Moneyline
SEA MLodds down −154
Won 70%
The Seahawks win the game.
Confidence70%
Model60.2%
SportsbooksOdds55.7%
Edge+4.5
Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 25, 11:29 PM ET
Chiefs vs Seahawks picks
3 picks · Seahawks by 3 · 37 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
SEA +3.5odds down −286
Won 78%
The Seahawks win, or lose by three points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model72.3%
SportsbooksOdds67.2%
Edge+5.1
TotalBest pick
Over 36.5odds down −270
Lost 77%
The two teams score 37 or more points between them.
Confidence77%
Model70.0%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+1.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Chiefs010071017
Seahawks07103720
Most likely final scoresKC 17–20 SEA 1.0%KC 20–23 SEA 0.9%KC 24–27 SEA 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
ChiefsSeahawks
Offense
297▼ 213
Total yards
▲ 410333
185▼ 163
Passing yards
▲ 257224
112▼ 50
Rushing yards
▲ 153109
17▼ 11
First downs
▲ 2420
Scoring
2▼ 0
Touchdowns
= 22
1▼ 0
Passing touchdowns
= 11
1▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1= 1
Field goals made
= 22
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
= 11
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
2▼ 1
Sacks allowed
▼ 02
55▼ 15
Penalty yards
▼ 2053
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 250.5
Proj. 297
72%
Lost · 213
Passing yards
Over 144.5
Proj. 186
72%
Won · 163
Rushing yards
Over 83.5
Proj. 112
72%
Lost · 50
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 17
72%
Lost · 11
Total yards
Over 286.5
Proj. 333
72%
Won · 410
Passing yards
Over 182.5
Proj. 224
72%
Won · 257
Rushing yards
Over 80.5
Proj. 109
72%
Won · 153
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 20
72%
Won · 24
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Chiefs
QB
Patrick Mahomes20/31 · 185 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
185pass yds
RB
Kenneth Walker III19 carries · 93 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 3 rec
93rush yds
WR/TE
Xavier Worthy4 rec · 30 yds · 0.1 TD
30rec yds
WR/TE
Noah Gray2 rec · 17 yds · 0.0 TD
17rec yds
Seahawks
QB
Sam Darnold18/30 · 205 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT
205pass yds
RB
Emanuel Wilson15 carries · 51 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 1 rec
51rush yds
WR/TE
Jaxon SmithNjigba8 rec · 119 yds · 0.6 TD
119rec yds
WR/TE
Rashid Shaheed2 rec · 27 yds · 0.0 TD
27rec yds
Road form. The Chiefs are 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 8.5 points a game.
Home form. The Seahawks are 2-1 at home, scoring 24.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at SEA −1.5 and is now SEA −2.5, a 1-point move toward the Seahawks.
Rest. The Chiefs come in on 7 days’ rest, the Seahawks on 10.
Streak. The Chiefs have won 5 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Kansas City ChiefsSeattle Seahawks
Kansas City ChiefsSeattle Seahawks
5-0Record3-3
2-0 roadRoad / home2-1 home
W5StreakL2
7 daysRest10 days
28.0Points per game24.7
16.6Points allowed20.3
+57
Point differentialseason to date
+26
6.7Yards per play5.3
254Passing yards / game225
160Rushing yards / game107
42%3rd-down conversion32%
57%Red-zone touchdowns57%
9Takeaways11
8Sacks16
4Turnovers12
6.9Yards per play5.0
228Passing yards / game166
139Rushing yards / game108
40%3rd-down conversion23%
67%Red-zone touchdowns44%
4Takeaways10
0Sacks10
1Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Chiefs’ road games with the Seahawks’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Chiefs
5-0
WWWWW
Wk 6Oct 18vs LAC
Chargers6Chiefs22
Chargers moneyline +330Chiefs moneyline −417
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ LV
Chiefs30Raiders27
Chiefs moneyline −227Raiders moneyline +185
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ MIA
Chiefs24Dolphins10
Chiefs moneyline −625Dolphins moneyline +440
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20vs IND
Colts30Chiefs33
Colts moneyline +215Chiefs moneyline −294
WF/OT
Wk 1Sep 14vs DEN
Broncos10Chiefs31
Broncos moneyline +106Chiefs moneyline −128
WFINAL
Seahawks
3-3
WLWLL
Wk 6Oct 15@ DEN
Seahawks14Broncos17
Seahawks moneyline −147Broncos moneyline +120
LF/OT
Wk 5Oct 11vs SF
49ers32Seahawks29
49ers moneyline +130Seahawks moneyline −159
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs LAC
Chargers23Seahawks30
Chargers moneyline +265Seahawks moneyline −357
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ WAS
Seahawks31Commanders33
Seahawks moneyline −400Commanders moneyline +310
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ ARI
Seahawks31Cardinals7
Seahawks moneyline −213Cardinals moneyline +170
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC West
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
CHIEFS
1
Wins
Avg. points24.0 – 10.0
Avg. total34.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
0
SEAHAWKS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2022 · Wk 16GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Seahawks10Chiefs24
Seahawks moneyline +390Chiefs moneyline −500
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (KC)+133up +140
Moneyline (SEA)−159down −164
Spread (SEA)−1.5down −2.5
Total42.5up 43
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Seattle Seahawks beat the Kansas City Chiefs 20–3 in NFL Week 7 of the 2026 season (Sunday Night Football on NBC), on Sunday, October 25 at 8:20 PM ET, at Lumen Field, Seattle. The moneyline had the Chiefs at +140 and the Seahawks at −164.
Our model predicted a final score of Chiefs 17, Seahawks 20. Its picks: the Seahawks to win (−154), won; the Seahawks +3.5 (−286), won; over 36.5 points (−270), lost. The best pick was over 36.5 points, at 77% confidence.