Moneyline
USU MLodds down −357
Won 93%
Utah State wins the game.
Confidence93%
Model67.2%
SportsbooksOdds67.4%
Edge−0.2
Colorado State vs Utah State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| USU | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
COLORADO ST 33%
Pre-game win chance
67% UTAH STATE
USU by 7 · 55 points
Updated Oct 31, 6:56 PM ET
Colorado St vs Utah State picks
3 picks · Utah State by 7 · 55 points · 3 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
USU +1.5odds down −345
Won 77%
Utah State wins, or loses by one point or fewer.
Confidence77%
Model69.2%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge+0.3
Total
Under 71.5odds down −278
Won 74%
The two teams score 71 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model79.8%
SportsbooksOdds67.2%
Edge+12.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Colorado St314701724
Utah State0141071431
Most likely final scoresCSU 24–31 USU 0.6%CSU 28–31 USU 0.5%CSU 28–35 USU 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Colorado StUtah State
Offense
380▼ 263
Total yards
▲ 464440
239▼ 186
Passing yards
▼ 217242
141▼ 77
Rushing yards
▲ 247198
19▼ 17
First downs
▲ 2521
Scoring
3▼ 2
Touchdowns
= 44
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 12
2▼ 1
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 32
1▼ 0
Field goals made
= 11
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▲ 2
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
53▼ 35
Penalty yards
▼ 5556
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 306.5
Proj. 380
72%
Lost · 263
Passing yards
Over 181.5
Proj. 239
72%
Won · 186
Rushing yards
Over 88.5
Proj. 141
72%
Lost · 77
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 20
74%
Won · 17
Total yards
Over 366.5
Proj. 440
72%
Won · 464
Passing yards
Over 184.5
Proj. 242
72%
Won · 217
Rushing yards
Over 145.5
Proj. 198
72%
Won · 247
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
73%
Won · 25
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Colorado St
QB
Hauss Hejny16/25 · 188 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.5 INT
188pass yds
RB
Durell Robinson13 carries · 43 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
43rush yds
WR/TE
Jackson Harper4 rec · 44 yds · 0.1 TD
44rec yds
WR/TE
Tommy Maher3 rec · 38 yds · 0.2 TD
38rec yds
Utah State
QB
Grady Brosterhous17/27 · 230 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.7 INT
230pass yds
RB
Javen Jacobs13 carries · 111 rush yds · 2.0 TD · 2 rec
111rush yds
WR/TE
Eli Wood6 rec · 85 yds · 1.0 TD
85rec yds
WR/TE
Anthony Garcia4 rec · 42 yds · 0.0 TD
42rec yds
Road form. Colorado St is 0-2 on the road this season, losing by 26.5 points a game.
Home form. Utah State is 2-1 at home, scoring 18.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at USU −3.5 and is now USU −9.5, a 6-point move toward Utah State.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
Colorado StateUtah State
Colorado StateUtah State
3-4Record2-5
0-2 roadRoad / home2-1 home
W1StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
38.6Points per game14.9
44.0Points allowed23.0
−38
Point differentialseason to date
−57
283Passing yards / game193
177Rushing yards / game113
47%3rd-down conversion36%
14Takeaways7
0Sacks0
6Turnovers12
313Passing yards / game212
152Rushing yards / game140
31%3rd-down conversion40%
1Takeaways5
0Sacks0
1Turnovers7
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Colorado St’s road games with Utah State’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Colorado St
3-4
LLLLW
Wk 8Oct 24vs SDSU
San Diego St49Colorado St56
San Diego St moneyline −112Colorado St moneyline −119
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 15@ TXST
Colorado St27Texas St66
Colorado St moneyline +397Texas St moneyline −714
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs ORST
Oregon St56Colorado St26
Oregon St moneyline −278Colorado St moneyline +200
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ UTSA
Colorado St45UTSA59
Colorado St moneyline +440UTSA moneyline −714
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs BYU
BYU41Colorado St23
BYU moneyline −1111Colorado St moneyline +540
LFINAL
Utah State
2-5
LWLWL
Wk 8Oct 24@ TXST
Utah State17Texas St20
Utah State moneyline +390Texas St moneyline −556
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9vs WSU
Washington St16Utah State17
Washington St moneyline +145Utah State moneyline −182
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ BSU
Utah State18Boise St37
Utah State moneyline +660Boise St moneyline −1667
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs TROY
Troy10Utah State21
Troy moneyline +112Utah State moneyline −149
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ UTAH
Utah State0Utah33
Utah State moneyline +1300Utah moneyline −10000
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gamePac-12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CSU)+250+250
Moneyline (USU)−345−345
Spread (USU)−3.5down −9.5
Total63.5down 59.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Utah State beat Colorado State 31–14 in college football Week 9, on Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Colorado State at +250 and Utah State at −345.
Our model predicted a final score of Colorado St 24, Utah State 31. Its picks: Utah State to win (−357), won; Utah State +1.5 (−345), won; under 71.5 points (−278), won. The best pick was Utah State +1.5, at 77% confidence.