down conversion44%

12Takeaways14

0Sacks0

15Turnovers8

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Old Dominion’s road games with Louisiana Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.