The two teams score 35 or more points between them (exactly 34 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model75.2%SportsbooksOdds69.0%Edge+6.2
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
NYGGiants77331420
PHIEagles73071017
Most likely final scoresNYG 20–17 PHI 1.0%NYG 23–20 PHI 0.7%NYG 27–24 PHI 0.6%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
NYGGiantsEaglesPHI
Offense
350▼ 243Total yards▼ 220298
225▼ 163Passing yards▼ 128185
125▼ 80Rushing yards▼ 92113
20▼ 15First downs▼ 1318
Scoring
2▼ 1Touchdowns▼ 12
1= 1Passing touchdowns▼ 01
1▼ 0Rushing touchdowns= 11
2▲ 4Field goals made= 11
Ball security
1= 1Turnovers= 11
1▼ 0Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1= 1Fumbles lost= 11
2▲ 6Sacks allowed▲ 72
56▲ 86Penalty yards▲ 5654
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
NYGTotal yardsOver 303.5Proj. 35072%Lost · 243
NYGPassing yardsOver 183.5Proj. 22572%Lost · 163
NYGRushing yardsOver 96.5Proj. 12572%Lost · 80
NYGFirst downsOver 17.5Proj. 2072%Lost · 15
PHITotal yardsOver 251.5Proj. 29872%Lost · 220
PHIPassing yardsOver 143.5Proj. 18572%Lost · 128
PHIRushing yardsOver 84.5Proj. 11372%Won · 92
PHIFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1872%Lost · 13
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.The Giants are 1-1-1 on the road this season, losing by 5.3 points a game.
Home form.The Eagles are 1-3 at home, scoring 19.8 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at PHI +1.5 and is now PHI +2.5, a 1-point move toward the Giants.
Rest.The Giants come in on 14 days’ rest, the Eagles on 7.
Division game.Two NFC East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
NYGNew York GiantsPHIPhiladelphia Eagles
NYGNew York GiantsPHIPhiladelphia Eagles
4-2-1Record2-6
1-1-1 roadRoad / home1-3 home
W1StreakL6
14 daysRest7 days
23.3Points per game17.1
23.0Points allowed25.3
+2Point differentialseason to date−65
5.2Yards per play4.4
229Passing yards / game177
117Rushing yards / game88
41%3rd-down conversion37%
67%Red-zone touchdowns71%
9Takeaways4
9Sacks10
11Turnovers8
5.0Yards per play4.4
222Passing yards / game159
114Rushing yards / game99
36%3rd-down conversion32%
75%Red-zone touchdowns75%
2Takeaways2
7Sacks4
3Turnovers1
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Giants’ road games with the Eagles’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
NYGGiants4-2-1WWTLW
Wk 7Oct 25@ HOU
NYGGiants27HOUTexans21
Giants moneyline +375Texans moneyline −500
WF/OT
Wk 6Oct 18vs NO
NOSaints34NYGGiants27
Saints moneyline −111Giants moneyline −109
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ WAS
NYGGiants27WASCommanders27
Giants moneyline +146Commanders moneyline −182
TF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4vs ARI
ARICardinals24NYGGiants36
Cardinals moneyline −139Giants moneyline +110
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs TEN
TENTitans7NYGGiants12
Titans moneyline +112Giants moneyline −141
WFINAL
PHIEagles2-6LLLLL
Wk 8Nov 1@ WAS
PHIEagles10WASCommanders27
Eagles moneyline +220Commanders moneyline −270
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 26vs DAL
DALCowboys38PHIEagles21
Cowboys moneyline −222Eagles moneyline +180
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs CAR
CARPanthers25PHIEagles14
Panthers moneyline −156Eagles moneyline +132
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ JAX
PHIEagles17JAXJaguars19
Eagles moneyline +310Jaguars moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs LAR
LARRams24PHIEagles20
Rams moneyline −200Eagles moneyline +162
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 8Lincoln Financial Field
NYGGiants20PHIEagles38
Giants moneyline +290Eagles moneyline −400
2025 · Wk 6MetLife Stadium
PHIEagles17NYGGiants34
Eagles moneyline −435Giants moneyline +310
2024 · Wk 18Lincoln Financial Field
NYGGiants13PHIEagles20
Giants moneyline +132Eagles moneyline −172
2024 · Wk 7MetLife Stadium
PHIEagles28NYGGiants3
Eagles moneyline −167Giants moneyline +133
2023 · Wk 18MetLife Stadium
PHIEagles10NYGGiants27
Eagles moneyline −227Giants moneyline +190
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (NYG)−164−164
Moneyline (PHI)+135+135
Spread (PHI)+1.5▴up +2.5
Total40.5▾down 37.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The New York Giants beat the Philadelphia Eagles 19–11 in NFL Week 9 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET, at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. The moneyline had the Giants at −164 and the Eagles at +135.
Our model predicted a final score of Giants 20, Eagles 17. Its picks: the Giants to win (−161), won; the Eagles +9.5 (−303), won; over 34 points (−185), lost. The best pick was the Eagles +9.5, at 78% confidence.