MoneylineBest pick
BSU MLodds down −769
Won 91%
Boise St wins the game.
Confidence91%
Model78.5%
SportsbooksOdds82.5%
Edge−4.0
Boise State vs Washington State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 31 |
| WSU | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
BOISE ST 79%
Pre-game win chance
21% WASHINGTON ST
BSU by 28 · 42 points
Updated Oct 24, 9:37 PM ET
Boise St vs Washington St picks
3 picks · Boise St by 28 · 42 points · 3 of 3 wonSpread
BSU −4.5odds down −333
Won 78%
Boise St wins by five points or more.
Confidence78%
Model67.5%
SportsbooksOdds69.3%
Edge−1.8
Total
Under 58.5odds up −213
Won 74%
The two teams score 58 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model69.3%
SportsbooksOdds68.7%
Edge+0.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Boise St7140142135
Washington St007007
Most likely final scoresBSU 35–7 WSU 0.7%BSU 28–21 WSU 0.7%BSU 42–14 WSU 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Boise StWashington St
Offense
416▼ 407
Total yards
▼ 244322
226▼ 149
Passing yards
▼ 191204
190▲ 258
Rushing yards
▼ 53118
21= 21
First downs
▲ 1917
Scoring
4= 4
Touchdowns
= 11
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 01
2▲ 3
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 10
2▼ 1
Field goals made
▲ 10
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
= 11
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
59▲ 72
Penalty yards
▼ 3058
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 343.5
Proj. 416
72%
Won · 407
Passing yards
Over 169.5
Proj. 226
72%
Lost · 149
Rushing yards
Over 137.5
Proj. 190
72%
Won · 258
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Won · 21
Total yards
Over 249.5
Proj. 322
72%
Lost · 244
Passing yards
Over 147.5
Proj. 204
72%
Won · 191
Rushing yards
Over 65.5
Proj. 118
72%
Lost · 53
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 17
70%
Won · 19
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Boise St
QB
Maddux Madsen19/30 · 226 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.0 INT
226pass yds
RB
Dylan Riley19 carries · 113 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 2 rec
113rush yds
WR/TE
Rasean Jones5 rec · 77 yds · 0.2 TD
77rec yds
WR/TE
Matt Wagner4 rec · 42 yds · 0.6 TD
42rec yds
Washington St
QB
Owen Eshelman19/33 · 204 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.0 INT
204pass yds
RB
Caden Pinnick11 carries · 23 rush yds · 0.0 TD
23rush yds
WR/TE
Branden Ganashamoorthy4 rec · 64 yds · 0.6 TD
64rec yds
WR/TE
Daniel Blood3 rec · 39 yds · 0.2 TD
39rec yds
Road form. Boise St is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 8.3 points a game.
Home form. Washington St is 1-2 at home, scoring 26.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at WSU +15.5 and is now WSU +14.5, a 1-point move toward Washington St.
Rest. Boise St comes in on 14 days’ rest, Washington St on 7.
Streak. Boise St has won 5 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Boise StateWashington State
Boise StateWashington State
5-1Record1-6
2-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home
W5StreakL4
14 daysRest7 days
35.0Points per game20.1
22.3Points allowed27.1
+76
Point differentialseason to date
−49
216Passing yards / game176
235Rushing yards / game130
51%3rd-down conversion29%
6Takeaways5
0Sacks0
3Turnovers11
208Passing yards / game196
180Rushing yards / game147
45%3rd-down conversion37%
2Takeaways2
0Sacks0
0Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Boise St’s road games with Washington St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Boise St
5-1
WWWWW
Wk 6Oct 10@ FRES
Boise St38Fresno St31
Boise St moneyline −345Fresno St moneyline +213
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs USU
Utah State18Boise St37
Utah State moneyline +660Boise St moneyline −1667
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ WMU
Boise St32W Michigan7
Boise St moneyline −370W Michigan moneyline +250
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs SD
South Dakota24Boise St38
South Dakota moneyline +1150Boise St moneyline −5000
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs MEM
Memphis20Boise St38
Memphis moneyline +265Boise St moneyline −370
WFINAL
Washington St
1-6
WLLLL
Wk 7Oct 17@ ORST
Washington St30Oregon St48
Washington St moneyline +700Oregon St moneyline −1250
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9@ USU
Washington St16Utah State17
Washington St moneyline +145Utah State moneyline −182
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs FRES
Fresno St26Washington St6
Fresno St moneyline +101Washington St moneyline −130
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs ARIZ
Arizona34Washington St24
Arizona moneyline −476Washington St moneyline +320
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs DUQU
Duquesne7Washington St48
Duquesne moneyline +1600Washington St moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gamePac-12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (BSU)−833−833
Moneyline (WSU)+475+475
Spread (WSU)+15.5down +14.5
Total50.5up 52.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Boise State beat Washington State 31–10 in college football Week 8, on Saturday, October 24 at 6:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Boise State at −833 and Washington State at +475.
Our model predicted a final score of Boise St 35, Washington St 7. Its picks: Boise State to win (−769), won; Boise State −4.5 (−333), won; under 58.5 points (−213), won. The best pick was Boise State to win, at 91% confidence.