Louisiana Tech vs UL Monroe Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
LT	0	0	14	10	24
ULM	0	0	0	0	0

Louisiana Tech vs UL Monroe picks

3 picks · Louisiana Tech by 28 · 56 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

LT MLodds up −625 Won 95%

Louisiana Tech wins the game.

Confidence95%

Model89.3% SportsbooksOdds86.4% Edge+2.9

SpreadBest pick

LT −6.5−286 Won 79%

Louisiana Tech wins by seven points or more.

Confidence79%

Model79.3% SportsbooksOdds71.0% Edge+8.3

Total

Over 48.5odds up −250 Lost 74%

The two teams score 49 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model72.5% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge+3.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Louisiana Tech7147142142

UL Monroe0707714

Most likely final scoresLT 42–14 ULM 0.7%LT 38–14 ULM 0.6%LT 42–7 ULM 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Louisiana TechUL Monroe

Offense

446▼ 332 Total yards ▼ 226341

238▼ 180 Passing yards ▼ 151211

208▼ 152 Rushing yards ▼ 75130

22▼ 18 First downs ▼ 1218

Scoring

5▼ 3 Touchdowns ▼ 02

2= 2 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01

3▼ 1 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 01

2▼ 1 Field goals made = 00

Ball security

1= 1 Turnovers ▲ 31

1= 1 Interceptions thrown ▲ 21

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

56▼ 31 Penalty yards ▲ 11354

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 373.5 Proj. 446 72% Lost · 332

Passing yards Over 181.5 Proj. 238 72% Lost · 180

Rushing yards Over 155.5 Proj. 208 72% Lost · 152

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 70% Lost · 18

Total yards Over 268.5 Proj. 341 72% Lost · 226

Passing yards Over 154.5 Proj. 211 72% Lost · 151

Rushing yards Over 78.5 Proj. 130 72% Lost · 75

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 73% Lost · 12

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Louisiana Tech

QB Blake Baker13/20 · 156 pass yds · 1.3 TD · 0.6 INT 156pass yds

RB Andrew Burnette10 carries · 57 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 1 rec 57rush yds

WR/TE Jalen Mickens6 rec · 82 yds · 0.5 TD 82rec yds

WR/TE Eli Finley5 rec · 61 yds · 0.7 TD 61rec yds

UL Monroe

QB Aidan Armenta13/22 · 162 pass yds · 0.6 TD · 0.3 INT 162pass yds

RB Zachary PalmerSmith9 carries · 63 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 1 rec 63rush yds

WR/TE Marcellus Jackson4 rec · 43 yds · 0.0 TD 43rec yds

WR/TE LT Robinson2 rec · 35 yds · 0.1 TD 35rec yds

Road form. Louisiana Tech is 0-2 on the road this season, losing by 24.0 points a game.

Home form. UL Monroe is 0-2 at home, scoring 26.0 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at ULM +14.5 and is now ULM +13.5, a 1-point move toward UL Monroe.

Rest. Louisiana Tech comes in on 7 days’ rest, UL Monroe on 14.

Division game. Two West rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.

Tale of the tape

Louisiana TechUL Monroe

3-2Record0-5

0-2 roadRoad / home0-2 home

W2StreakL5

7 daysRest14 days

35.2Points per game24.0

29.4Points allowed44.6

+29 Point differentialseason to date −103

252Passing yards / game232

152Rushing yards / game132

44%3rd-down conversion31%

11Takeaways3

0Sacks0

7Turnovers6

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Louisiana Tech’s road games with UL Monroe’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.