MoneylineBest pick
UGA MLodds down −185
Won 68%
Georgia wins the game.
Confidence68%
Model51.9%
SportsbooksOdds56.3%
Edge−4.4
Georgia vs Ole Miss prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 7, 11:15 PM ET
Georgia vs Ole Miss picks
3 picks · Georgia by 3 · 43 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
MISS +3.5odds up −114
Lost 74%
Ole Miss wins, or loses by three points or fewer.
Confidence74%
Model58.4%
SportsbooksOdds52.3%
Edge+6.1
Total
Under 56.5odds up −115
Won 74%
The two teams score 56 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model52.6%
SportsbooksOdds50.0%
Edge+2.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Georgia03614323
Ole Miss00713020
Most likely final scoresUGA 23–20 MISS 0.5%UGA 27–24 MISS 0.5%UGA 24–21 MISS 0.4%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
GeorgiaOle Miss
Offense
398▲ 481
Total yards
▼ 252374
234▼ 186
Passing yards
▼ 186245
164▲ 295
Rushing yards
▼ 66129
21▲ 23
First downs
▼ 1921
Scoring
3▲ 6
Touchdowns
▼ 12
1▲ 4
Passing touchdowns
▼ 01
2= 2
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1▼ 0
Field goals made
▼ 02
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
= 11
0
Sacks allowed
0
58▼ 16
Penalty yards
▼ 5060
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 325.5
Proj. 398
72%
Won · 481
Passing yards
Over 177.5
Proj. 234
72%
Won · 186
Rushing yards
Over 111.5
Proj. 164
72%
Won · 295
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
73%
Won · 23
Total yards
Over 301.5
Proj. 374
72%
Lost · 252
Passing yards
Over 188.5
Proj. 246
72%
Lost · 186
Rushing yards
Over 76.5
Proj. 129
72%
Lost · 66
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
72%
Won · 19
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Georgia
QB
Gunner Stockton18/28 · 213 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.7 INT
213pass yds
RB
Dwight Phillips Jr.9 carries · 58 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec
58rush yds
WR/TE
Talyn Taylor3 rec · 46 yds · 0.1 TD
46rec yds
WR/TE
Craig Dandridge3 rec · 44 yds · 0.1 TD
44rec yds
Ole Miss
QB
Trinidad Chambliss23/36 · 245 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.9 INT
245pass yds
RB
Makhi Frazier11 carries · 45 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec
45rush yds
WR/TE
Deuce Alexander6 rec · 65 yds · 0.2 TD
65rec yds
WR/TE
Horatio Fields3 rec · 37 yds · 0.3 TD
37rec yds
Road form. Georgia is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 15.5 points a game.
Home form. Ole Miss is 5-0 at home, scoring 38.0 points a game there.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
GeorgiaOle Miss
GeorgiaOle Miss
7-1Record6-2
2-0 roadRoad / home5-0 home
W1StreakW1
7 daysRest7 days
41.0Points per game37.1
14.9Points allowed24.0
+209
Point differentialseason to date
+105
251Passing yards / game282
200Rushing yards / game156
52%3rd-down conversion50%
15Takeaways12
0Sacks0
9Turnovers12
230Passing yards / game299
230Rushing yards / game162
58%3rd-down conversion58%
2Takeaways5
0Sacks0
1Turnovers6
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Georgia’s road games with Ole Miss’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Georgia
7-1
WWWLW
Wk 9Oct 31vs FLA
Florida8Georgia27
Florida moneyline +360Georgia moneyline −556
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs AUB
Auburn27Georgia24
Auburn moneyline +600Georgia moneyline −1667
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ ALA
Georgia20Alabama17
Georgia moneyline +100Alabama moneyline −137
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs VAN
Vanderbilt14Georgia38
Vanderbilt moneyline +1300Georgia moneyline −5000
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs OU
Oklahoma13Georgia41
Oklahoma moneyline +380Georgia moneyline −625
WFINAL
Ole Miss
6-2
LWWLW
Wk 9Oct 31vs AUB
Auburn15Ole Miss45
Auburn moneyline +325Ole Miss moneyline −476
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24@ TEX
Ole Miss27Texas34
Ole Miss moneyline +130Texas moneyline −164
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs MIZ
Missouri3Ole Miss31
Missouri moneyline +160Ole Miss moneyline −204
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ VAN
Ole Miss52Vanderbilt17
Ole Miss moneyline −385Vanderbilt moneyline +235
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ FLA
Ole Miss28Florida52
Ole Miss moneyline +147Florida moneyline −200
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSEC
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
GEORGIA
1
Wins
Avg. points38.5 – 37.0
Avg. total75.5 pts
Over closing total2 of 2
1
OLE MISS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · BowlsNeutral site
Ole Miss39Georgia34
Ole Miss moneyline +185Georgia moneyline −244
2025 · Wk 8Sanford Stadium
Georgia43Ole Miss35
Georgia moneyline +220Ole Miss moneyline −313
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (UGA)−167−167
Moneyline (MISS)+138+138
Spread (MISS)+3.5+3.5
Total56.556.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Georgia beat Ole Miss 42–7 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Georgia at −167 and Ole Miss at +138.
Our model predicted a final score of Georgia 23, Ole Miss 20. Its picks: Georgia to win (−185), won; Ole Miss +3.5 (−114), lost; under 56.5 points (−115), won. The best pick was Georgia to win, at 68% confidence.