Moneyline
DEN MLodds down −159
Won 65%
The Broncos win the game.
Confidence65%
Model57.4%
SportsbooksOdds57.3%
Edge+0.1
Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 8, 4:17 PM ET
Broncos vs Panthers picks
3 picks · Broncos by 3 · 51 points · 3 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
DEN +3.5odds down −286
Won 78%
The Broncos win, or lose by three points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model69.8%
SportsbooksOdds69.8%
Edge0.0
Total
Over 37.5odds down −286
Won 76%
The two teams score 38 or more points between them.
Confidence76%
Model67.1%
SportsbooksOdds68.5%
Edge−1.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Broncos0103141027
Panthers77371424
Most likely final scoresDEN 27–24 CAR 0.9%DEN 23–20 CAR 0.7%DEN 23–17 CAR 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
BroncosPanthers
Offense
307▲ 312
Total yards
▲ 353339
196▲ 230
Passing yards
▲ 257230
111▼ 82
Rushing yards
▼ 96109
19▲ 27
First downs
▲ 2820
Scoring
3= 3
Touchdowns
= 33
2= 2
Passing touchdowns
▲ 32
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 01
2= 2
Field goals made
▼ 01
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▲ 21
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
= 11
2▼ 1
Sacks allowed
= 33
53▼ 50
Penalty yards
▲ 11956
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 260.5
Proj. 307
72%
Won · 312
Passing yards
Over 154.5
Proj. 196
72%
Won · 230
Rushing yards
Over 82.5
Proj. 111
72%
Lost · 82
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 19
69%
Won · 27
Total yards
Over 292.5
Proj. 339
72%
Won · 353
Passing yards
Over 189.5
Proj. 230
72%
Won · 257
Rushing yards
Over 80.5
Proj. 109
72%
Won · 96
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 20
71%
Won · 28
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Broncos
QB
Bo Nix20/33 · 196 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.6 INT
196pass yds
RB
J.K. Dobbins13 carries · 45 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
45rush yds
WR/TE
Courtland Sutton3 rec · 35 yds · 0.3 TD
35rec yds
WR/TE
Jaylen Waddle4 rec · 33 yds · 0.5 TD
33rec yds
Panthers
QB
Bryce Young22/38 · 230 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
230pass yds
RB
Chuba Hubbard19 carries · 91 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 3 rec
91rush yds
WR/TE
Tetairoa McMillan6 rec · 77 yds · 0.4 TD
77rec yds
WR/TE
Jalen Coker4 rec · 45 yds · 0.3 TD
45rec yds
Road form. The Broncos are 2-2 on the road this season, losing by 2.8 points a game.
Home form. The Panthers are 1-2 at home, scoring 27.3 points a game there.
Rest. The Broncos come in on 7 days’ rest, the Panthers on 10.
Streak. The Broncos have won 4 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Denver BroncosCarolina Panthers
Denver BroncosCarolina Panthers
6-2Record3-4
2-2 roadRoad / home1-2 home
W4StreakL2
7 daysRest10 days
21.5Points per game25.4
20.6Points allowed27.6
+7
Point differentialseason to date
−15
4.8Yards per play5.5
180Passing yards / game262
93Rushing yards / game102
30%3rd-down conversion39%
65%Red-zone touchdowns64%
10Takeaways10
23Sacks11
6Turnovers10
4.8Yards per play6.4
166Passing yards / game283
102Rushing yards / game113
27%3rd-down conversion47%
50%Red-zone touchdowns80%
4Takeaways1
10Sacks3
4Turnovers7
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Broncos’ road games with the Panthers’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Broncos
6-2
LWWWW
Wk 8Nov 1vs KC
Chiefs24Broncos28
Chiefs moneyline −116Broncos moneyline −104
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25@ ARI
Broncos30Cardinals16
Broncos moneyline −233Cardinals moneyline +190
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 15vs SEA
Seahawks14Broncos17
Seahawks moneyline −147Broncos moneyline +120
WF/OT
Wk 5Oct 11@ LAC
Broncos23Chargers17
Broncos moneyline −189Chargers moneyline +151
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ SF
Broncos1449ers24
Broncos moneyline +13049ers moneyline −175
LFINAL
Panthers
3-4
LWWLL
Wk 8Oct 29@ GB
Panthers19Packers27
Panthers moneyline +165Packers moneyline −200
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25vs TB
Buccaneers43Panthers13
Buccaneers moneyline +139Panthers moneyline −164
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ PHI
Panthers25Eagles14
Panthers moneyline −156Eagles moneyline +132
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs DET
Lions26Panthers32
Lions moneyline −222Panthers moneyline +180
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ CLE
Panthers18Browns21
Panthers moneyline −135Browns moneyline +103
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameAFC West
NFC South
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last two meetings · regular season and playoffs
BRONCOS
1
Wins
Avg. points19.0 – 18.5
Avg. total37.5 pts
Over closing total1 of 2
1
PANTHERS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 8Empower Field at Mile High
Panthers14Broncos28
Panthers moneyline +580Broncos moneyline −1250
2022 · Wk 12Bank of America Stadium
Broncos10Panthers23
Broncos moneyline −115Panthers moneyline −102
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (DEN)−147−147
Moneyline (CAR)+120+120
Spread (CAR)+2.5+2.5
Total44.544.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Denver Broncos beat the Carolina Panthers 26–21 in NFL Week 9 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET, at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte. The moneyline had the Broncos at −147 and the Panthers at +120.
Our model predicted a final score of Broncos 27, Panthers 24. Its picks: the Broncos to win (−159), won; the Broncos +3.5 (−286), won; over 37.5 points (−286), won. The best pick was the Broncos +3.5, at 78% confidence.