Missouri vs Georgia Prediction & Picks

Missouri vs Georgia picks

3 picks · Georgia by 7 · 49 points

MoneylineBest pick

UGA MLodds down −1000 92%

Georgia wins the game.

Confidence92%

Model82.4% SportsbooksOdds88.3% Edge−5.9

Spread

MIZ +23.5odds up −256 78%

Missouri wins, or loses by 23 points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model67.5% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge−1.7

Total

Over 40.5−250 74%

The two teams score 41 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model72.2% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge+4.1

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Missouri7077721

Georgia014771428

Most likely final scoresMIZ 21–28 UGA 0.6%MIZ 21–24 UGA 0.5%MIZ 28–35 UGA 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

MissouriGeorgia

Offense

323 Total yards 398

211 Passing yards 242

112 Rushing yards 156

18 First downs 21

Scoring

2 Touchdowns 3

1 Passing touchdowns 2

1 Rushing touchdowns 1

2 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

57 Penalty yards 54

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 249.5 Proj. 323 72%

Passing yards Over 154.5 Proj. 211 72%

Rushing yards Over 59.5 Proj. 111 72%

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 71%

Total yards Over 325.5 Proj. 399 72%

Passing yards Over 185.5 Proj. 243 72%

Rushing yards Over 103.5 Proj. 156 72%

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 72%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Missouri

QB Austin Simmons20/34 · 211 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 211pass yds

RB Jamal Roberts23 carries · 91 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec 91rush yds

WR/TE Cayden Lee7 rec · 79 yds · 0.3 TD 79rec yds

WR/TE Donovan Olugbode5 rec · 55 yds · 0.3 TD 55rec yds

Georgia

QB Gunner Stockton19/29 · 231 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 231pass yds

RB Nate Frazier9 carries · 39 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 2 rec 39rush yds

WR/TE Talyn Taylor4 rec · 67 yds · 0.7 TD 67rec yds

WR/TE Craig Dandridge3 rec · 39 yds · 0.0 TD 39rec yds

Line move. The spread opened at UGA −12.5 and is now UGA −16.5, a 4-point move toward Georgia.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

MissouriGeorgia

6-3Record8-1

L1StreakW2

7 daysRest7 days

30.2Points per game41.1

20.1Points allowed14.0

8th SECConference1st SEC

+91 Point differentialseason to date +244

255Passing yards / game244

155Rushing yards / game211

39%3rd-down conversion52%

15Takeaways17

0Sacks0

6Turnovers9

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Missouri’s road games with Georgia’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.